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Power system emergency control is generally regarded as the last safety net for grid security and resiliency. Existing emergency control schemes are usually designed off-line based on either the conceived "worst" case scenario or a few…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Qiuhua Huang , Renke Huang , Weituo Hao , Jie Tan , Rui Fan , Zhenyu Huang

To predict rare extreme events using deep neural networks, one encounters the so-called small data problem because even long-term observations often contain few extreme events. Here, we investigate a model-assisted framework where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Anna Asch , Ethan Brady , Hugo Gallardo , John Hood , Bryan Chu , Mohammad Farazmand

In this paper, we propose a robust data-driven process model whose hyperparameters are robustly estimated using the Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator. The proposed model is trained on recorded time-series data of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Pooja Algikar , Yijun Xu , Somayeh Yarahmadi , Lamine Mili

Power distribution systems (PDS) serve as the backbone of our modern society, ensuring electricity reaches homes, businesses, and critical infrastructure. However, the increasing digitization and interconnectivity of these systems have…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Mitikiri Sagar Babu , Victor Sam Moses Babu , Vedantham Lakshmi Srinivas , Pratyush Chakraborty , Mayukha Pal

With the expansion of renewables in the electricity mix, power grid variability will increase, hence a need to robustify the system to guarantee its security. Therefore, Transport System Operators (TSOs) must conduct analyses to simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Nathan Weill , Jonathan Dumas

In the electrical grid, the distribution system is themost vulnerable to severe weather events. Well-placed and coordinatedupgrades, such as the combination of microgrids, systemhardening and additional line redundancy, can greatly reduce…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-05-24 Arthur Barnes , Harsha Nagarajan , Emre Yamangil , Russell Bent , Scott Backhaus

Extreme events, exacerbated by climate change, pose significant risks to the energy system and its consumers. However there are natural limits to the degree of protection that can be delivered from a centralised market architecture.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-06 Farhad Billimoria , Filiberto Fele , Iacopo Savelli , Thomas Morstyn , Malcolm McCulloch

Prediction of power outages caused by convective storms which are highly localised in space and time is of crucial importance to power grid operators. We propose a new machine learning approach to predict the damage caused by storms. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-03 Roope Tervo , Joonas Karjalainen , Alexander Jung

Because of the impact of extreme heat waves and heat domes on society and biodiversity, their study is a key challenge. We specifically study long-lasting extreme heat waves, which are among the most important for climate impacts. Physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Francesco Ragone , Pierre Borgnat , Patrice Abry , Freddy Bouchet

We focus on large blackouts in electric distribution systems caused by extreme winds. Such events have a large cost and impact on customers. To quantify resilience to these events, we formulate large event risk and show how to calculate it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-21 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Infrastructure systems are critical in modern communities but are highly susceptible to various natural and man-made disasters. Efficient post-disaster recovery requires repair-scheduling approaches under the limitation of capped resources…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Huangbin Liang , Beatriz Moya , Francisco Chinesta , Eleni Chatzi

In this paper, a methodology inspired on bond and site percolation methods is applied to the estimation of the resilience against failures in power grids. Our approach includes vulnerability measures with both dynamical and structural…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-10-28 Cristian Camilo Galindo-González , David Angulo-García , Gustavo Osorio

The problem of nowcasting extreme weather events can be addressed by applying either numerical methods for the solution of dynamic model equations or data-driven artificial intelligence algorithms. Within this latter framework, the present…

This paper addresses the problem of predicting duration of unplanned power outages, using historical outage records to train a series of neural network predictors. The initial duration prediction is made based on environmental factors, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Aaron Jaech , Baosen Zhang , Mari Ostendorf , Daniel S. Kirschen

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to quantify community vulnerability towards power losses due to extreme weather events. To analyze the impact of weather events on the power grid, the wind fields of historical hurricanes from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Charlotte Wertz , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Anamika Dubey

Traditional power grid systems have become obsolete under more frequent and extreme natural disasters. Reinforcement learning (RL) has been a promising solution for resilience given its successful history of power grid control. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-09 Zhenting Zhao , Po-Yen Chen , Yucheng Jin

Developing models and metrics that can address resilience against disruptions is vital to ensure power grid reliability and that adequate recovery and adaptation mechanisms are in place. In this paper, we propose a novel disruption mapping…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Maureen S. Golan , Javad Mohammadi

Electricity networks are vulnerable to weather damage, with severe events often leading to faults and power outages. Timely forecasts of fault occurrences, ranging from nowcasts to several days ahead, can enhance preparedness, support…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Mateus Maia , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Jethro Browell

Extreme weather frequently cause widespread outages in distribution systems (DSs), demonstrating the importance of hardening strategies for resilience enhancement. However, the well-utilization of real-world outage data with associated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Wenlong Shi , Hongyi Li , Zhaoyu Wang

Extreme weather events and cyberattacks can cause component failures and disrupt the operation of power distribution networks (DNs), during which reconfiguration and load shedding are often adopted for resilience enhancement. This study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Roshni Anna Jacob , Prithvi Poddar , Jaidev Goel , Souma Chowdhury , Yulia R. Gel , Jie Zhang