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We prove a law of large numbers for the range of rotor walks with random initial configuration on regular trees and on Galton-Watson trees. More precisely, we show that on the classes of trees under consideration, even in the case when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Wilfried Huss , Ecaterina Sava-Huss

We consider the biased random walk on a critical Galton-Watson tree conditioned to survive, and confirm that this model with trapping belongs to the same universality class as certain one-dimensional trapping models with slowly-varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-20 David A. Croydon , Alexander Fribergh , Takashi Kumagai

A multi-type neutral Cannings population model with mutation and fixed subpopulation sizes is analyzed. Under appropriate conditions, as all subpopulation sizes tend to infinity, the ancestral process, properly time-scaled, converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Martin Möhle

We consider the bifurcating Markov chain model introduced by Guyon to detect cellular aging from cell lineage. To take into account the possibility for a cell to die, we use an underlying Galton-Watson process to describe the evolution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-08 Jean-François Delmas , Laurence Marsalle

A generalised one-dimensional Fisher-Wright diffusion process with mutations is considered. This is a well-known model in population genetics. An exponential recurrence is established for the process, which also implies an exponential rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Roman Sineokiy , Alexander Veretennikov

We study a genealogical model for continuous-state branching processes with immigration with a (sub)critical branching mechanism. This model allows the immigrants to be on the same line of descent. The corresponding family tree is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-13 Thomas Duquesne

In this paper, we consider Galton-Watson processes with immigration. Pick $i(\ge2)$ individuals randomly without replacement from the $n$-th generation and trace their lines of descent back in time till they coalesce into $1$ individual in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Hua-Ming Wang , Lulu Li , Huizi Yao

We consider Galton-Watson trees with Geom$(p)$ offspring distribution. We let $T_{\infty}(p)$ denote such a tree conditioned on being infinite. We prove that for any $1/2\leq p_1 <p_2 \leq 1$, there exists a coupling between…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Erik I. Broman

We prove that the speed of $\lambda$-biased random walks on a supercritical Galton-Watson tree without leaves is differentiable when $\lambda\in(0,1)$, and give an expression of the derivative using a certain 2-dimensional Gaussian random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-21 Yuki Tokushige

We consider neutral evolution of a large population subject to changes in its population size. For a population with a time-variable carrying capacity we have computed the distributions of the total branch lengths of its sample genealogies.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-13 A. Eriksson , B. Mehlig , M. Rafajlovic , S. Sagitov

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

A class of branching processes in varying environments is exhibited which become extinct almost surely even though the means M_n grow fast enough so that sum M_n^{-1} is finite. In fact, such a process is constructed for every offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

Stochastic models of sequential mutation acquisition are widely used to quantify cancer and bacterial evolution. Across manifold scenarios, recurrent research questions are: how many cells are there with $n$ alterations, and how long will…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-07 Michael D. Nicholson , David Cheek , Tibor Antal

By using the matrix formulation of the two-step approach to distributions of patterns in random sequences, recurrence and explicit formulas for the generating functions of successions in random permutations of arbitrary multisets are…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Yong Kong

This article is an essay, both expository and argumentative, on the Galton-Watson process as a tool in the domain of Branching Processes. It is at the same time the author's ways to honour two distinguished scientists in this domain, both…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-20 F. Thomas Bruss

We studied how to obtain a distribution for the number of ancestors in species of sexual reproduction. Present models concentrate on the estimation of distributions repetitions of ancestors in genealogical trees. It has been shown that is…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-09-12 M. Caruso , C. Jarne

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

The linear-fractional Galton-Watson processes is a well known case when many characteristics of a branching process can be computed explicitly. In this paper we extend the two-parameter linear-fractional family to a much richer…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-11 Serik Sagitov , Alexey Lindo

Repetitions within a given genealogical tree provides some information about the degree of consanguineity of a population. They can be analyzed with techniques usually employed in statistical physics when dealing with fixed point…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Paolo De Los Rios , Oscar Pla

We consider the simple random walk on Galton-Watson trees with supercritical offspring distribution, conditioned on non-extinction. In case the offspring distribution has finite support, we prove an upper bound for the annealed return…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Peter Müller , Jakob Stern