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Related papers: The Global Carbon Budget as a cointegrated system

200 papers

Global Climate Models (GCMs) provide forecasts of future climate warming using a wide variety of highly sophisticated anthropogenic CO2 emissions models as input, each based on the evolution of four emissions "drivers": population p,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-04-06 Timothy J. Garrett

We propose a non-linear state-space model to examine the relationship between CO$_2$ emissions, energy sources, and macroeconomic activity, using data from 1971 to 2019. CO$_2$ emissions are modeled as a weighted sum of fossil fuel use,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-08 Mikkel Bennedsen , Eric Hillebrand , Jingying Zhou Lykke

Increases in atmospheric CO2 and CH4 result from a combination of forcing from anthropogenic emissions and Earth System feedbacks that reduce or amplify the effects of those emissions on atmospheric concentrations. Despite decades of…

Cumulative emissions accounting for carbon-dioxide (CO2) is founded on recognition that global warming in Earth System Models (ESMs) is roughly proportional to cumulative CO2 emissions, regardless of emissions pathway. However, cumulative…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-17 Ashwin K Seshadri

Understanding the lifetime of CO2 in the atmosphere is critical for predictions regarding future climate changes. A simple mass conservation analysis presented here generates tight estimations for the atmosphere's retention time constant.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-12-31 Riccardo DeSalvo

Despite well-meaning scenarios that propose global CO2 emissions will decline presented in every IPCC report since 1988, the trend of global CO2 increase continues without significant change. Even if any individual nation manages to flatten…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Brian P. Hanley , Pieter Tans , Edward A. G. Schuur , Geoffrey Gardiner , Steve Keen , Adam Smith

We do several simple calculations and measurements in an effort to gain understanding of global warming and the carbon cycle. Some conclusions are interesting: (i) There has been global warming since the end of the "little ice age" around…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Fabara , B. Hoeneisen

Precise and high-resolution carbon dioxide (CO$_2$) emission data is of great importance of achieving the carbon neutrality around the world. Here we present for the first time the near-real-time Global Gridded Daily CO$_2$ Emission…

The continuous rise in CO2 emission into the environment is one of the most crucial issues facing the whole world. Many countries are making crucial decisions to control their carbon footprints to escape some of their catastrophic outcomes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Aman Desai , Shyamal Gandhi , Sachin Gupta , Manan Shah , Samir Patel

Anthropogenic emissions of CO2 must soon approach net-zero to stabilize the global mean temperature. Although several international agreements have advocated for coordinated climate actions, their implementation has remained below…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-26 Saverio Perri , Simon Levin , Lars O. Hedin , Nico Wunderling , Amilcare Porporato

Mitigation of climate change will highly rely on a carbon emission trajectory that achieves carbon neutrality by the 2050s. The ocean plays a critical role in modulating climate change by sequestering CO2 from the atmosphere. Relying on the…

We constructed a near-real-time daily CO2 emission dataset, namely the Carbon Monitor, to monitor the variations of CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production since January 1st 2019 at national level with near-global…

We introduce new frameworks to study spatio-temporal patterns in carbon dioxide emissions, demographic trends and economic patterns across 50 countries over the past 50 years. Our analysis is broken up into four sections. First, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-20 Nick James , Max Menzies

The natural cycles of the surface-to-atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide (CO$_2$) and other important greenhouse gases are changing in response to human influences. These changes need to be quantified to understand climate change and its…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-20 Michael Bertolacci , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Andrew Schuh , Beata Bukosa , Jenny Fisher , Yi Cao , Aleya Kaushik , Noel Cressie

Global warming from carbon dioxide (CO2) is known to depend on cumulative CO2 emissions. We introduce a model of global expenditures on limiting cumulative CO2 emissions, taking into account effects of decarbonization and rising global…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-13 Ashwin K Seshadri

Building on near-real-time and spatially explicit estimates of daily carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, here we present and analyze a new city-level dataset of fossil fuel and cement emissions. Carbon Monitor Cities provides daily, city-level…

The diurnal cycle CO$_2$ emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production reflect seasonality, weather conditions, working days, and more recently the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Here, for the first time we provide a daily…

Carbon dioxide (CO2) increase has been well documented, and global net primary production is of importance to a variety of ecological topics. Since CO2 increases primary production in laboratory experiments, the global effects of increasing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-12-27 Benjamin Helyer , Michael Courtney

A model is proposed to explain the observed correlation between monthly fluctuations in atmospheric CO2 concentrations and temperatures. The model relies on the oceans being in a temperature-dependent equilibrium with the atmosphere. When…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-02-22 Francois Ouellette

Following the Paris Agreement of $2015$, most countries have agreed to reduce their carbon dioxide (CO$_2$) emissions according to individually set Nationally Determined Contributions. However, national CO$_2$ emissions are reported by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-26 Mikkel Bennedsen
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