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How do phylogenetic reconstruction algorithms go astray when they return incorrect trees? This simple question has not been answered in detail, even for maximum parsimony (MP), the simplest phylogenetic criterion. Understanding MP has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-15 William Howard-Snyder , Will Dumm , Mary Barker , Ognian Milanov , Claris Winston , David H. Rich , Marc A Suchard , Frederick A Matsen

Phylogenomics, even more so than traditional phylogenetics, needs to represent the uncertainty in evolutionary trees due to systematic error. Here we illustrate the analysis of genome-scale alignments of yeast, using robust measures of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-12-31 Peter J. Waddell , Ariful Azad

We investigated testing the likelihood of a phylogenetic tree by comparison to its subtree pruning and regrafting (SPR) neighbors, with or without re-optimizing branch lengths. This is inspired by aspects of Bayesian significance tests, and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-30 Thurston H. Y. Dang , Elchanan Mossel

The method of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a widely used statistical approach for estimating the values of one or more unknown parameters of a probabilistic model based on observed data. In this tutorial, I briefly review the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-03 Anthony Vella

Although deep learning models have driven state-of-the-art performance on a wide array of tasks, they are prone to spurious correlations that should not be learned as predictive clues. To mitigate this problem, we propose a causality-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Xinyi Wang , Wenhu Chen , Michael Saxon , William Yang Wang

In this paper, we consider distributed maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) with dependent quantized data under the assumption that the structure of the joint probability density function (pdf) is known, but it contains unknown deterministic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-17 Xiaojing Shen , Pramod K. Varshney , Yunmin Zhu

A theorem of McCann shows that for any two absolutely continuous probability measures on R^d there exists a monotone transformation sending one probability measure to the other. A consequence of this theorem, relevant to statistics, is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-20 Ethan Anderes , Marc Coram

We study the detection error probability associated with a balanced binary relay tree, where the leaves of the tree correspond to $N$ identical and independent detectors. The root of the tree represents a fusion center that makes the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-05-09 Zhenliang Zhang , Ali Pezeshki , William Moran , Stephen D. Howard , Edwin K. P. Chong

Phylogenetic networks generalise phylogenetic trees and allow for the accurate representation of the evolutionary history of a set of present-day species whose past includes reticulate events such as hybridisation and lateral gene transfer.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-05 Joan Carles Pons , Charles Semple , Mike Steel

We introduce a biologically natural, mathematically tractable model of random phylogenetic network to describe evolution in the presence of hybridization. One of the features of this model is that the hybridization rate of the lineages…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 François Bienvenu , Jean-Jil Duchamps

In the context of wireless communications, we propose a deep learning approach to learn the mapping from the instantaneous state of a frequency selective fading channel to the corresponding frame error probability (FEP) for an arbitrary set…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-01 Vidit Saxena , Joakim Jaldén , Mats Bengtsson , Hugo Tullberg

Many common loss functions such as mean-squared-error, cross-entropy, and reconstruction loss are unnecessarily rigid. Under a probabilistic interpretation, these common losses correspond to distributions with fixed shapes and scales. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Mark Hamilton , Evan Shelhamer , William T. Freeman

Identifiability of the discrete tree parameter is a key property for phylogenetic models since it is necessary for statistically consistent estimation of the tree from sequence data. Algebraic methods have proven to be very effective at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-22 Jane Ivy Coons , Benjamin Hollering

This paper continues our earlier investigations into the inversion of random functions in a general (abstract) setting. In Section 2 we investigate a concept of invertibility and the invertibility of the composition of random functions. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mike A. Steel , Laszlo A. Szekely

Mechanistic network models can capture salient characteristics of empirical networks using a small set of domain-specific, interpretable mechanisms. Yet inference remains challenging because the likelihood is often intractable. We show…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Till Hoffmann , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The problem of maximum-likelihood (ML) estimation of discrete tree-structured distributions is considered. Chow and Liu established that ML-estimation reduces to the construction of a maximum-weight spanning tree using the empirical mutual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-15 Vincent Y. F. Tan , Animashree Anandkumar , Lang Tong , Alan S. Willsky

We study targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) of the average treatment effect in a semiparametric regression model whose mean function is indexed by a finite-dimensional parameter, while the additive error distribution is left…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-20 Mijeong Kim

We introduce and study the problem of posterior inference on tree-structured graphical models in the presence of a malicious adversary who can corrupt some observed nodes. In the well-studied broadcasting on trees model, corresponding to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Samuel B. Hopkins , Anqi Li

Phylogenetic networks which are, as opposed to trees, suitable to describe processes like hybridization and horizontal gene transfer, play a substantial role in evolutionary research. However, while non-treelike events need to be taken into…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-06 Mareike Fischer , Tom Niklas Hamann , Kristina Wicke

Conventional methods for computing maximum-likelihood estimators (MLE) often converge slowly in practical situations, leading to a search for simplifying methods that rely on additional assumptions for their validity. In this work, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-06-28 Jiangwei Shang , Zhengyun Zhang , Hui Khoon Ng