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Hidden Markov Model (HMM) combined with Gaussian Process (GP) emission can be effectively used to estimate the hidden state with a sequence of complex input-output relational observations. Especially when the spectral mixture (SM) kernel is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Yohan Jung , Jinkyoo Park

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Different disciplines pursue the aim to develop models which characterize certain phenomena as accurately as possible. Climatology is a prime example, where the temporal evolution of the climate is modeled. In order to compare and improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-03 T. M. Erhardt , C. Czado , T. L. Thorarinsdottir

Time-varying optimization problems are central to many engineering applications, where performance metrics and system constraints evolve dynamically with time. Several algorithms have been proposed to address these problems; a common…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Gianluca Bianchin , Bryan Van Scoy

The energy transition is causing many stability-related challenges for power systems. Transient stability refers to the ability of a power grid's bus angles to retain synchronism after the occurrence of a major fault. In this paper a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Tim Aschenbruck , Willem Esterhuizen , Stefan Streif

This paper examines the concept of change in conceptual modeling. Change is inherent in the nature of things and has increasingly become a focus of much interest and investigation. Change can be modeled as a transition between two states of…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Sabah Al-Fedaghi

Forecasting the number of trips in bike-sharing systems and its volatility over time is crucial for planning and optimizing such systems. This paper develops timeseries models to forecast hourly count timeseries data, and estimate its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Alireza Hosseini , Reza Hosseini

This lecture deals with glassy dynamics and aging in disordered systems. Special emphasis is put on dynamic mean field theory. In the first part I present some of the systems of interest, in particular spin-glasses, supercooled liquids and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Heinz Horner

Temporal data, notably time series and spatio-temporal data, are prevalent in real-world applications. They capture dynamic system measurements and are produced in vast quantities by both physical and virtual sensors. Analyzing these data…

Multivariate time series (MTS) anomaly detection commonly encounters in various domains like finance, healthcare, and industrial monitoring. However, existing MTS anomaly detection methods are mostly defined on the static graph structure,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Jia Li , Shiyu Long , Ye Yuan

Current studies on adversarial robustness mainly focus on aggregating local robustness results from a set of data samples to evaluate and rank different models. However, the local statistics may not well represent the true global robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Zaitang Li , Pin-Yu Chen , Tsung-Yi Ho

In this paper, we present XST-GCNN (eXplainable Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Network), a novel architecture for processing heterogeneous and irregular Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data. Our approach captures temporal and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Óscar Escudero-Arnanz , Cristina Soguero-Ruiz , Antonio G. Marques

Timed transition systems are behavioural models that include an explicit treatment of time flow and are used to formalise the semantics of several foundational process calculi and automata. Despite their relevance, a general mathematical…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Tomasz Brengos , Marco Peressotti

Whitening is a classical technique in unsupervised learning that can facilitate estimation tasks by standardizing data. An important application is the estimation of latent variable models via the decomposition of tensors built from…

Traditional methods for solving linear systems have quickly become impractical due to an increase in the size of available data. Utilizing massive amounts of data is further complicated when the data is incomplete or has missing entries. In…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-09 Anna Ma , Deanna Needell

Graphs are widespread data structures used to model a wide variety of problems. The sheer amount of data to be processed has prompted the creation of a myriad of systems that help us cope with massive scale graphs. The pressure to deliver…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-10-09 Luis M. Vaquero , Felix Cuadrado , Matei Ripeanu

This paper is a preliminary work to address the problem of dynamical systems with parameters varying in time. An idea to predict their behaviour is proposed. These systems are called \emph{transient systems}, and are distinguished from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-04 Ugo Galvanetto , Luca Magri

This paper considers a stochastic control framework, in which the residual model uncertainty of the dynamical system is learned using a Gaussian Process (GP). In the proposed formulation, the residual model uncertainty consists of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-26 Marcel Menner , Karl Berntorp