English

The Tournament Tree Method for preference elicitation in Multi-criteria decision-making

Artificial Intelligence 2025-10-10 v1 Information Theory math.IT

Abstract

Pairwise comparison methods, such as Fuzzy Preference Relations and Saaty's Multiplicative Preference Relations, are widely used to model expert judgments in multi-criteria decision-making. However, their application is limited by the high cognitive load required to complete m(m1)/2m(m-1)/2 comparisons, the risk of inconsistency, and the computational complexity of deriving consistent value scales. This paper proposes the Tournament Tree Method (TTM), a novel elicitation and evaluation framework that overcomes these limitations. The TTM requires only m1m-1 pairwise comparisons to obtain a complete, reciprocal, and consistent comparison matrix. The method consists of three phases: (i) elicitation of expert judgments using a reduced set of targeted comparisons, (ii) construction of the consistent pairwise comparison matrix, and (iii) derivation of a global value scale from the resulting matrix. The proposed approach ensures consistency by design, minimizes cognitive effort, and reduces the dimensionality of preference modeling from m(m1)/2m(m-1)/2 to mm parameters. Furthermore, it is compatible with the classical Deck of Cards method, and thus it can handle interval and ratio scales. We have also developed a web-based tool that demonstrates its practical applicability in real decision-making scenarios.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2510.08197,
  title  = {The Tournament Tree Method for preference elicitation in Multi-criteria decision-making},
  author = {Diego García-Zamora and Álvaro Labella and José Rui Figueira},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2510.08197},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T06:26:45.914Z