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Electricity price is a key factor affecting the decision-making for all market participants. Accurate forecasting of electricity prices is very important and is also very challenging since electricity price is highly volatile due to various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Vasudharini Sridharan , Mingjian Tuo , Xingpeng Li

This paper combines a techno-economic energy system model with an econometric model to maximise electricity price forecasting accuracy. The proposed combination model is tested on the German day-ahead wholesale electricity market. Our paper…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-08 Souhir Ben Amor , Thomas Möbius , Felix Müsgens

Accurate solar generation prediction is essential for proper estimation of renewable energy resources across diverse geographic locations. However, geographical and weather features vary from location to location which introduces domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Md Saiful Islam Sajol

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for brick-and-mortar retailers to optimize inventory management and minimize costs. This study evaluates statistical baselines, tree-based ensembles (XGBoost and LightGBM), and deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Luka Hobor , Mario Brcic , Lidija Polutnik , Ante Kapetanovic

Accurate electricity load forecasting is essential for grid stability, resource optimization, and renewable energy integration. While transformer-based deep learning models like TimeGPT have gained traction in time-series forecasting, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Millend Roy , Vladimir Pyltsov , Yinbo Hu

This paper develops a machine learning-driven portfolio optimization framework for virtual bidding in electricity markets considering both risk constraint and price sensitivity. The algorithmic trading strategy is developed from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Yinglun Li , Nanpeng Yu , Wei Wang

This paper presents a methodology for strategic day-ahead planning that uses a combination of deep learning and optimization. A noise-driven recurrent neural network structure is proposed for forecasting electricity prices and local inflow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Martin Biel

While neural networks are achieving high predictive accuracy in multi-horizon probabilistic forecasting, understanding the underlying mechanisms that lead to feature-conditioned outputs remains a significant challenge for forecasters. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Alessandro Brusaferri , Danial Ramin , Andrea Ballarino

Accurate prediction of wind power is essential for the grid integration of this intermittent renewable source and aiding grid planners in forecasting available wind capacity. Spatial differences lead to discrepancies in climatological data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Md Saiful Islam Sajol , Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Jubair Yusuf

Energy storage resources must consider both price uncertainties and their physical operating characteristics when participating in wholesale electricity markets. This is a challenging problem as electricity prices are highly volatile, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Yousuf Baker , Ningkun Zheng , Bolun Xu

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

The computational cost of geochemical solvers is a challenging matter. For reactive transport simulations, where chemical calculations are performed up to billions of times, it is crucial to reduce the total computational time. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Leonardo Boledi , Dirk Bosbach , Jenna Poonoosamy

Due to imprecision and uncertainties in predicting real world problems, artificial neural network (ANN) techniques have become increasingly useful for modeling and optimization. This paper presents an artificial neural network approach for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Hasan M. H. Owda , Babatunji Omoniwa , Ahmad R. Shahid , Sheikh Ziauddin

Modern machine learning, grounded in the Universal Approximation Theorem, has achieved significant success in the study of phase transitions in both equilibrium and non-equilibrium systems. However, identifying the critical points of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-25 Dian Xu , Shanshan Wang , Wei Li , Weibing Deng , Feng Gao , Jianmin Shen

This study investigates the performance of machine learning models in forecasting electricity Day-Ahead Market (DAM) prices using short historical training windows, with a focus on detecting seasonal trends and price spikes. We evaluate…

This paper presents a model based on multilayer feedforward neural network to forecast crude oil spot price direction in the short-term, up to three days ahead. A great deal of attention was paid on finding the optimal ANN model structure.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2009-06-29 Siddhivinayak Kulkarni , Imad Haidar

The discovery of high-performance thermoelectric materials requires models that are both accurate and interpretable. Traditional machine learning approaches, while effective at property prediction, often act as black boxes and provide…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-12-15 Marco Fronzi , Michael J. Ford , Kamal Singh Nayal , Olexandr Isayev , Catherine Stampfl

We explore the zero-shot setting for day-night domain adaptation. The traditional domain adaptation setting is to train on one domain and adapt to the target domain by exploiting unlabeled data samples from the test set. As gathering…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Attila Lengyel , Sourav Garg , Michael Milford , Jan C. van Gemert

We consider the problem of forecasting the aggregate demand of a pool of price-responsive consumers of electricity. The price-response of the aggregation is modeled by an optimization problem that is characterized by a set of marginal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Javier Saez-Gallego , Juan M. Morales

Prediction in a new domain without any training sample, called zero-shot domain adaptation (ZSDA), is an important task in domain adaptation. While prediction in a new domain has gained much attention in recent years, in this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Tomoya Sakai , Naoto Ohsaka
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