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Prediction with expert advice is a foundational problem in online learning. In instances with $T$ rounds and $n$ experts, the classical Multiplicative Weights Update method suffers at most $\sqrt{(T/2)\ln n}$ regret when $T$ is known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Laura Greenstreet , Nicholas J. A. Harvey , Victor Sanches Portella

We apply the method of defensive forecasting, based on the use of game-theoretic supermartingales, to prediction with expert advice. In the traditional setting of a countable number of experts and a finite number of outcomes, the Defensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-12 Alexey Chernov , Yuri Kalnishkan , Fedor Zhdanov , Vladimir Vovk

Designing online algorithms with machine learning predictions is a recent technique beyond the worst-case paradigm for various practically relevant online problems (scheduling, caching, clustering, ski rental, etc.). While most previous…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Enikő Kevi , Kim-Thang Nguyen

We explore the use of expert-guided bandit learning, which we refer to as online mixture-of-experts (OMoE). In this setting, given a context, a candidate committee of experts must determine how to aggregate their outputs to achieve optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Larkin Liu , Jalal Etesami

When dealing with time series with complex non-stationarities, low retrospective regret on individual realizations is a more appropriate goal than low prospective risk in expectation. Online learning algorithms provide powerful guarantees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-30 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Abigail Z. Jacobs , Kristina Lisa Klinkner , Aaron Clauset

We study the prediction with expert advice setting, where the aim is to produce a decision by combining the decisions generated by a set of experts, e.g., independently running algorithms. We achieve the min-max optimal dynamic regret under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Hakan Gokcesu , Suleyman S. Kozat

The paper deals with on-line regression settings with signals belonging to a Banach lattice. Our algorithms work in a semi-online setting where all the inputs are known in advance and outcomes are unknown and given step by step. We apply…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-02-04 Fedor Zhdanov , Alexey Chernov , Yuri Kalnishkan

We study online algorithms with predictions using distributional advice, a type of prediction that arises when leveraging expert knowledge or historical data. To demonstrate the usefulness and versatility of this framework, we focus on the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Clément L. Canonne , Kenny Chen , Julián Mestre

We study the sequential general online regression, known also as the sequential probability assignments, under logarithmic loss when compared against a broad class of experts. We focus on obtaining tight, often matching, lower and upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

The games of prediction with expert advice are considered in this paper. We present some modification of Kalai and Vempala algorithm of following the perturbed leader for the case of unrestrictedly large one-step gains. We show that in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-06-30 Vladimir V. V'yugin

For the prediction with experts' advice setting, we construct forecasting algorithms that suffer loss not much more than any expert in the pool. In contrast to the standard approach, we investigate the case of long-term forecasting of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-28 Alexander Korotin , Vladimir V'yugin , Evgeny Burnaev

This paper considers the task of learning how to make a prognosis of a patient based on his/her micro-array expression levels. The method is an application of the aggregation method as recently proposed in the literature on theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-21 Kristiaan Pelckmans , Liu Yang

With the increasing volume of data in the world, the best approach for learning from this data is to exploit an online learning algorithm. Online ensemble methods are online algorithms which take advantage of an ensemble of classifiers to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-03 Mohammadzaman Zamani , Hamid Beigy , Amirreza Shaban

In this paper, we investigate the online non-convex optimization problem which generalizes the classic {online convex optimization problem by relaxing the convexity assumption on the cost function. For this type of problem, the classic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-14 Lin Yang , Cheng Tan , Wing Shing Wong

A mixture of experts models the conditional density of a response variable using a mixture of regression models with covariate-dependent mixture weights. We extend the finite mixture of experts model by allowing the parameters in both the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-14 Parfait Munezero , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

In this paper we extend the setting of the online prediction with expert advice to function-valued forecasts. At each step of the online game several experts predict a function, and the learner has to efficiently aggregate these functional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Alexander Korotin , Vladimir V'yugin , Evgeny Burnaev

We study the generalization performance of online learning algorithms trained on samples coming from a dependent source of data. We show that the generalization error of any stable online algorithm concentrates around its regret--an easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-08 Alekh Agarwal , John C. Duchi

We develop a unified and systematic framework for performing online nonnegative matrix factorization under a wide variety of important divergences. The online nature of our algorithm makes it particularly amenable to large-scale data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-17 Renbo Zhao , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Huan Xu

In an online decision problem, one makes decisions often with a pool of decision sequence called experts but without knowledge of the future. After each step, one pays a cost based on the decision and observed rate. One reasonal goal would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-23 Chunyang Xiao

Aggregating responses from crowd workers is a fundamental task in the process of crowdsourcing. In cases where a few experts are overwhelmed by a large number of non-experts, most answer aggregation algorithms such as the majority voting…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Yasushi Kawase , Yuko Kuroki , Atsushi Miyauchi