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We propose an innovative data-driven option pricing methodology that relies exclusively on the dataset of historical underlying asset prices. While the dataset is rooted in the objective world, option prices are commonly expressed as…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-23 Min Dai , Hanqing Jin , Xi Yang

Option price data are used as inputs for model calibration, risk-neutral density estimation and many other financial applications. The presence of arbitrage in option price data can lead to poor performance or even failure of these tasks,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Samuel N. Cohen , Christoph Reisinger , Sheng Wang

After a brief review of option pricing theory, we introduce various methods proposed for extracting the statistical information implicit in options prices. We discuss the advantages and drawbacks of each method, the interpretation of their…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Rama Cont

Pricing decisions of companies require an understanding of the causal effect of a price change on the demand. When real-life pricing experiments are infeasible, data-driven decision-making must be based on alternative data sources such as…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-03 Lauri Valkonen , Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

A statistical decision problem is hidden in the core of option pricing. A simple form for the price C of a European call option is obtained via the minimum Bayes risk, R_B, of a 2-parameter estimation problem, thus justifying calling C…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-19 Yannis G. Yatracos

We consider a scenario in which a database stores sensitive data of users and an analyst wants to estimate statistics of the data. The users may suffer a cost when their data are used in which case they should be compensated. The analyst…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-19 Lisa Fleischer , Yu-Han Lyu

The robust option pricing problem is to find upper and lower bounds on fair prices of financial claims using only the most minimal assumptions. It contrasts with the classical, model-based approach and gained prominence in the wake of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-15 Alexander M. G. Cox , Annemarie M. Grass

We study a market for private data in which a data analyst publicly releases a statistic over a database of private information. Individuals that own the data incur a cost for their loss of privacy proportional to the differential privacy…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-10-01 Pranav Dandekar , Nadia Fawaz , Stratis Ioannidis

Employing probabilistic techniques we compute best possible upper and lower bounds on the price of an option on one or two assets with continuous piecewise linear payoff function based on prices of simple call options of possibly distinct…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Dimitris Bertsimas , Natasha Bushueva

Protecting the privacy of data-sets has become hugely important these days. Many real-life data-sets like income data, medical data need to be secured before making it public. However, security comes at the cost of losing some useful…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-16 Debolina Ghatak , Bimak K Roy

Personal data has value to both its owner and to institutions who would like to analyze it. Privacy mechanisms protect the owner's data while releasing to analysts noisy versions of aggregate query results. But such strict protections of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Chao Li , Daniel Yang Li , Gerome Miklau , Dan Suciu

We obtain option pricing formulas for stock price models in which the drift and volatility terms are functionals of a continuous history of the stock prices. That is, the stock dynamics follows a nonlinear stochastic functional differential…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Flavia Sancier , Salah Mohammed

We develop two alternate approaches to arbitrage-free, market-complete, option pricing. The first approach requires no riskless asset. We develop the general framework for this approach and illustrate it with two specific examples. The…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-27 W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev

Based on empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is proposed with volatility driven by fractional noise. The model is used to obtain a risk-neutrality option pricing formula and an option pricing equation.

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rui Vilela Mendes , Maria Joao Oliveira

In this paper, we deal with bias mitigation techniques that remove specific data points from the training set to aim for a fair representation of the population in that set. Machine learning models are trained on these pre-processed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Manh Khoi Duong , Stefan Conrad

Setting an effective reserve price for strategic bidders in repeated auctions is a central question in online advertising. In this paper, we investigate how to set an anonymous reserve price in repeated auctions based on historical bids in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Zhe Feng , Sébastien Lahaie

We reconsider the problem of option pricing using historical probability distributions. We first discuss how the risk-minimisation scheme proposed recently is an adequate starting point under the realistic assumption that price increments…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

Dataset obfuscation refers to techniques in which random noise is added to the entries of a given dataset, prior to its public release, to protect against leakage of private information. In this work, dataset obfuscation under two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Mahshad Shariatnasab , Farhad Shirani , S. Sitharma Iyengar

Panel data are modern statistical tools which are commonly used in all kinds of econometric problems under various regularity assumptions. The panel data models with changepoints are introduced together with atomic pursuit methods and they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Matúš Maciak

We present new formulations of the stochastic electricity market clearing problem based on the principles of stochastic programming. Previous analyses have established that the canonical stochastic programming model effectively captures the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-11 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar
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