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This work develops further a probabilist approach to the asymptotic behavior of growth-fragmentation semigroups via the Feynman-Kac formula, which was introduced in a joint article with A.R. Watson [4]. Here, it is first shown that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-16 Jean Bertoin

Discrete-state, continuous-time Markov models are widely used in the modeling of biochemical reaction networks. Their complexity often precludes analytic solution, and we rely on stochastic simulation algorithms to estimate system…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-20 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Michael B. Giles , Ruth E. Baker

Gaussian processes are flexible probabilistic regression models which are widely used in statistics and machine learning. However, a drawback is their limited scalability to large data sets. To alleviate this, full-scale approximations…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

We consider stochastic dynamics of a population which starts from a small colony on a habitat with large but limited carrying capacity. A common heuristics suggests that such population grows initially as a Galton-Watson branching process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 N. Bauman , P. Chigansky , F. Klebaner

Recently, partial Bayesian neural networks (pBNNs), which only consider a subset of the parameters to be stochastic, were shown to perform competitively with full Bayesian neural networks. However, pBNNs are often multi-modal in the latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Zheng Zhao , Sebastian Mair , Thomas B. Schön , Jens Sjölund

We derive the full kinetic equations describing the evolution of the probability density distribution for a structured population such as cells distributed according to their ages and sizes. The kinetic equations for such a "sizer-timer"…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Mingtao Xia , Tom Chou

Simulating Markovian open quantum systems in the semiclassical regime poses a grand challenge for computational physics, as the highly oscillatory nature of the dynamics imposes prohibitive resolution requirements on traditional grid-based…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 Limin Xu , Zhen Huang , Zhennan Zhou

A stochastic evolutionary dynamics of two strategies given by 2 x 2 matrix games is studied in finite populations. We focus on stochastic properties of fixation: how a strategy represented by a single individual wins over the entire…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Tibor Antal , Istvan Scheuring

Agent-based models capture heterogeneity among individuals in a population and are widely used in studies of multi-cellular systems, disease, epidemics and demography to name a few. However, existing frameworks consider discrete time-step…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-03 Paul Piho , Philipp Thomas

Probabilistic approaches for handling count-valued time sequences have attracted amounts of research attentions because their ability to infer explainable latent structures and to estimate uncertainties, and thus are especially suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Jiahao Wang , Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl , Xiuzhen Cheng , Pengfei Hu , Guoming Zhang

Many models of population dynamics are formulated as deterministic iterated maps although real populations are stochastic. This is justifiable in the limit of large population sizes, as the stochastic fluctuations are negligible then.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-16 Snehal M. Shekatkar

The proposed stochastic model for pedestrian dynamics is based on existing approaches using cellular automata, combined with substantial extensions, to compensate the deficiencies resulting of the discrete grid structure. This agent motion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-01 Michael Schultz

The nonlinearity of dynamics in systems biology makes it hard to infer them from experimental data. Simple linear models are computationally efficient, but cannot incorporate these important nonlinearities. An adaptive method based on the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-19 Bryan C. Daniels , Ilya Nemenman

Traditionally, frequency dependent evolutionary dynamics is described by deterministic replicator dynamics assuming implicitly infinite population sizes. Only recently have stochastic processes been introduced to study evolutionary dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

We introduce a powerful and flexible MCMC algorithm for stochastic simulation. The method builds on a pseudo-marginal method originally introduced in [Genetics 164 (2003) 1139--1160], showing how algorithms which are approximations to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-01 Christophe Andrieu , Gareth O. Roberts

We present a data-driven approach to use the Koopman generator for prediction and optimal control of control-affine stochastic systems. We provide a novel conceptual approach and a proof-of-principle for the determination of optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Lei Guo , Jan Heiland , Feliks Nüske

In this work, we present and analyze a system of PDEs, which models tumor growth by considering chemotaxis, active transport, and random effects. The stochasticity of the system is modelled by random initial data and Wiener noises that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Marvin Fritz , Luca Scarpa

The question of how to incorporate curvature information in stochastic approximation methods is challenging. The direct application of classical quasi- Newton updating techniques for deterministic optimization leads to noisy curvature…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-02-19 R. H. Byrd , S. L. Hansen , J. Nocedal , Y. Singer

Computational systems and methods are often being used in biological research, including the understanding of cancer and the development of treatments. Simulations of tumor growth and its response to different drugs are of particular…

We introduce generative models for accelerating simulations of complex systems through learning and evolving their effective dynamics. In the proposed Generative Learning of Effective Dynamics (G-LED), instances of high dimensional data are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Han Gao , Sebastian Kaltenbach , Petros Koumoutsakos