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Failure probabilities for grid components are often estimated using parametric models which can capitalize on operational grid data. This work formulates a Bayesian hierarchical framework designed to integrate data and domain expertise to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Laurel N. Dunn , Ioanna Kavvada , Mathilde Badoual , Scott J. Moura

Wildfires pose an increasing threat to the safety and reliability of power systems, particularly in distribution networks located in fire-prone regions. To mitigate ignition risk from electrical infrastructure, utilities often employ safety…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Xinyi Zhao , Prasanna Raut , Chaoyue Zhao , Alexandre Moreira

The modeling of cascading failure in power systems is difficult because of the many different mechanisms involved; no single model captures all of these mechanisms. Understanding the relative importance of these different mechanisms is an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-17 Jiajia Song , Eduardo Cotilla-Sanchez , Goodarz Ghanavati , Paul D. H. Hines

Some applications of deep learning require not only to provide accurate results but also to quantify the amount of confidence in their prediction. The management of an electric power grid is one of these cases: to avoid risky scenarios,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Prolonged power outages debilitate the economy and threaten public health. Existing research is generally limited in its scope to a single event, an outage cause, or a region. Here, we provide one of the most comprehensive analyses of U.S.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Aman Ankit , Zhanlin Liu , Scott B. Miles , Youngjun Choe

Incorporating renewable energy sources into modern power grids has significantly decreased system inertia, which has raised concerns about power system vulnerability to disturbances and frequency instability. The conventional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-29 Negar Monir , Mahdieh S. Sadabadi , Sadegh Soudjani

Reliable forecasting is critical for early warning systems and adaptive drought management. Most previous deep learning approaches focus solely on homogeneous regions and rely on single-structured data. This paper presents a hybrid neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Julian Agudelo , Vincent Guigue , Cristina Manfredotti , Hadrien Piot

Given that disturbances to the stable and normal operation of power systems have grown phenomenally, particularly in terms of unauthorized access to confidential and critical data, injection of malicious software, and exploitation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Mofe O. Jeje

The power grid is going through significant changes with the introduction of renewable energy sources and incorporation of smart grid technologies. These rapid advancements necessitate new models and analyses to keep up with the various…

To study resilience with real data, it is necessary to group the individual outages recorded by utilities into events in which the outages bunch up and overlap due to extreme weather. We show how to automatically group utility outage data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-18 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

This paper has delved into the pressing need for intelligent emergency control in large-scale power systems, which are experiencing significant transformations and are operating closer to their limits with more uncertainties. Learning-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-10 Qiuhua Huang , Renke Huang , Tianzhixi Yin , Sohom Datta , Xueqing Sun , Jason Hou , Jie Tan , Wenhao Yu , Yuan Liu , Xinya Li , Bruce Palmer , Ang Li , Xinda Ke , Marianna Vaiman , Song Wang , Yousu Chen

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

The outage of a transmission line may change the system phase angle differences to the point that the system experience stress conditions. Hence, the angle differences for post-contingency condition of a transmission lines should be…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-22 Elham Foruzan , Sajjad Abedi , Jeremy Lin , Sohrab Asgarpoor , Emanuel Bernabeu

Unscheduled power disturbances cause severe consequences both for customers and grid operators. To defend against such events, it is necessary to identify the causes of interruptions in the power distribution network. In this work, we focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Odin Foldvik Eikeland , Inga Setså Holmstrand , Sigurd Bakkejord , Matteo Chiesa , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Drought is a serious natural disaster that has a long duration and a wide range of influence. To decrease the drought-caused losses, drought prediction is the basis of making the corresponding drought prevention and disaster reduction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Weiwei Jiang , Jiayun Luo

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

This paper reintroduces the notion of resilience in the context of recent issues originated from climate change triggered events including severe hurricanes and wildfires. A recent example is PG&E's forced power outage to contain wildfire…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Ahmed Imteaj , M. Hadi Amini , Javad Mohammadi

Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in…

In this paper, we propose an AC power flow based cascading failure model that explicitly considers external weather conditions, extreme temperatures in particular, and evaluates the impact of extreme temperature on the initiation and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-30 Seyyed Rashid Khazeiynasab , Junjian Qi

Increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events motivates the assessment of power system resilience. The random nature of power system failures during these events mandates probabilistic resilience assessment, but…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-05 Aidan Gerkis , Xiaozhe Wang
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