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In the present article, we construct a logarithm transformation based Milstein-type method for the stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model evolving in the domain (0,N). The new scheme is explicit and unconditionally…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Ruishu Liu , Xiaojie Wang , Lei Dai

Mathematical models of epidemics often use compartmental models dividing the population into several compartments. Based on a microscopic setting describing the temporal evolution of the subpopulation sizes in the compartments by stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-11 Florent Ouabo Kamkumo , Ibrahim Mbouandi Njiasse , Ralf Wunderlich

We discuss the criticality in the stochastic SIR model for infectious diseases. We adopt the path-integral formalism for the propagation of infections among susceptible, infectious, and removed individuals, and perform the perturbative and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-14 Shigehiro Yasui , Yutaka Hatakeyama , Yoshiyasu Okuhara

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

Fractional-order SIR models have become increasingly popular in the literature in recent years, however unlike the standard SIR model, they often lack a derivation from an underlying stochastic process. Here we derive a fractional-order…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-31 Christopher N Angstmann , Bruce I Henry , Anna V McGann

We study the qualitative properties of a spatial diffusive heterogeneous SIR model, that appears in mathematical epidemiology to describe the spread of an infectious disease in a population. The model we consider consists in a system of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Romain Ducasse

In this paper we introduce an agent-based epidemiological model that generalizes the classical SIR model by Kermack and McKendrick. We further provide a multiscale approach to the derivation of a macroscopic counterpart via the mean-field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Markus Schmidtchen , Oliver Tse , Stephan Wackerle

The SIR model is one of the most prototypical compartmental models in epidemiology. Generalizing this ordinary differential equation (ODE) framework into a spatially distributed partial differential equation (PDE) model is a considerable…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-11 Su Yang , Weiqi Chu , Panayotis Kevrekidis

Deterministic rate equations are widely used in the study of stochastic, interacting particles systems. This approach assumes that the inherent noise, associated with the discreteness of the elementary constituents, may be neglected when…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-01-26 David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

In this paper we study the diffusion of an SIS-type epidemics on a network under the presence of a random environment, that enters in the definition of the infection rates of the nodes. Accordingly, we model the infection rates in the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano

We present a derivation of the classical SIR model through a mean-field approximation from a discrete version of SIR. We then obtain a hyperbolic forward Kolmogorov equation, and show that its projected characteristics recover the standard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-21 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Max O. Souza

This article is devoted to the analysis of a particle system model for epidemics among a finite population with susceptible, infective and removed individuals (SIR). The infection mechanism depends on the relative distance between…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Monia Capanna

Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Sam A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Colin S. Gillespie , Theodore Kypraios

Deterministic compartmental models are predominantly used in the modeling of infectious diseases, though stochastic models are considered more realistic, yet are complicated to estimate due to missing data. In this paper we present a novel…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-22 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

Dynamic properties of spreading infection through a heterogeneous population are studied numerically and analytically using a dynamic variant of Watts and Strogatz Small World Network-based stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-28 O. Mosbah , N. Zekri , M. Mokhtari , S. Sahraoui

The main purpose of this paper is to study the Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic SIS epidemic model using mean-reverting inhomogeneous geometric brownian motion process. First we demonstrate the existence of a global-in-time solution and…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lahcen Khammich , Driss Kiouach

We investigate the SIR epidemic on a dynamic inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, in which vertices are of one of $k$ types and in which edges appear and disappear independently of each other. We establish a functional law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yuanfei Huang , Adrian Röllin

We focus on an epidemiological model (the archetypical SIR system) defined on graphs and study the asymptotic behavior of the solutions as the number of vertices in the graph diverges. By relying on the theory of so called graphons we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Blanca Ayuso de Dios , Simone Dovetta , Laura V. Spinolo

In this paper, an epidemic model with spatial dependence is studied and results regarding its stability and numerical approximation are presented. We consider a generalization of the original Kermack and McKendrick model in which the size…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Bálint Takács , Yiannis Hadjimichael

Stochastic differential equations characterized by uncertainty are effective in modelling virus dynamics and provide an alternative to traditional deterministic models. Epidemic models are inevitably subjected to the randomness within the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-12 Bishal Chhetri , B. V. Ratish Kumar