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This paper presents three batch estimation methods that use noisy ground velocity and heading measurements from a vehicle executing a circular orbit (or similar large heading change maneuver) to estimate the speed and direction of a steady,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-10 Artur Wolek , James McMahon

Machine learning methods for the construction of data-driven reduced order model models are used in an increasing variety of engineering domains, especially as a supplement to expensive computational fluid dynamics for design problems. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-28 Stephen Guth , Alireza Mojahed , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

In operational weather models, the effects of turbulence in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) on the resolved flow are modeled using turbulence parameterizations. These parameterizations typically use a predetermined set of model…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-27 E. Y. Shin , M. F. Howland

We present an efficient neural-based approach to estimate the instantaneous flow field around an airfoil from limited surface pressure measurements. The model, denoted SNN-POD, relies on two independent shallow neural networks to predict…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-27 Quentin Bucquet , Bérengère Podvin , Caroline Braud , Emmanuel Guilmineau

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

Ensemble learning is a standard approach to building machine learning systems that capture complex phenomena in real-world data. An important aspect of these systems is the complete and valid quantification of model uncertainty. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent Coull

Inferring the number of distinct components contributing to an observation, while simultaneously estimating their parameters, remains a long-standing challenge across signal processing, astrophysics, and neuroscience. Classical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-01 Niklas Houba , Giovanni Giarda , Lorenzo Speri

We formulate a reduced-order strategy for efficiently forecasting complex high-dimensional dynamical systems entirely based on data streams. The first step of our method involves reconstructing the dynamics in a reduced-order subspace of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-08 Zhong Yi Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

We suggest a general approach to quantification of different forms of aleatoric uncertainty in regression tasks performed by artificial neural networks. It is based on the simultaneous training of two neural networks with a joint loss…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-05 Pavel Gurevich , Hannes Stuke

In this paper, we put forth a long short-term memory (LSTM) nudging framework for the enhancement of reduced order models (ROMs) of fluid flows utilizing noisy measurements. We build on the fact that in a realistic application, there are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Shady Ahmed , Suraj Pawar , Omer San , Adil Rasheed

In many learning based control methodologies, learning the unknown dynamic model precedes the control phase, while the aim is to control the system such that it remains in some safe region of the state space. In this work, our aim is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Farhad Farokhi , Alex Leong , Iman Shames , Mohammad Zamani

Aleatoric uncertainty is an intrinsic property of ill-posed inverse and imaging problems. Its quantification is vital for assessing the reliability of relevant point estimates. In this paper, we propose an efficient framework for…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-16 Chen Zhang , Bangti Jin

In machine learning, accurately predicting the probability that a specific input is correct is crucial for risk management. This process, known as uncertainty (or confidence) estimation, is particularly important in mission-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

We present a novel technique for amortized posterior estimation using Normalizing Flows trained with likelihood-weighted importance sampling. This approach allows for the efficient inference of theoretical parameters in high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Rajneil Baruah

Many traditional methods for wind turbine design and analysis assume quasi-steady aerodynamics, but atmospheric flows are inherently unsteady and modern turbine blades are susceptible to aeroelastic deformations. This study therefore…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-06-18 Nathaniel J. Wei , Omkar B. Shende

Scene flow estimation is an essential ingredient for a variety of real-world applications, especially for autonomous agents, such as self-driving cars and robots. While recent scene flow estimation approaches achieve a reasonable accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Yushan Zhang , Bastian Wandt , Maria Magnusson , Michael Felsberg

Machine learning methods have shown great success in various scientific areas, including fluid mechanics. However, reconstruction problems, where full velocity fields must be recovered from partial observations, remain challenging. In this…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-16 Qian Zhang , Dmitry Krotov , George Em Karniadakis

This proposed work introduces a data-assimilation-assisted approach to train neural networks, aimed at effectively reducing epistemic uncertainty in state estimates of separated flows. This method, referred to as model-consistent training,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-02 Minghan Chu

Noise prediction requires the resolution of relevant acoustic sources on all scales of a turbulent flow. High-resolution direct numerical and large-eddy simulation would be ideal but both are usually too costly despite developments in high…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-22 Sparsh Sharma , Marten Klein , Heiko Schmidt , Ennes Sarradj