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We propose a computationally efficient method to construct nonparametric, heteroscedastic prediction bands for uncertainty quantification, with or without any user-specified predictive model. Our approach provides an alternative to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Tengyuan Liang

In this paper we introduce a new methodology to determine an optimal coefficient of penalized functional regression. We assume the dependent, independent variables and the regression coefficients are functions of time and error dynamics…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Paramahansa Pramanik , Alan M. Polansky

We consider the problem of adaptation to the margin in binary classification. We suggest a penalized empirical risk minimization classifier that adaptively attains, up to a logarithmic factor, fast optimal rates of convergence for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 A. B. Tsybakov , S. A. van de Geer

We consider the problem of estimating a $d$-dimensional discrete distribution from its samples observed under a $b$-bit communication constraint. In contrast to most previous results that largely focus on the global minimax error, we study…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Wei-Ning Chen , Peter Kairouz , Ayfer Özgür

We introduce adaptive sampling methods for stochastic programs with deterministic constraints. First, we propose and analyze a variant of the stochastic projected gradient method where the sample size used to approximate the reduced…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Florian Beiser , Brendan Keith , Simon Urbainczyk , Barbara Wohlmuth

Elliptical slice sampling is a widely used gradient-free Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that is tuning-free and capable of adapting to local characteristics of the target distribution. However, its primary limitation is that sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-22 Nicholas Marco , Surya T. Tokdar

We investigate and extend the conformal prediction method due to Vovk,Gammerman and Shafer (2005) to construct nonparametric prediction regions. These regions have guaranteed distribution free, finite sample coverage, without any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-08 Jing Lei , James Robins , Larry Wasserman

The local least squares estimator for a regression curve cannot provide optimal results when non-Gaussian noise is present. Both theoretical and empirical evidence suggests that residuals often exhibit distributional properties different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-29 Ladan Tazik , James Stafford , John Braun

In this article we consider the problem of choosing an optimal sampling scheme for the regression problem simultaneously with that of model selection. We consider a batch type approach and an on-line approach following algorithms recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Ana Karina Fermin , Carenne Ludeña

In this paper we initiate a study of non parametric contextual bandits under shape constraints on the mean reward function. Specifically, we study a setting where the context is one dimensional, and the mean reward function is isotonic with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Subhabrata Sen

Nonparametric regression models with locally stationary covariates have received increasing interest in recent years. As a nice relief of "curse of dimensionality" induced by large dimension of covariates, additive regression model is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-02 Lixia Hu , Tao Huang , Jinhong You

The graphical Lasso (GLASSO) is a widely used algorithm for learning high-dimensional undirected Gaussian graphical models (GGM). Given i.i.d. observations from a multivariate normal distribution, GLASSO estimates the precision matrix by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-15 Ha Nguyen , Sumanta Basu

Kernel density estimation is a key component of a wide variety of algorithms in machine learning, Bayesian inference, stochastic dynamics and signal processing. However, the unsupervised density estimation technique requires tuning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Sunia Tanweer , Firas A. Khasawneh

Deep neural network is a state-of-art method in modern science and technology. Much statistical literature have been devoted to understanding its performance in nonparametric estimation, whereas the results are suboptimal due to a redundant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Ruiqi Liu , Ben Boukai , Zuofeng Shang

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a Gaussian or binary distribution in such a way that the resulting undirected graphical model is sparse. Our approach is to solve a maximum likelihood problem with an added l_1-norm…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-07-06 Onureena Banerjee , Laurent El Ghaoui , Alexandre d'Aspremont

This paper studies the distributed adaptiveestimation problems for stochastic large regression modelswith an infinite number of parameters. By constructing a re-cursive local cost function, we propose a novel distributedrecursive least…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-29 Die Gan , Siyu Xie , Zhixin Liu , Xuebo Zhang

In this note, we introduce a general version of the well-known elliptical potential lemma that is a widely used technique in the analysis of algorithms in sequential learning and decision-making problems. We consider a stochastic linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-20 Nima Hamidi , Mohsen Bayati

Random forests are a powerful method for non-parametric regression, but are limited in their ability to fit smooth signals, and can show poor predictive performance in the presence of strong, smooth effects. Taking the perspective of random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-08 Rina Friedberg , Julie Tibshirani , Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

For many algorithms, parameter tuning remains a challenging and critical task, which becomes tedious and infeasible in a multi-parameter setting. Multi-penalty regularization, successfully used for solving undetermined sparse regression of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-12 Markus Grasmair , Timo Klock , Valeriya Naumova

This paper develops a general asymptotic theory of local polynomial (LP) regression for spatial data observed at irregularly spaced locations in a sampling region $R_n \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. We adopt a stochastic sampling design that can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Daisuke Kurisu , Yasumasa Matsuda
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