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Model selection is a necessary step in unsupervised machine learning. Despite numerous criteria and metrics, model selection remains subjective. A high degree of subjectivity may lead to questions about repeatability and reproducibility of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Wanyi Chen , Mary L. Cummings

A general class of models is proposed that is able to estimate the whole predictive distribution of a dependent variable $Y$ given a vector of explanatory variables $\xb$. The models exploit that the strength of explanatory variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Gerhard Tutz

Preferential attachment is an appealing mechanism for modeling power-law behavior of the degree distributions in directed social networks. In this paper, we consider methods for fitting a 5-parameter linear preferential model to network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-29 Phyllis Wan , Tiandong Wang , Richard A. Davis , Sidney I. Resnick

General regression and classification models are constructed as linear combinations of simple rules derived from the data. Each rule consists of a conjunction of a small number of simple statements concerning the values of individual input…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-12 Jerome H. Friedman , Bogdan E. Popescu

Mathematical modelling is a widely used approach to understand and interpret clinical trial data. This modelling typically involves fitting mechanistic mathematical models to data from individual trial participants. Despite the widespread…

Dynamical models underpin our ability to understand and predict the behavior of natural systems. Whether dynamical models are developed from first-principles derivations or from observational data, they are predicated on our choice of state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Daniel Floryan , Michael D. Graham

Peer effects, in which the behavior of an individual is affected by the behavior of their peers, are posited by multiple theories in the social sciences. Other processes can also produce behaviors that are correlated in networks and groups,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-16 Dean Eckles , Eytan Bakshy

Intransitivity is a critical issue in pairwise preference modeling. It refers to the intransitive pairwise preferences between a group of players or objects that potentially form a cyclic preference chain and has been long discussed in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Jiuding Duan , Jiyi Li , Yukino Baba , Hisashi Kashima

The influence model is a discrete-time stochastic model that succinctly captures the interactions of a network of Markov chains. The model produces a reduced-order representation of the stochastic network, and can be used to describe and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Chenyuan He , Yan Wan , Frank L. Lewis

Ordinal measurements are common outcomes in studies within psychology, as well as in the social and behavioral sciences. Choosing an appropriate regression model for analysing such data poses a difficult task. This paper aims to facilitate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Stefan Inerle , Markus Pauly , Moritz Berger

Multivariate data occurs in a wide range of fields, with ever more flexible model specifications being proposed, often within a multivariate generalised linear mixed effects (MGLME) framework. In this article, we describe an extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-09 Michael J. Crowther

The number of common friends (or connections) in a graph is a commonly used measure of proximity between two nodes. Such measures are used in link prediction algorithms and recommendation systems in large online social networks. We obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-14 Bikramjit Das , Souvik Ghosh

Modeling social interactions is a challenging task that requires flexible frameworks. For instance, dissimulation and externalities are relevant features influencing such systems -- elements that are often neglected in popular models. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Yuri Saporito , Max O. Souza , Yuri Thamsten

Causal models communicate our assumptions about causes and effects in real-world phe- nomena. Often the interest lies in the identification of the effect of an action which means deriving an expression from the observed probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-20 Santtu Tikka , Juha Karvanen

Motivated by empirical research on bias and opinion formation, we formulate a multidimensional nonlinear opinion-dynamical model where agents have individual biases, which are fixed, as well as opinions, which evolve. The dimensions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-14 Luka Baković , David Ohlin , Giacomo Como , Emma Tegling

No man is an island, as individuals interact and influence one another daily in our society. When social influence takes place in experiments on a population of interconnected individuals, the treatment on a unit may affect the outcomes of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-30 Edward K. Kao

Choice modeling is at the core of understanding how changes to the competitive landscape affect consumer choices and reshape market equilibria. In this paper, we propose a fundamental characterization of choice functions that encompasses a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-21 Amandeep Singh , Ye Liu , Hema Yoganarasimhan

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

Predicting when an individual will adopt a new behavior is an important problem in application domains such as marketing and public health. This paper examines the perfor- mance of a wide variety of social network based measurements…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-26 Nikhil Kumar , Ruocheng Guo , Ashkan Aleali , Paulo Shakarian

We present a class of inequality constraints on the set of distributions induced by local interventions on variables governed by a causal Bayesian network, in which some of the variables remain unmeasured. We derive bounds on causal effects…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Changsung Kang , Jin Tian