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We propose a novel method for forecasting the temporal evolution of probability distributions observed at discrete time points. Extending the Dynamic Probability Density Decomposition (DPDD), we embed distributional dynamics into…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-03 Ziyue Wang , Yuko Araki

Continuous determinantal point processes (DPPs) are a class of repulsive point processes on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with many statistical applications. Although an explicit expression of their density is known, it is too complicated to be used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-24 Arnaud Poinas , Frédéric Lavancier

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) studies decision problems under uncertainty where the probability distribution governing the uncertain problem parameters is itself uncertain. A key component of any DRO model is its ambiguity set,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Daniel Kuhn , Soroosh Shafiee , Wolfram Wiesemann

This paper presents a new theory, known as robust dynamic pro- gramming, for a class of continuous-time dynamical systems. Different from traditional dynamic programming (DP) methods, this new theory serves as a fundamental tool to analyze…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Tao Bian , Zhong-Ping Jiang

Stochastic programs where the uncertainty distribution must be inferred from noisy data samples are considered. The stochastic programs are approximated with distributionally-robust optimizations that minimize the worst-case expected cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Farhad Farokhi

We study decision dependent distributionally robust optimization models, where the ambiguity sets of probability distributions can depend on the decision variables. These models arise in situations with endogenous uncertainty. The developed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

We study control of constrained linear systems with only partial statistical information about the uncertainty affecting the system dynamics and the sensor measurements. Specifically, given a finite collection of disturbance realizations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Andrea Martin , John Lygeros , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari Trecate

The ability to compute reward-optimal policies for given and known finite Markov decision processes (MDPs) underpins a variety of applications across planning, controller synthesis, and verification. However, we often want policies (1) to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Linus Heck , Filip Macák , Milan Češka , Sebastian Junges

We analyse the conservatism and regret of distributionally robust (DR) stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) when using moment-based ambiguity sets for modeling unknown uncertainties. To quantify the conservatism, we compare the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-15 Maik Pfefferkorn , Venkatraman Renganathan , Rolf Findeisen

In real-world applications, it is important for machine learning algorithms to be robust against data outliers or corruptions. In this paper, we focus on improving the robustness of a large class of learning algorithms that are formulated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Quanming Yao , Hangsi Yang , En-Liang Hu , James Kwok

This paper presents a novel probabilistic approach to deep robot learning from demonstrations (LfD). Deep movement primitives (DMPs) are deterministic LfD model that maps visual information directly into a robot trajectory. This paper…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Alessandra Tafuro , Bappaditya Debnath , Andrea M. Zanchettin , Amir Ghalamzan E

We present a novel distributionally robust framework for dynamic programming that uses kernel methods to design feedback control policies. Specifically, we leverage kernel mean embedding to map the transition probabilities governing the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-20 Licio Romao , Ashish R. Hota , Alessandro Abate

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are an elegant model for encoding probabilities over subsets, such as shopping baskets, of a ground set, such as an item catalog. They are useful for a number of machine learning tasks, including product…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-17 Mike Gartrell , Ulrich Paquet , Noam Koenigstein

Submodular functions have applications throughout machine learning, but in many settings, we do not have direct access to the underlying function $f$. We focus on stochastic functions that are given as an expectation of functions over a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-07 Matthew Staib , Bryan Wilder , Stefanie Jegelka

Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (PTSF) plays a critical role in domains requiring accurate and uncertainty-aware predictions for decision-making. However, existing methods offer suboptimal distribution modeling and suffer from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Chih-Yu Lai , Yu-Chien Ning , Duane S. Boning

The modeling of dynamical systems is essential in many fields, but applying machine learning techniques is often challenging due to incomplete or noisy data. This study introduces a variant of stochastic interpolation (SI) for probabilistic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-03-18 Siddharth Rout , Eldad Haber , Stéphane Gaudreault

Recently, there has been a growing interest in distributionally robust optimization (DRO) as a principled approach to data-driven decision making. In this paper, we consider a distributionally robust two-stage stochastic optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Zhe Zhang , Shabbir Ahmed , Guanghui Lan

Control of nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPS) under uncertainty is a meaningful task for many industrial processes. However, both intrinsic uncertainty and high dimensionality of DPS require intensive computations, while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Min Tao , Ioannis Zacharopoulos , Constantinos Theodoropoulos

Ensuring safety through set invariance has proven to be a valuable method in various robotics and control applications. This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for the safe probabilistic invariance verification of both discrete- and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-06 Taoran Wu , Yiqing Yu , Bican Xia , Ji Wang , Bai Xue

Robotic systems must be able to quickly and robustly make decisions when operating in uncertain and dynamic environments. While Reinforcement Learning (RL) can be used to compute optimal policies with little prior knowledge about the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-09-13 Yunpeng Pan , Xinyan Yan , Evangelos Theodorou , Byron Boots
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