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A new test is proposed for the weak white noise null hypothesis. The test is based on a new automatic choice of the order for a Box-Pierce or Hong test statistic. The test uses Lobato (2001) or Kuan and Lee (2006) HAC critical values. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Alain Guay , Emmanuel Guerre , Stepana Lazarova

Empirical researchers increasingly use upstream machine-learning (ML) methods to construct proxies for latent target variables from complex, unstructured data. A naive plug-in use of such proxies in downstream econometric models, however,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Lixiong Li

Hotelling's T-squared test is a classical tool to test if the normal mean of a multivariate normal distribution is a specified one or the means of two multivariate normal means are equal. When the population dimension is higher than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Tiefeng Jiang , Ping Li

Real-world data is frequently noisy and ambiguous. In crowdsourcing, for example, human annotators may assign conflicting class labels to the same instances. Partial-label learning (PLL) addresses this challenge by training classifiers when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Tobias Fuchs , Nadja Klein

The assumption of normality has underlain much of the development of statistics, including spatial statistics, and many tests have been proposed. In this work, we focus on the multivariate setting and first review the recent advances in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Wanfang Chen , Marc G. Genton

Using the linear Gaussian latent variable model as a starting point we relax some of the constraints it imposes by deriving a nonparametric latent feature Gaussian variable model. This model introduces additional discrete latent variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Adam Farooq , Yordan P. Raykov , Luc Evers , Max A. Little

In prior work we have introduced an asymptotic threshold of sufficient randomness for causal inference from observational data. In this paper we extend that prior work in three main ways. First, we show how to empirically estimate a lower…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-07 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Placede Tshiaba

Current adversarial attacks for multi-class classifiers choose the target class for a given input naively, based on the classifier's confidence levels for various target classes. We present a novel adversarial targeting method, \textit{MALT…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Odelia Melamed , Gilad Yehudai , Adi Shamir

The multivariate version of the Mixed Tempered Stable is proposed. It is a generalization of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures. Characteristics of this new distribution and its capacity in fitting tails and capturing dependence structure…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Asmerilda Hitaj , Friedrich Hubalek , Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji

A novel first-order autoregressive moving average model for analyzing discrete-time series observed at irregularly spaced times is introduced. Under Gaussianity, it is established that the model is strictly stationary and ergodic. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-31 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

Partial Observability -- where agents can only observe partial information about the true underlying state of the system -- is ubiquitous in real-world applications of Reinforcement Learning (RL). Theoretically, learning a near-optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Fan Chen , Yu Bai , Song Mei

This paper proposes novel methods to test for simultaneous diagonalization of possibly asymmetric matrices. Motivated by various applications, a two-sample test as well as a generalization for multiple matrices are proposed. A partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuchen Xu , Marie-Christine Düker , David S. Matteson

Microvariability consists in small time scale variations of low amplitude in the photometric light curves of quasars, and represents an important tool to investigate their inner core. Detection of quasar microvariations is challenging for…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-08 J. A. de Diego , J. Polednikova , A. Bongiovanni , A. M. Pérez García , M. A. De Leo , T. Verdugo , J. Cepa

Exact tests greatly improve the analysis of contingency tables when marginals are low. For instance, researchers often use Fisher's exact test, which is conditional, or Barnard's test, which is unconditional but needs to deal with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-28 Miguel Araujo-Voces , Víctor Quesada

A challenging problem in estimating high-dimensional graphical models is to choose the regularization parameter in a data-dependent way. The standard techniques include $K$-fold cross-validation ($K$-CV), Akaike information criterion (AIC),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-06-18 Han Liu , Kathryn Roeder , Larry Wasserman

Residual marked empirical process-based tests are commonly used in regression models. However, they suffer from data sparseness in high-dimensional space when there are many covariates. This paper has three purposes. First, we suggest a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-27 Xuehu Zhu , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

Given $n$ samples from a population of individuals belonging to different species, what is the number $U$ of hitherto unseen species that would be observed if $\lambda n$ new samples were collected? This is an important problem in many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-17 Stefano Favaro , Zacharie Naulet

Consider a random sample in the max-domain of attraction of a multivariate extreme value distribution such that the dependence structure of the attractor belongs to a parametric model. A new estimator for the unknown parameter is defined as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-05 John H. J. Einmahl , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

Automatic classification methods applied to sky surveys have revolutionized the astronomical target selection process. Most surveys generate a vast amount of time series, or \quotes{lightcurves}, that represent the brightness variability of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-01-31 Nicolas Castro , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara

We develop a general theory of omitted variable bias for a wide range of common causal parameters, including (but not limited to) averages of potential outcomes, average treatment effects, average causal derivatives, and policy effects from…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-28 Victor Chernozhukov , Carlos Cinelli , Whitney Newey , Amit Sharma , Vasilis Syrgkanis
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