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In this paper, we study the quickest change detection with mismatched post-change models. A change point is the time instant at which the distribution of a random process changes. The objective of quickest change detection is to minimize…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-27 Jingxian Wu , Jing Yang

We present a unifying approach to multiple testing procedures for sequential (or streaming) data by giving sufficient conditions for a sequential multiple testing procedure to control the familywise error rate (FWER), extending to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-25 Jay Bartroff , Jinlin Song

The problem of simultaneously testing the marginal distributions of sequentially monitored, independent data streams is considered. The decisions for the various testing problems can be made at different times, using data from all streams,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-21 Yiming Xing , Georgios Fellouris

This paper considers the problem of sequentially detecting a change in the joint distribution of multiple data sources under a sampling constraint. Specifically, the channels or sources generate observations that are independent over time,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Georgios Fellouris , Ali Tajer

A new approach to detect change points based on differential smoothing and multiple testing is presented for long data sequences modeled as piecewise constant functions plus stationary ergodic Gaussian noise. As an application of the STEM…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-20 Dan Cheng , Zhibing He , Armin Schwartzman

Modern information systems generate large volumes of data with anomalies that occur at unknown points in time and have to be detected quickly and reliably with low false alarm rates. The paper develops a general theory of quickest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Alexander G Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

This paper considers the change-point problem for finite sequences of networks. To avoid the difficulty of computing the normalization coefficient, such as in Exponential random graphical models (ERGMs) and Markov networks, we construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Lei Qiao , Dong Han

The paper investigates the problems of quickest change detection in Markov models and hidden Markov models (HMMs). Sequential observations are taken from a (hidden) Markov model. At some unknown time, an event occurs in the system and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-09 Qi Zhang , Zhongchang Sun , Luis C. Herrera , Shaofeng Zou

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

This article proposes a powerful scheme to monitor a large number of categorical data streams with heterogeneous parameters or nature. The data streams considered may be either nominal with a number of attribute levels or ordinal with some…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-17 Kaizong Bai , Jian Li

Sequential change-point detection seeks to rapidly identify distributional changes in streaming data while controlling false alarms. Existing multi-stream detection methods typically rely on non-private access to raw observations or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Lixing Zhang , Liyan Xie , Ruizhi Zhang

Across many risk-sensitive areas, it is critical to continuously audit machine learning systems as we receive more data to quickly determine if they are performing as designed. This auditing task can be modeled as a sequential hypothesis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Beepul Bharti , Ambar Pal , Jeremias Sulam

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

The problem of sequential anomaly detection and identification is considered, where multiple data sources are simultaneously monitored and the goal is to identify in real time those, if any, that exhibit ``anomalous" statistical behavior.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-09 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris

We study a statistical procedure based on higher criticism (HC) to address the sparse multi-stream quickest change-point detection problem. Namely, we aim to detect a potential change in the distribution of multiple data streams at some…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Tingnan Gong , Alon Kipnis , Yao Xie

Sequential change detection is a classical problem with a variety of applications. However, the majority of prior work has been parametric, for example, focusing on exponential families. We develop a fundamentally new and general framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-31 Jaehyeok Shin , Aaditya Ramdas , Alessandro Rinaldo

We present an approach for verifying systems at runtime. Our approach targets distributed systems whose components communicate with monitors over unreliable channels, where messages can be delayed, reordered, or even lost. Furthermore, our…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-09-26 David Basin , Felix Klaedtke , Eugen Zalinescu

We consider the problem of asynchronous online testing, aimed at providing control of the false discovery rate (FDR) during a continual stream of data collection and testing, where each test may be a sequential test that can start and stop…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Tijana Zrnic , Aaditya Ramdas , Michael I. Jordan

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

Modern data analysis frequently involves large-scale hypothesis testing, which naturally gives rise to the problem of maintaining control of a suitable type I error rate, such as the false discovery rate (FDR). In many biomedical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 David S. Robertson , James M. S. Wason , Aaditya Ramdas