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Reliable uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks is very crucial in safety-critical applications such as automated driving for trustworthy and informed decision-making. Assessing the quality of uncertainty estimates is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Neslihan Kose , Ranganath Krishnan , Akash Dhamasia , Omesh Tickoo , Michael Paulitsch

Reconstruction of fine-scale information from sparse data is relevant to many practical fluid dynamic applications where the sensing is typically sparse. Fluid flows in an ideal sense are manifestations of nonlinear multiscale PDE dynamical…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-28 Chen Lu , Balaji Jayaraman

This article addresses the challenge of adapting data-based models over time. We propose a novel two-fold modelling architecture designed to correct plant-model mismatch caused by two types of uncertainty. Out-of-domain uncertainty arises…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-17 Laura Boca de Giuli , Alessio La Bella , Riccardo Scattolini

This paper proposes an estimation framework to assess the performance of sorting over perturbed/noisy data. In particular, the recovering accuracy is measured in terms of Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) between the values of the sorting…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , H. Vincent Poor

Unsteady fluid systems are nonlinear high-dimensional dynamical systems that may exhibit multiple complex phenomena both in time and space. Reduced Order Modeling (ROM) of fluid flows has been an active research topic in the recent decade…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-05 Hamidreza Eivazi , Hadi Veisi , Mohammad Hossein Naderi , Vahid Esfahanian

In this paper, we develop a machine learning-based Bayesian approach to inversely quantify and reduce the uncertainties of the two-fluid model-based multiphase computational fluid dynamics (MCFD) for bubbly flow simulations. The proposed…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-22 Yang Liu , Dewei Wang , Xiaodong Sun , Yang Liu , Nam Dinh , Rui Hu

Object pose estimation is a fundamental problem in robotics and computer vision, yet it remains challenging due to partial observability, occlusions, and object symmetries, which inevitably lead to pose ambiguity and multiple hypotheses…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yufeng Jin , Niklas Funk , Vignesh Prasad , Zechu Li , Mathias Franzius , Jan Peters , Georgia Chalvatzaki

Accurate traffic flow estimation and prediction are critical for the efficient management of transportation systems, particularly under increasing urbanization. Traditional methods relying on static sensors often suffer from limited spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Jake Rap , Amritam Das

Diffusion and flow-based generative models have shown strong potential for image restoration. However, image denoising under unknown and varying noise conditions remains challenging, because the learned vector fields may become inconsistent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Jigang Duan , Genwei Ma , Xu Jiang , Wenfeng Xu , Ping Yang , Xing Zhao

In this paper we introduce concepts from uncertainty quantification (UQ) and numerical analysis for the efficient evaluation of stochastic high dimensional Newton iterates. In particular, we develop complex analytic regularity theory of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Julio Enrique Castrillon-Candas , Mark Kon

We present a general framework for uncertainty quantification that is a mosaic of interconnected models. We define global first and second order structural and correlative sensitivity analyses for random counting measures acting on risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz

We use Gaussian stochastic weight averaging (SWAG) to assess the model-form uncertainty associated with neural-network-based function approximation relevant to fluid flows. SWAG approximates a posterior Gaussian distribution of each weight,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-17 Masaki Morimoto , Kai Fukami , Romit Maulik , Ricardo Vinuesa , Koji Fukagata

A multifidelity method for the nonlinear propagation of uncertainties in the presence of stochastic accelerations is presented. The proposed algorithm treats the uncertainty propagation (UP) problem by separating the propagation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Francesco Sanfedino

Most uncertainty-aware robotic systems collapse prediction uncertainty into a single scalar score and use it to trigger uniform corrective responses. This aggregation obscures whether uncertainty arises from corrupted observations or from…

Inferring dynamical models from low-resolution temporal data continues to be a significant challenge in biophysics, especially within transcriptomics, where separating molecular programs from noise remains an important open problem. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Victor Chardès , Suryanarayana Maddu , Michael J. Shelley

Ultra-fast, precise, and controlled amplitude surrogates are essential for future LHC event generation. First, we investigate the noise reduction and biases of network ensembles and outline a new method to learn well-calibrated systematic…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-09 Henning Bahl , Nina Elmer , Tilman Plehn , Ramon Winterhalder

Quantifying the uncertainty in model parameters and output is a critical component in model-driven decision support systems for groundwater management. This paper presents a novel algorithmic approach which fuses Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-26 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , David Moxey

This article is concerned with the problem of determining an unknown source of non-potential, external time-dependent perturbations of an incompressible fluid from large-scale observations on the flow field. A relaxation-based approach is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Vincent R. Martinez

In this paper, we present a practical algorithm based on sparsity regularization to effectively solve nonlinear dynamic inverse problems that are encountered in subsurface model calibration. We use an iteratively reweighted algorithm that…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2009-11-13 Lianlin Li , B. Jafarpour

Understanding and accurately reproducing gust-induced unsteady aerodynamics is essential for improving load prediction, aeroelastic analysis, and control strategies in aircraft, uninhabited aerial vehicles, and wind turbines, particularly…