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This paper proposes a novel discrete-time multi-virus SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model that captures the spread of competing SIR epidemics over a population network. First, we provide a sufficient condition for the infection level…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-05 Ciyuan Zhang , Sebin Gracy , Tamer Basar , Philip E. Pare

Recent research on social contagion processes has revealed the limitations of traditional networks, which capture only pairwise relationships, to characterize complex multiparty relationships and group influences properly. Social contagion…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Lidan Liang , Shaoxuan Cui , Fangzhou Liu

We have designed a computational model of a virus spread near the outbreak threshold. Using computer simulation we studied the Susceptible - Infected - Recovered (SIR) process where in consequence of a force of habit that is manifested by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-23 Jozef Černák

Many algorithms have been proposed in prior literature to guarantee resilient multi-agent consensus in the presence of adversarial attacks or faults. The majority of prior work present excellent results that focus on discrete-time or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-23 James Usevitch , Dimitra Panagou

We study a dynamic infection spread model, inspired by the discrete time SIR model, where infections are spread via non-isolated infected individuals. While infection keeps spreading over time, a limited capacity testing is performed at…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Batuhan Arasli , Sennur Ulukus

By analysing the diffusive dynamics of epidemics and of distress in complex networks, we study the effect of the assortativity on the robustness of the networks. We first determine by spectral analysis the thresholds above which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-26 Gregorio D'Agostino , Antonio Scala , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

The decentralized patch distribution mechanism holds significant promise as an alternative to its centralized counterpart. For the purpose of accurately evaluating the performance of the decentralized patch distribution mechanism and based…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Lu-Xing Yang , Xiaofan Yang , Qingyi Zhu , Chenquan Gan

The generation interval is the time between the infection time of an infected person and the infection time of his or her infector. Probability density functions for generation intervals have been an important input for epidemic models and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , Marc Lipsitch , James M. Robins

We study the critical properties of a model of information spreading based on the SIS epidemic model. Spreading rates decay with time, as ruled by two parameters, $\epsilon$ and $l$, that can be either constant or randomly distributed in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-12 Marlon Ramos , Nuno Crokidakis , Celia Anteneodo

An SEIRS epidemic with disease fatalities is introduced in a growing population (modelled as a super-critical linear birth and death process). The study of the initial phase of the epidemic is stochastic, while the analysis of the major…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-29 Tom Britton , Désiré Ouédraogo

Accurate identification of effective epidemic threshold is essential for understanding epidemic dynamics on complex networks. The existing studies on the effective epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model generally…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-14 Panpan Shu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Pengcheng Zhao , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

We study epidemic processes with immunization on very large 1-dimensional lattices, where at least some of the infections are non-local, with rates decaying as power laws p(x) ~ x^{-sigma-1} for large distances x. When starting with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Peter Grassberger

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

We are interested in a variation of the SIR (Susceptible/Infected/Recovered) dynamics on the complete graph, in which infected individuals may only spread to neighboring susceptible individuals at fixed rate $\lambda>0$ while recovered…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Igor Kortchemski

We consider subcritical branching processes with immigration which evolve under the influence of a random environment and study the tail distribution of life periods of such processes defined as the length of the time interval between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Doudou Li , Vladimir Vatutin , Mei Zhang

Denial of service attacks pose a threat in constant growth. This is mainly due to their tendency to gain in sophistication, ease of implementation, obfuscation and the recent improvements in occultation of fingerprints. On the other hand,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Jorge Maestre Vidal , Ana Lucila Sandoval Orozco , Luis Javier García Villalba

We study the SIRS (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible) spreading processes over complex networks, by considering its exact $3^n$-state Markov chain model. The Markov chain model exhibits an interesting connection with its $2n$-state…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-03-17 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Babak Hassibi

In this article, we present a modification to the network-based stochastic SEIR epidemic model which allows for modifications to the underlying contact network to account for the effects of quarantine. We also discuss the changes needed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-05 Chris Groendyke , Adam Combs

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi