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Testing procedures for predictive regressions with lagged autoregressive variables imply a suboptimal inference in presence of small violations of ideal assumptions. We propose a novel testing framework resistant to such violations, which…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-16 Lorenzo Camponovo , Olivier Scaillet , Fabio Trojani

This work is concern with testing the low-dimensional parameters of interest with divergent dimensional data and variable selection for the rest under the sparse case. A consistent test via the partial penalized likelihood approach, called…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-20 Shanshan Wang , Hengjian Cui

We introduce the ARCH-m(X) model, a semiparametric extension of the ARCH-X framework in which the effect of a multivariate exogenous covariate vector X on the conditional variance is modeled through an unknown nonparametric function m(),…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Qing Wang

This paper derives several novel tests to improve on the t-test for testing AR(1) coefficients of panel time series, i.e., of multiple time series, when each has a small number of observations. These tests can determine the acceptance or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-23 Yu-Pin Hu , J. T. Gene Hwang

We develop a fully non-parametric, easy-to-use, and powerful test for the missing completely at random (MCAR) assumption on the missingness mechanism of a dataset. The test compares distributions of different missing patterns on random…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Meta-Lina Spohn , Jeffrey Näf , Loris Michel , Nicolai Meinshausen

In this article, a novel identification test is proposed, which can be applied to parameteric models such as Mixture of Normal (MN) distributions, Markow Switching(MS), or Structural Autoregressive (SVAR) models. In the approach, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Katarzyna Maciejowska

The use of U-statistics in the change-point context has received considerable attention in the literature. We compare two approaches of constructing CUSUM-type change-point tests, which we call the first-vs-full and first-vs-last approach.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Herold Dehling , Daniel Vogel , Martin Wendler

We present a novel approach to test for heteroscedasticity of a non-stationary time series that is based on Gini's mean difference of logarithmic local sample variances. In order to analyse the large sample behaviour of our test statistic,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-24 Sara Kristin Schmidt , Max Wornowizki , Roland Fried , Herold Dehling

We propose the use of U-statistics to reduce variance for gradient estimation in importance-weighted variational inference. The key observation is that, given a base gradient estimator that requires $m > 1$ samples and a total of $n > m$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Javier Burroni , Kenta Takatsu , Justin Domke , Daniel Sheldon

We have observed a common problem of solving for the marginal covariance of parameters introduced in new observations. This problem arises in several situations, including augmenting parameters to a Kalman filter, and computing weight for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Jianzhu Huai

It has been proposed that complex populations, such as those that arise in genomics studies, may exhibit dependencies among observations as well as among variables. This gives rise to the challenging problem of analyzing unreplicated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-08 Michael Hornstein , Roger Fan , Kerby Shedden , Shuheng Zhou

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

This article was motivated by the desire to improve Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for spatial survival models in which the locations of individuals in space are known. For a dataset comprising information on n individuals, standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-09 Benjamin M. Taylor

Robust test statistics for the two-way MANOVA based on the minimum covariance determinant (MCD) estimator are proposed as alternatives to the classical Wilks' Lambda test statistics which are well known to be very sensitive to outliers as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Bernhard Spangl

New data acquisition technologies allow one to gather huge amounts of data that are best represented as functional data. In this setting, profile monitoring assesses the stability over time of both univariate and multivariate functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Fabio Centofanti , Antonio Lepore , Biagio Palumbo

In applied research, it is often sensible to account for one or several covariates when testing for differences between multivariate means of several groups. However, the "classical" parametric multivariate analysis of covariance (MANCOVA)…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-28 Georg Zimmermann , Markus Pauly , Arne C. Bathke

We study the problem of testing whether the missing values of a potentially high-dimensional dataset are Missing Completely at Random (MCAR). We relax the problem of testing MCAR to the problem of testing the compatibility of a collection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Alberto Bordino , Thomas B. Berrett

A new portmanteau diagnostic test for vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models that is based on the determinant of the standardized multivariate residual autocorrelations is derived. The new test statistic may be considered an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-03 Esam Mahdi , A. Ian McLeod

New estimators for the mean and the covariance function for partially observed functional data are proposed using a detour via the fundamental theorem of calculus. The new estimators allow for a consistent estimation of the mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-01 Dominik Liebl , Stefan Rameseder

The large-sample behavior of non-degenerate multivariate $U$-statistics of arbitrary degree is investigated under the assumption that their kernel depends on parameters that can be estimated consistently. Mild regularity conditions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Alain Desgagné , Christian Genest , Frédéric Ouimet