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We propose the Heterogeneous Thurstone Model (HTM) for aggregating ranked data, which can take the accuracy levels of different users into account. By allowing different noise distributions, the proposed HTM model maintains the generality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Tao Jin , Pan Xu , Quanquan Gu , Farzad Farnoud

A deterministic multiscale toy model is studied in which a chaotic fast subsystem triggers rare transitions between slow regimes, akin to weather or climate regimes. Using homogenization techniques, a reduced stochastic parametrization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-04-11 Lewis Mitchell , Georg A. Gottwald

One of the most critical problems we face in the study of biological systems is building accurate statistical descriptions of them. This problem has been particularly challenging because biological systems typically contain large numbers of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Yasser Roudi , Sheila Nirenberg , Peter Latham

Pairwise comparison methods, such as Fuzzy Preference Relations and Saaty's Multiplicative Preference Relations, are widely used to model expert judgments in multi-criteria decision-making. However, their application is limited by the high…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Diego García-Zamora , Álvaro Labella , José Rui Figueira

We consider the general performance of the difference-in-means estimator in an equally-allocated two-arm randomized experiment under common experimental endpoints such as continuous (regression), incidence, proportion, count and uncensored…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 David Azriel , Abba M. Krieger , Adam Kapelner

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

Although many successful ensemble clustering approaches have been developed in recent years, there are still two limitations to most of the existing approaches. First, they mostly overlook the issue of uncertain links, which may mislead the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-06 Dong Huang , Jian-Huang Lai , Chang-Dong Wang

Pairwise ranking systems based on Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), such as the Bradley-Terry model, are widely used to aggregate preferences from pairwise comparisons. However, their robustness under strategic data manipulation remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Junyi Yao , Zihao Zheng , Jiayu Long

Estimating spatial regression models on large, irregularly structured datasets poses significant computational hurdles. While Pairwise Likelihood (PL) methods offer a pathway to simplify these estimations, the efficient selection of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Giuseppe Arbia , Vincenzo Nardelli , Niccolo Salvini

The pairwise objective paradigms are an important and essential aspect of machine learning. Examples of machine learning approaches that use pairwise objective functions include differential network in face recognition, metric learning,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Hilal AlQuabeh , Aliakbar Abdurahimov

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

In this article, we primarily propose a novel Bayesian characterization of stationary and nonstationary stochastic processes. In practice, this theory aims to distinguish between global stationarity and nonstationarity for both parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

Large sectors of the recent optimization literature focused in the last decade on the development of optimal stochastic first order schemes for constrained convex models under progressively relaxed assumptions. Stochastic proximal point is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Andrei Patrascu

The Bradley-Terry model has previously been used in both Bayesian and frequentist interpretations to evaluate the strengths of sports teams based on win-loss game results. It has also been extended to handle additional possible results such…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 John T. Whelan , Jacob E. Klein

A common problem faced in statistical inference is drawing conclusions from paired comparisons, in which two objects compete and one is declared the victor. A probabilistic approach to such a problem is the Bradley-Terry model, first…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-19 Gabriel C. Phelan , John T. Whelan

This article concerns the predictive modeling for spatio-temporal data as well as model interpretation using data information in space and time. We develop a novel approach based on supervised dimension reduction for such data in order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-09 Heng-Hui Lue , ShengLi Tzeng

This work presents a methodology to estimate tire parameters and their uncertainty using a Bayesian optimization approach. The literature mainly considers the estimation of tire parameters but lacks an evaluation of the parameter…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Sven Goblirsch , Benedikt Ruhland , Johannes Betz , Markus Lienkamp

This paper studies the sparse identification problem of unknown sparse parameter vectors in stochastic dynamic systems. Firstly, a novel sparse identification algorithm is proposed, which can generate sparse estimates based on least squares…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Ziming Wang , Xinghua Zhu
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