English
Related papers

Related papers: The Global Carbon Budget as a cointegrated system

200 papers

Climate change and global warming are among the most significant issues that humanity is currently facing, and also among the issues that pose the greatest threats to all mankind. These issues are primarily driven by abnormal increases in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Hua Liu , Zhuoma Gangji , Yumei Wei , Jianhua Ye , Gang Ma

While it is well known that water availability controls vegetation growth and soil microbial activity, how aridity affects ecosystem carbon patterns is not completely understood. Towards a more quantitative assessment of terrestrial carbon…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-22 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato

To encourage and guide decarbonization efforts, better tools are needed to monitor real-time CO2 and criteria air pollutant emissions from electricity consumption, production, imports, and exports. Using real-time data from the electricity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-22 Jacques A de Chalendar , Sally M Benson

The high growth rate of atmospheric CO2 in 2023 was found to be caused by a severe reduction of the global net land carbon sink. Here we update the global CO2 budget from January 1st to July 1st 2024, during which El Ni\~no drought…

In the present study, for the first time, an effort sharing approach based on Inertia and Capability principles is proposed to assess European Union (EU27) carbon budget distribution among the Member States. This is done within the context…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-16 Ilaria Perissi , Aled Jones

This paper studies stochastic convergence of per capita CO$_2$ emissions in 28 OECD countries for the 1901-2009 period. The analysis is carried out at two aggregation levels, first for the whole set of countries (joint analysis) and then…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-02 María José Presno , Manuel Landajo , Paula Fernández González

We propose a new statistical reduced complexity climate model. The centerpiece of the model consists of a set of physical equations for the global climate system which we show how to cast in non-linear state space form. The parameters in…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-08 Mikkel Bennedsen , Eric Hillebrand , Siem Jan Koopman

This study provides a comprehensive time series analysis of daily industry-specific, country-wise CO$_2$ emissions from January 2019 to February 2023. The research focuses on the Power, Industry, Ground Transport, Domestic Aviation, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Suchetana Sadhukhan , Vivek Kumar Yadav

Quantitative estimates of the contributions of the anthropogenic forcing, characterized by changes in the radiative forcing of atmospheric greenhouse gases (CO2, in particular), and solar activity variations to the trends of the global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-11 Igor I. Mokhov , Dmitry A. Smirnov

Climate change is profoundly affecting nearly all aspects of life on earth, including human societies, economies and health. Various human activities are responsible for significant greenhouse gas emissions, including data centres and other…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Loïc Lannelongue , Jason Grealey , Michael Inouye

Amid China's dual-carbon transition, the synergistic alignment of green finance with green-technology innovation is pivotal for co-controlling pollution and CO2 emissions. Using panel data for 266 Chinese prefecture-level cities over…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-14 Guoqiang Liu , Ruijun Xie

As a core policy tool for China in addressing climate risks, green finance plays a strategically important role in shaping carbon mitigation outcomes. This study investigates the nonlinear and interaction effects of green finance on carbon…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-04 Mengxiang Zhu , Riccardo Rastelli

Over its multibillion-year history, the Earth has experienced a wide range of climates. The long-term climate is controlled by the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, which is regulated by marine sequestration through chemical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-31 Mark Baum , Minmin Fu , Stephen Bourguet

It is increasingly recognized that the multiple and systemic impacts of Earth system change threaten the prosperity of society through altered land carbon dynamics, freshwater variability, biodiversity loss, and climate extremes. For…

The global fraction of anthropogenically emitted carbon dioxide (CO$_2$) that stays in the atmosphere, the CO$_2$ airborne fraction, has been fluctuating around a constant value over the period 1959 to 2022. The consensus estimate of the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-22 Mikkel Bennedsen , Eric Hillebrand , Siem Jan Koopman

We estimate cumulative CO2 emissions during the period 2000 to 2050 from developed and developing countries based on the empirical relationship between CO2 per capita emissions (due to fossil fuel combustion and cement production) and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-02-21 Luís Costa , Diego Rybski , Jürgen P. Kropp

The glaciological record of atmospheric composition suggests O2 has declined over the last 800000 years at an average rate of 0.3 x 1012 mol (Tmol) O2 yr-1. Because the geological carbon cycle regulates long term atmospheric oxygen…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-07 Galvez Matthieu Emmanuel

Accurately quantifying terrestrial carbon exchange is essential for climate policy and carbon accounting, yet models must generalize to ecosystems underrepresented in sparse eddy covariance observations. Despite this challenge being a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Aleksei Rozanov , Arvind Renganathan , Yimeng Zhang , Vipin Kumar

Motivated by the climate crisis that is currently ravaging the planet, we propose and analyze a novel framework for the evolution of anthropogenic climate impact in which the evolution of human environmental behavior and environmental…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , A. Stephen Morse , Ming Cao

Due to climate change, the interest of studying our climatic system using mathematical modeling has become tremendous in recent years. One well-known model is Budyko's system, which represents the coupled evolution of two variables, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-25 Lucas Benney , Anca Radulescu