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When multiple models are considered in regression problems, the model averaging method can be used to weigh and integrate the models. In the present study, we examined how the goodness-of-prediction of the estimator depends on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Ryo Ando , Fumiyasu Komaki

Models of complex networks often incorporate node-intrinsic properties abstracted as hidden variables. The probability of connections in the network is then a function of these variables. Real-world networks evolve over time, and many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-19 Harrison Hartle , Fragkiskos Papadopoulos , Dmitri Krioukov

To understand how the interconnected and interdependent world of the twenty-first century operates and make model-based predictions, joint probability models for networks and interdependent outcomes are needed. We propose a comprehensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Cornelius Fritz , Michael Schweinberger , Subhankar Bhadra , David R. Hunter

We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. The standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

There are diverse mechanisms driving the evolution of social networks. A key open question dealing with understanding their evolution is: How various preferential linking mechanisms produce networks with different features? In this paper we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Haibo Hu , Jinli Guo , Xuan Liu

We develop a general framework for the identification of counterfactual parameters in a class of nonlinear semiparametric panel models with fixed effects and time effects. Our method applies to models for discrete outcomes (e.g., two-way…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-07 Irene Botosaru , Chris Muris

When neural networks are employed for high-stakes decision-making, it is desirable that they provide explanations for their prediction in order for us to understand the features that have contributed to the decision. At the same time, it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Penny Chong , Ngai-Man Cheung , Yuval Elovici , Alexander Binder

A novel information-theoretic approach is proposed to assess the global practical identifiability of Bayesian statistical models. Based on the concept of conditional mutual information, an estimate of information gained for each model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Sahil Bhola , Karthik Duraisamy

In crowdsourced preference aggregation, it is often assumed that all the annotators are subject to a common preference or social utility function which generates their comparison behaviors in experiments. However, in reality annotators are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Qianqian Xu , Jiechao Xiong , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang , Yuan Yao

We consider an analyst whose goal is to identify a subject's utility function through revealed preference analysis. We argue the analyst's preference about which experiments to run should adhere to three normative principles: The first,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-19 Fernando Payró , Evan Piermont

This paper investigates image inpainting with preference alignment. Instead of introducing a novel method, we go back to basics and revisit fundamental problems in achieving such alignment. We leverage the prominent direct preference…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Yutao Shen , Junkun Yuan , Toru Aonishi , Hideki Nakayama , Yue Ma

We consider the problem of fitting a linear model to data held by individuals who are concerned about their privacy. Incentivizing most players to truthfully report their data to the analyst constrains our design to mechanisms that provide…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-12 Rachel Cummings , Stratis Ioannidis , Katrina Ligett

We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. We are mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

The paper proposes a new latent variable model for the simultaneous (two-way) detection of outlying individuals and items for item-response-type data. The proposed model is a synergy between a factor model for binary responses and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yunxiao Chen , Yan Lu , Irini Moustaki

Most social choice rules assume access to full rankings, while current alignment practice -- despite aiming for diversity -- typically treats voters as anonymous and comparisons as independent, effectively extracting only about one bit per…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Luise Ge , Daniel Halpern , Gregory Kehne , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

A model, applicable to a range of innovation diffusion applications with a strong peer to peer component, is developed and studied, along with methods for its investigation and analysis. A particular application is to individual households…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-10-03 Nicholas J. McCullen , Alastair M. Rucklidge , Catherine S. E. Bale , Tim J. Foxon , William F. Gale

Designing recommendation systems that serve content aligned with time varying preferences requires proper accounting of the feedback effects of recommendations on human behavior and psychological condition. We argue that modeling the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Mihaela Curmei , Andreas Haupt , Dylan Hadfield-Menell , Benjamin Recht

Related to an idea of Lewin, a mathematical model for behavioral changes under the influence of a social field is developed. The social field reflects public opinion, social norms and trends. It is not only given by external factors (the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

A general Bayesian framework for model selection on random network models regarding their features is considered. The goal is to develop a principle Bayesian model selection approach to compare different fittable, not necessarily nested,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-30 Papamichalis Marios

Many network systems are composed of interdependent but distinct types of interactions, which cannot be fully understood in isolation. These different types of interactions are often represented as layers, attributes on the edges or as a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-13 Tiago P. Peixoto
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