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This paper considers the surrogate modeling of a complex numerical code in a multifidelity framework when the code output is a time series. Using an experimental design of the low-and high-fidelity code levels, an original Gaussian process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Baptiste Kerleguer

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Embedding physical knowledge into neural network (NN) training has been a hot topic. However, when facing the complex real-world, most of the existing methods still strongly rely on the quantity and quality of observation data. Furthermore,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-20 Dashan Zhang , Yuntian Chen , Shiyi Chen

Surrogate models are extensively employed for forward and inverse uncertainty quantification in complex, computation-intensive engineering problems. Nonetheless, constructing high-accuracy surrogate models for complex dynamical systems with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Zhouzhou Song , Weiyun Xu , Marcos A. Valdebenito , Matthias G. R. Faes

Penalized empirical risk minimization with a surrogate loss function is often used to learn a high-dimensional linear decision rule in classification problems. Although much of the literature focus on the generalization error, there is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Muxuan Liang , Yang Ning , Maureen A Smith , Ying-Qi Zhao

Many real-world time series exhibit strong periodic structures arising from physical laws, human routines, or seasonal cycles. However, modern deep forecasting models often fail to capture these recurring patterns due to spectral bias and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

Crash simulations play an essential role in improving vehicle safety, design optimization, and injury risk estimation. Unfortunately, numerical solutions of such problems using state-of-the-art high-fidelity models require significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Jonas Kneifl , Jörg Fehr , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Efficient surrogate modelling is a key requirement for uncertainty quantification in data-driven scenarios. In this work, a novel approach of using Sparse Random Features for surrogate modelling in combination with self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Maternus Herold , Anna Veselovska , Jonas Jehle , Felix Krahmer

Accurate and predictive scale-resolving simulations of laser-ignited rocket engines are highly time-consuming because the problem includes turbulent fuel-oxidizer mixing dynamics, laser-induced energy deposition, and high-speed flame…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Tony Zahtila , Ettore Saetta , Murray Cutforth , Davy Brouzet , Diego Rossinelli , Gianluca Iaccarino

In this study, we investigate the potential of fast-to-evaluate surrogate modeling techniques for developing a hybrid digital twin of a steel-reinforced concrete beam, serving as a representative example of a civil engineering structure. As…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Tarik Sahin , Daniel Wolff , Max von Danwitz , Alexander Popp

This paper puts forward an integrated microstructure design methodology that replaces the common existing design approaches: 1) reconstruction of microstructures, 2) analyzing and quantifying material properties, and 3) inverse design of…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-07-18 Kang-Hyun Lee , Hyoung Jun Lim , Gun Jin Yun

Surrogate models are used for global approximation of responses generated by expensive computer experiments like CFD applications. In this paper, we make use of structural similarities which are shared by a class of related problems. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-06-20 Benjamin Rosenbaum , Volker Schulz

Modern AI agents such as large language models are trained on diverse tasks -- translation, code generation, mathematical reasoning, and text prediction -- simultaneously. A key question is how to quantify the influence of each individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Zhenshuo Zhang , Minxuan Duan , Hongyang R. Zhang

The spatiotemporal resolution of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) plays important roles in the mathematical description of the world's physical phenomena. In general, scientists and engineers solve PDEs numerically by the use of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Lucas Meyer , Marc Schouler , Robert Alexander Caulk , Alejandro Ribés , Bruno Raffin

Reinforced concrete rail bridges are essential components of railway infrastructure, where reliability, durability, and adaptability are key design priorities. However, the design process is often complicated by uncertainties stemming from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Mouhammed Achhab , Pierre Jehel , Fabrice Gatuingt

Seismic imaging is an ill-posed inverse problem that is challenged by noisy data and modeling inaccuracies -- due to errors in the background squared-slowness model. Uncertainty quantification is essential for determining how variability in…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-03-29 Ali Siahkoohi , Mathias Louboutin , Felix J. Herrmann

Direct numerical simulation of hierarchical materials via homogenization-based concurrent multiscale models poses critical challenges for 3D large scale engineering applications, as the computation of highly nonlinear and path-dependent…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Shiguang Deng

Surrogate testing techniques have been used widely to investigate the presence of dynamical nonlinearities, an essential ingredient of deterministic chaotic processes. Traditional surrogate testing subscribes to statistical hypothesis…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-18 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

The transition of the power grid requires new technologies and methodologies, which can only be developed and tested in simulations. Especially larger simulation setups with many levels of detail can become quite slow. Therefore, the number…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-23 Stephan Balduin , Tom Westermann , Erika Puiutta

Machine learning models play a vital role in time series forecasting. These models, however, often overlook an important element: point uncertainty estimates. Incorporating these estimates is crucial for effective risk management, informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Leonid Erlygin , Vladimir Zholobov , Valeriia Baklanova , Evgeny Sokolovskiy , Alexey Zaytsev