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This paper studies higher-order inference properties of nonparametric local polynomial regression methods under random sampling. We prove Edgeworth expansions for $t$ statistics and coverage error expansions for interval estimators that (i)…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-26 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell

We propose a novel active learning strategy for regression, which is model-agnostic, robust against model mismatch, and interpretable. Assuming that a small number of initial samples are available, we derive the optimal training density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Danny Panknin , Klaus Robert Müller , Shinichi Nakajima

We address the problem of {\it adaptivity} in the framework of reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) regression. More precisely, we analyze estimators arising from a linear regularization scheme $g_\lam$. In practical applications, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-17 Nicole Mücke

Regression spline is a useful tool in nonparametric regression. However, finding the optimal knot locations is a known difficult problem. In this article, we introduce the Non-concave Penalized Regression Spline. This proposal method not…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-11 Heng Peng

We study the performances of an adaptive procedure based on a convex combination, with data-driven weights, of term-by-term thresholded wavelet estimators. For the bounded regression model, with random uniform design, and the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Christophe Chesneau , Guillaume Lecué

A nonparametric procedure for robust regression estimation and for quantile regression is proposed which is completely data-driven and adapts locally to the regularity of the regression function. This is achieved by considering in each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-06 Markus Reiss , Yves Rozenholc , Charles-Andre Cuenod

In this work, a fully nonparametric geostatistical approach to estimate threshold exceeding probabilities is proposed. To estimate the large-scale variability (spatial trend) of the process, the nonparametric local linear regression…

One of the main strengths of online algorithms is their ability to adapt to arbitrary data sequences. This is especially important in nonparametric settings, where performance is measured against rich classes of comparator functions that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Ilja Kuzborskij , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

We focus on the nonparametric density estimation problem with directional data. We propose a new rule for bandwidth selection for kernel density estimation. Our procedure is automatic, fully data-driven and adaptive to the smoothness degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-08 Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc

In this paper we propose an automatic selection of the bandwidth of the semi-recursive kernel estimators of a regression function defined by the stochastic approximation algorithm. We showed that, using the selected bandwidth and some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Yousri Slaoui

We study an adaptive estimation procedure called the Goldenshluger-Lepski method in the context of reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) regression. Adaptive estimation provides a way of selecting tuning parameters for statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-11 Stephen Page , Steffen Grünewälder

Two adaptive bandwidth selection methods for nonparametric estimators in locally stationary processes are proposed. We investigate a cross validation approach and a method based on contrast minimization and derive asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-28 Rainer Dahlhaus , Stefan Richter

This paper introduces a data-adaptive non-parametric approach for the estimation of time-varying spectral densities from nonstationary time series. Time-varying spectral densities are commonly estimated by local kernel smoothing. The…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

A new bandwidth selection rule that uses different bandwidths for the local linear regression estimators on the left and the right of the cut-off point is proposed for the sharp regression discontinuity estimator of the mean program impact…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-10 Yoichi Arai , Hidehiko Ichimura

In this paper, we propose a new semiparametric regression estimator by using a hybrid technique of a parametric approach and a nonparametric penalized spline method. The overall shape of the true regression function is captured by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-17 Takuma Yoshida , Kanta Naito

We present bounds on the maximal gain of adaptive and randomized algorithms over non-adaptive, deterministic ones for approximating linear operators on convex sets. If the sets are additionally symmetric, then our results are optimal. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-24 David Krieg , Erich Novak , Mario Ullrich

This paper develops a class of Bayesian non- and semiparametric methods for estimating regression curves and surfaces. The main idea is to model the regression as locally linear, and then place suitable local priors on the local parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort

A new method is proposed for variable screening, variable selection and prediction in linear regression problems where the number of predictors can be much larger than the number of observations. The method involves minimizing a penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-14 D. Vasiliu , T. Dey , I. L. Dryden

We want to recover the regression function in the single-index model. Using an aggregation algorithm with local polynomial estimators, we answer in particular to the second part of Question~2 from Stone (1982) on the optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-04 Stéphane Gaïffas , Guillaume Lecué

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum