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The paper considers a distributed robust estimation problem over a network with directed topology involving continuous time observers. While measurements are available to the observers continuously, the nodes interact according to a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-05-09 V. Ugrinovskii , E. Fridman

We investigate opinion spreading by a threshold model in a situation where the influence of people is heterogeneously distributed. We focus on the response of the average opinion as a function between the trend between out-degree (number of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-26 Eun Lee , Petter Holme

A general model for opinion formation and competition, like in ideological struggles is formulated. The underlying set is a closed one, like a country but in which the population size is variable in time. Several ideologies compete to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Nikolay K. Vitanov , Zlatinka I. Dimitrova , Marcel Ausloos

Research in epidemiology often focusses on designing interventions that result in the number of infected individuals asymptotically approaching zero, without considering that this number may peak at high values during transients. Recent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Willem Esterhuizen , Tim Aschenbruck , Jean Lévine , Stefan Streif

We develop an asymptotic theory of adversarial estimators ('A-estimators'). They generalize maximum-likelihood-type estimators ('M-estimators') as their average objective is maximized by some parameters and minimized by others. This class…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-20 Jonas Metzger

We consider a large class of social learning models in which a group of agents face uncertainty regarding a state of the world, share the same utility function, observe private signals, and interact in a general dynamic setting. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Elchanan Mossel , Manuel Mueller-Frank , Allan Sly , Omer Tamuz

We consider a generic system composed of a fixed number of particles distributed over a finite number of energy levels. We make only general assumptions about system's properties and the entropy. System's constraints other than fixed number…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Tomasz M. Łapiński

This paper re-examines the limit theorems of Abadie and Imbens for nearest-neighbor matching estimators of average treatment effects with a fixed number of matches. We establish, for the first time, a non-normalized central limit theorem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Songliang Chen , Fang Han

Behavioral theories rest on parsimony: a small number of mechanisms organizing many decisions. We define a Maximum Rule Concentration Index that measures how parsimoniously a dataset of risky choices can be organized through a library of…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-29 Avner Seror

Commutativity is a normative criterion of aggregation and updating stating that the aggregation of expert posteriors should be identical to the update of the aggregated priors. I propose a thought experiment that raises questions about the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-23 Yuzhao Yang

The paper is a sketch of systematic presentation of distributional limit theorems and their refinements for compound sums. When analyzing, e.g., ergodic semi-Markov systems with discrete or continuous time, this allows us to separate those…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Vsevolod K. Malinovskii

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We study a model of opinion formation where the opinions in conflict are not equivalent. This is the case when the subject of the decision is to respect a norm or a law. In such scenarios, one of the possible behaviors is to abide by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-03-29 M. F. Laguna , G. Abramson , S. Risau-Gusman , J. R. Iglesias

A new agent-based, bounded-confidence model for discrete one-dimensional opinion dynamics is presented. The agents interact if their opinions do not differ more than a tolerance parameter. In pairwise interactions, one of the pair, randomly…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-02-19 M. Kaan Öztürk

We investigate majority rule dynamics in a population with two classes of people, each with two opinion states $\pm 1$, and with tunable interactions between people in different classes. In an update, a randomly selected group adopts the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-23 P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

This paper introduces a class of objects called decision rules that map infinite sequences of alternatives to a decision space. These objects can be used to model situations where a decision maker encounters alternatives in a sequence such…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-09-12 Bhavook Bhardwaj , Siddharth Chatterjee

The diversity of a community that cannot be fully counted must be inferred. The two preeminent inference methods are the MaxEnt method, which uses information in the form of constraints and Bayes' rule which uses information in the form of…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-08-25 Adom Giffin

This paper discusses and contains offensive content. Language models (LMs) are used in decision-making systems and as interactive assistants. However, how well do these models making judgements align with the diversity of human values,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Michael Galarnyk , Agam Shah , Dipanwita Guhathakurta , Poojitha Nandigam , Sudheer Chava

We study the problem of sharing the revenues from broadcasting sports leagues axiomatically. Our key axiom is anonymity, the classical impartiality axiom. Other impartiality axioms already studied in these problems are equal treatment of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-12-30 Gustavo Bergantinos , Juan D. Moreno-Ternero

We study fixed point biased involutions that avoid a pattern. For every pattern of length three we obtain limit theorems for the asymptotic distribution of the (appropriately centered and scaled) number of fixed points of a random fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Jungeun Park , Douglas Rizzolo