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This paper contributes to the literature on parametric demand estimation by using deep learning to model consumer preferences. Traditional econometric methods often struggle with limited within-product price variation, a challenge addressed…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-16 Kirill Safonov

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Deep learning-based time series forecasting has found widespread applications. Recently, converting time series data into the frequency domain for forecasting has become popular for accurately exploring periodic patterns. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Hao Liu , Chun Yang , Zhang xiaoxing , Rui Ma , Xiaobin Zhu

Semiconductor manufacturing is an extremely complex and precision-driven process, characterized by thousands of interdependent parameters collected across diverse tools and process steps. Multi-variate time-series analysis has emerged as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Daniel Sorensen , Bappaditya Dey , Minjin Hwang , Sandip Halder

The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

It is a common practice in the current literature of electricity markets to use game-theoretic approaches for strategic price bidding. However, they generally rely on the assumption that the strategic bidders have prior knowledge of rival…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Arega Getaneh Abate , Dorsa Majdi , Jalal Kazempour , Maryam Kamgarpour

We investigate optimal order execution problems in discrete time with instantaneous price impact and stochastic resilience. First, in the setting of linear transient price impact we derive a closed-form recursion for the optimal strategy,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-31 Tao Chen , Mike Ludkovski , Moritz Voß

Kolmogorov Arnold Networks (KANs) are recent architectural advancement in neural computation that offer a mathematically grounded alternative to standard neural networks. This study presents an empirical evaluation of KANs in context of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Pankaj Yadav , Vivek Vijay

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

Kolmogorov--Arnold networks (KANs) have demonstrated their potential as an alternative to multi-layer perceptions (MLPs) in various domains, especially for science-related tasks. However, transfer learning of KANs remains a relatively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Yihang Gao , Michael K. Ng , Vincent Y. F. Tan

The Kolmogorov-Arnold network (KAN) is a regression model that is based on a representation of an arbitrary continuous multivariate function by a composition of functions of a single variable. Experimentally-obtained datasets for regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Andrew Polar , Michael Poluektov

The prediction of solar power generation is a challenging task due to its dependence on climatic characteristics that exhibit spatial and temporal variability. The performance of a prediction model may vary across different places due to…

Accurate and reliable energy forecasting is essential for power grid operators who strive to minimize extreme forecasting errors that pose significant operational challenges and incur high intra-day trading costs. Incorporating planning…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Giovanni Sansavini , Michael F. Howland , Olga Fink

Intraday electricity markets play an increasingly important role in balancing the intermittent generation of renewable energy resources, which creates a need for accurate probabilistic price forecasts. However, research to date has focused…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-15 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

Forecasts of regional electricity net-demand, consumption minus embedded generation, are an essential input for reliable and economic power system operation, and energy trading. While such forecasts are typically performed region by region,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-18 V. Gioia , M. Fasiolo , J. Browell , R. Bellio

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

Learning time series foundation models has been shown to be a promising approach for zero-shot time series forecasting across diverse time series domains. Insofar as scaling has been a critical driver of performance of foundation models in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Xinghong Fu , Yanhong Li , Georgios Papaioannou , Yoon Kim

The rapid growth of weather-dependent renewable generation increases price volatility and imbalance penalty risk in power markets, creating the need for advanced quantitative trading strategies. We develop a data-driven continuous-time…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Michael Samet , Raúl Tempone