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We propose a statistical-stochastic surrogate modeling approach to predict the response of the mean and variance statistics under various initial conditions and external forcing perturbations. The proposed modeling framework extends the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-04-07 Di Qi , John Harlim

The performance of recurrence networks and symbolic networks to detect weak nonlinearities in time series is compared to the nonlinear prediction error. For the synthetic data of the Lorenz system, the network measures show a comparable…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-07-09 Ingo Laut , Christoph Räth

High-performance concrete requires complex mix design decisions involving interdependent variables and practical constraints. While data-driven methods have improved predictive modeling for forward design in concrete engineering, inverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Agung Nugraha , Heungjun Im , Jihwan Lee

In climate systems, physiological models, optics, and many more, surrogate models are developed to reconstruct chaotic dynamical systems. We introduce four data-driven measures using global attractor properties to evaluate the quality of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Luci Fumagalli , Kathy Lüdge , Jana de Wiljes , Heikki Haario , Lina Jaurigue

Gravitational waveform templates are a key ingredient for the detection and characterization of gravitational waves emitted by compact binary mergers in the universe. These templates must be physically accurate and extensive, but also…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-04-17 Christopher Whittall , Geraint Pratten

Subsurface flow problems usually involve some degree of uncertainty. Consequently, uncertainty quantification is commonly necessary for subsurface flow prediction. In this work, we propose a methodology for efficient uncertainty…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-02 Nanzhe Wang , Haibin Chang , Dongxiao Zhang

We demonstrate the adaption of three established methods to the field of surrogate machine learning model development. These methods are data augmentation, custom loss functions and transfer learning. Each of these methods have seen…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 H. Rhys Jones , Tingting Mu , Andrei C. Popescu , Yusuf Sulehman

A multi-fidelity surrogate model for highly nonlinear multiscale problems is proposed. It is based on the introduction of two different surrogate models and an adaptive on-the-fly switching. The two concurrent surrogates are built…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-05-03 Felix Fritzen , Mauricio Fernández , Fredrik Larsson

Recent advances in machine learning, specifically transformer architecture, have led to significant advancements in commercial domains. These powerful models have demonstrated superior capability to learn complex relationships and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Matthew L. Olson , Shusen Liu , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bogdan Kustowski , Weng-Keen Wong , Rushil Anirudh

Neural networks can be used as surrogates for PDE models. They can be made physics-aware by penalizing underlying equations or the conservation of physical properties in the loss function during training. Current approaches allow to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Raphael Leiteritz , Patrick Buchfink , Bernard Haasdonk , Dirk Pflüger

Characterizing the interior structure of exoplanets is an inverse problem often solved using Bayesian inference, but this approach is hampered by the high computational cost of planetary structure models. To overcome this barrier, we…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-22 Tijn De Wringer , Caroline Dorn , Emily O. Garvin , Stefano Marelli

We present a data-driven, space-time continuous framework to learn surrogate models for complex physical systems described by advection-dominated partial differential equations. Those systems have slow-decaying Kolmogorov n-width that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Zhong Yi Wan , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez , Anudhyan Boral , Fei Sha

This work introduces a surrogate-based model for efficiently estimating the frequency response of dynamic mechanical metamaterials, particularly when dealing with large parametric perturbations and aperiodic substructures. The research…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-06 J. Pereira , R. O. Ruiz

The central task in modeling complex dynamical systems is parameter estimation. This task involves numerous evaluations of a computationally expensive objective function. Surrogate-based optimization introduces a computationally efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Žiga Lukšič , Jovan Tanevski , Sašo Džeroski , Ljupčo Todorovski

It is not uncommon that meta-heuristic algorithms contain some intrinsic parameters, the optimal configuration of which is crucial for achieving their peak performance. However, evaluating the effectiveness of a configuration is expensive,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Ke Li , Zilin Xiang , Kay Chen Tan

Concurrent multiscale finite element analysis (FE2) is a powerful approach for high-fidelity modeling of materials for which a suitable macroscopic constitutive model is not available. However, the extreme computational effort associated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-16 I. B. C. M. Rocha , P. Kerfriden , F. P. van der Meer

In this contribution we present an accelerated optimization-based approach for combined state and parameter reduction of a parametrized linear control system which is then used as a surrogate model in a Bayesian inverse setting. Following…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-22 Christian Himpe , Mario Ohlberger

High-fidelity numerical simulations of chaotic, high dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems are computationally expensive, necessitating the development of efficient surrogate models. Most surrogate models for such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Hojin Kim , Romit Maulik

The Bayesian uncertainty quantification technique has become well established in turbulence modeling over the past few years. However, it is computationally expensive to construct a globally accurate surrogate model for Bayesian inference…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-03-16 Fanzhi Zeng , Wei Zhang , Jinping Li , Tianxin Zhang , Chao Yan

This paper proposes a model order reduction method for a class of parametric dynamical systems. Using a temporal Fourier transform, we reformulate these systems into complex-valued elliptic equations in the frequency domain, containing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Yuming Ba , Liang Chen , Yaru Chen , Qiuqi Li
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