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The comparative analysis of output from multiple models, and against observational data analysis archives, has become a key methodology in reducing uncertainty in climate projections, and in improving forecast skill of medium- and long-term…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-11-21 Venkatramani Balaji , Alistair Adcroft , Zhi Liang

An emerging way of tackling the dimensionality issues arising in the modeling of a multivariate process is to assume that the inherent data structure can be captured by a graph. Nevertheless, though state-of-the-art graph-based methods have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-13 Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin

Rapid developments in advanced sensing and imaging have significantly enhanced information visibility, opening opportunities for predictive modeling of complex dynamic systems. However, sensing signals acquired from such complex systems are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-02 Xizhuo Zhang , Bing Yao

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has recently shown its capabilities for almost every field of life. Machine Learning, which is a subset of AI, is a `HOT' topic for researchers. Machine Learning outperforms other classical forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Gang He , Khwaja Mutahir Ahmad , Wenxin Yu , Xiaochuan Xu , Jay Kumar

We consider a stochastic model of clock synchronization in a wireless network consisting of N sensors interacting with one dedicated accurate time server. For large N we find an estimate of the final time sychronization error for global and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-04 Anatoly Manita

In this paper we explore a covariance spectral modelling strategy for spatial-temporal processes which involves a spectral approach for time but a covariance approach for space.It facilitates the analysis of coherence between the temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-17 A. M. Mosammam , J. T. Kent

The problem of change-point estimation is considered under a general framework where the data are generated by unknown stationary ergodic process distributions. In this context, the consistent estimation of the number of change-points is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-15 Azaden Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

The non-stationary nature of real-world Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data presents forecasting models with a formidable challenge of the time-variant distribution of time series, referred to as distribution shift. Existing studies on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Hui He , Qi Zhang , Kun Yi , Xiaojun Xue , Shoujin Wang , Liang Hu , Longbing Cao

Accurately predicting the behavior of complex dynamical systems, characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) in interconnected sensor networks, is crucial for informed decision-making in various applications to minimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Krishna Sai Sudhir Aripirala , Shivam Gupta , Venkataramana Runkana

This paper introduces a new transformer-based model for the problem of travel time estimation. The key feature of the proposed GCT-TTE architecture is the utilization of different data modalities capturing different properties of an input…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Vladimir Mashurov , Vaagn Chopurian , Vadim Porvatov , Arseny Ivanov , Natalia Semenova

The existence of generalized steady states (GSSs) in nonlinear mechanical systems under moderate temporally aperiodic forcing has only been shown recently. Here we derive systematic expansions for such GSSs and construct a numerical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Roshan S. Kaundinya , Isabella Thiel , Bálint Kaszás , Shobhit Jain , George Haller

For prediction and real-time control tasks, machine-learning (ML)-based digital twins are frequently employed. However, while these models are typically accurate, they are custom-designed for individual systems, making system-to-system…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-06-07 Niranjan Sitapure , Joseph S. Kwon

This paper revisits the classical notion of sampling in the setting of real-time temporal logics for the modeling and analysis of systems. The relationship between the satisfiability of Metric Temporal Logic (MTL) formulas over…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Carlo A. Furia , Matteo Rossi

Knowledge graphs (KGs) have been increasingly employed for link prediction and recommendation using real-world datasets. However, the majority of current methods rely on static data, neglecting the dynamic nature and the hidden…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Ruiyi Yang , Flora D. Salim , Hao Xue

This paper introduces a new market-implied object, Time to Transition (TtT), extracted from the difference between two selected nodes of the greenium term structure. TtT is defined as the latent waiting time until this cross-maturity…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-06 Lorenzo Mercuri , Andrea Perchiazzo , Edit Rroji , Ilaria Stefano

In this paper, we study the control of dynamical systems under temporal logic task specifications using gradient-based methods relying on quantitative measures that express the extent to which the tasks are satisfied. A class of controllers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-06 Peter Varnai , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti

Modeling spatiotemporal dynamical systems is a fundamental challenge in machine learning. Transformer models have been very successful in NLP and computer vision where they provide interpretable representations of data. However, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Antonio H. de O. Fonseca , Emanuele Zappala , Josue Ortega Caro , David van Dijk

Score-based generative models (SGMs) are generative models that are in the spotlight these days. Time-series frequently occurs in our daily life, e.g., stock data, climate data, and so on. Especially, time-series forecasting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Haksoo Lim , Minjung Kim , Sewon Park , Noseong Park

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial for quantifying future uncertainty, with significant applications in fields such as energy and finance. However, existing methods often rely on computationally expensive sampling or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Lei Liu , Tengyuan Liu , Hongwei Zhao , Jiahui Huang , Ruibo Guo , Bin Li