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Collective oscillations and patterns of synchrony have long fascinated researchers in the applied sciences, particularly due to their far-reaching importance in chemistry, physics, and biology. The Kuramoto model has emerged as a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Jason Bramburger , Matt Holzer

Many applications involve data with qualitative and quantitative responses. When there is an association between the two responses, a joint model will provide improved results than modeling them separately. In this paper, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Xiaoning Kang , Shyam Ranganathan , Lulu Kang , Julia Gohlke , Xinwei Deng

We consider the inertial Kuramoto model of $N$ globally coupled oscillators characterized by both their phase and angular velocity, in which there is a time delay in the interaction between the oscillators. Besides the academic interest, we…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-05-29 David Métivier , Lucas Wetzel , Shamik Gupta

We compare the accuracy, precision and reliability of different methods for estimating key system parameters for two-level systems subject to Hamiltonian evolution and decoherence. It is demonstrated that the use of Bayesian modelling and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-10-15 Sophie Schirmer , Frank Langbein

Computer models are widely used in science and engineering to simulate complex systems. However, these models are affected by several sources of uncertainty, which may limit their use for decision making in risk management. We present a…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-17 Oumar Baldé , Guillaume Damblin , Amandine Marrel , Antoine Bouloré , Loïc Giraldi

We present a novel technique for tailoring Bayesian quadrature (BQ) to model selection. The state-of-the-art for comparing the evidence of multiple models relies on Monte Carlo methods, which converge slowly and are unreliable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Henry Chai , Jean-Francois Ton , Roman Garnett , Michael A. Osborne

Inferring the state and unknown parameters of a network of coupled oscillators is of utmost importance. This task is made harder when only partial and noisy observations are available, which is a typical scenario in realistic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-04-07 Lauren D. Smith , Georg A. Gottwald

We deal with estimation of multiple dipoles from combined MEG and EEG time--series. We use a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm to characterize the posterior distribution of the number of dipoles and their locations. By considering three test…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-20 Filippo Rossi , Gianvittorio Luria , Sara Sommariva , Alberto Sorrentino

An understanding of how input parameter uncertainty in the numerical simulation of physical models leads to simulation output uncertainty is a challenging task. Common methods for quantifying output uncertainty, such as performing a grid or…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-09-25 Samuel G. McCallum , James E. Lerpiniére , Kjeld O. Jensen , Alison B. Walker

A mixture of experts models the conditional density of a response variable using a mixture of regression models with covariate-dependent mixture weights. We extend the finite mixture of experts model by allowing the parameters in both the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-14 Parfait Munezero , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

We present a novel Bayesian model and a corresponding robust, probabilistic calibration procedure for the CORSAIR polarimeter that can be applied to other polarimeters. Our calibration procedure combines existing Mueller matrix…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-28 Alan Hsu , Jenna Samra , Steven Tomczyk , Maxim Kramar

The present paper introduces a linear reformulation of the Kuramoto model describing a self-synchronizing phase transition in a system of globally coupled oscillators that in general have different characteristic frequencies. The…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2008-03-18 David C. Roberts

We study phase entrainment of Kuramoto oscillators under different conditions on the interaction range and the natural frequencies. In the first part the oscillators are entrained by a pacemaker acting like an impurity or a defect. We…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-11-18 Filippo Radicchi , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

Determining if two histograms are consistent, whether they have been drawn from the same underlying distribution or not, is a common problem in physics. Existing approaches are not only limited in power but also inapplicable to histograms…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-09-29 M. J. Betancourt

Synchronization is observed in many natural systems, with examples ranging from neuronal activation to walking pedestrians. The models proposed by Winfree and Kuramoto stand as the classic frameworks for investigating these phenomena. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-14 Guilherme S. Costa , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

Accurate comparisons between theoretical models and experimental data are critical for scientific progress. However, inferred physical model parameters can vary significantly with the chosen physics model, highlighting the importance of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-10-27 Sunil Jaiswal , Chun Shen , Richard J. Furnstahl , Ulrich Heinz , Matthew T. Pratola

Imagine a group of oscillators, each endowed with their own rhythm or frequency, be it the ticking of a biological clock, the swing of a pendulum, or the glowing of fireflies. While these individual oscillators may seem independent of one…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-13 Abhiram Gorle

Common models of synchronizable oscillatory systems consist of a collection of coupled oscillators governed by a collection of differential equations. The ubiquitous Kuramoto models rely on an {\em a priori} fixed connectivity pattern…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-01 Elizabeth A. Tripp , Feng Fu , Scott D. Pauls

I introduce a general, Bayesian method for modelling univariate time series data assumed to be drawn from a continuous, stochastic process. The method accommodates arbitrary temporal sampling, and takes into account measurement…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-24 C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

We study synchronization phenomenon in a self-correcting population of noisy phase oscillators with randomly distributed natural frequencies. In our model each oscillator stochastically switches its phase to the ensemble-averaged value…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-03-17 Sergey Belan