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Markov state models (MSMs) are a powerful tool to analyze and coarse-grain complex dynamical data into interpretable kinetic processes. This capability is particularly important in heterogeneous catalysis, where a medley of reactants and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-11 Caitlin A. McCandler , Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Timothy C. Berkelbach , Jutta Rogal

Personalized medicine based on medical images, including predicting future individualized clinical disease progression and treatment response, would have an enormous impact on healthcare and drug development, particularly for diseases (e.g.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Joshua Durso-Finley , Berardino Barile , Jean-Pierre Falet , Douglas L. Arnold , Nick Pawlowski , Tal Arbel

Markov cohort state-transition models have been the standard approach for simulating the prognosis of patients or, more generally, the life trajectories of individuals over a time period. Current approaches for estimating the variance of a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Rowan Iskandar , Cassandra Berns

This paper introduces a new approach of treating platoon systems using mean-variance control formulation. The underlying system is a controlled switching diffusion in which the random switching process is a continuous-time Markov chain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-22 Zhixin Yang , G. Yin , Le Yi Wang , Hongwei Zhang

Many applications in medical statistics as well as in other fields can be described by transitions between multiple states (e.g. from health to disease) experienced by individuals over time. In this context, multi-state models are a popular…

Due to physiological variation, patients diagnosed with the same condition may exhibit divergent, but related, responses to the same treatments. Hidden Parameter Markov Decision Processes (HiP-MDPs) tackle this transfer-learning problem by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-05 Taylor Killian , George Konidaris , Finale Doshi-Velez

The problem of minimizing queueing delay of opportunistic access of multiple continuous time Markov channels is considered. A new access policy based on myopic sensing and adaptive transmission (MS-AT) is proposed. Under the framework of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-08-02 Shiyao Chen , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

Performance evaluation of nursing homes is usually accomplished by the repeated administration of questionnaires aimed at measuring the health status of the patients during their period of residence in the nursing home. We illustrate how a…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-18 Francesco Bartolucci , Monia Lupparelli , Giorgio E. Montanari

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

We develop a marginal treatment effect based method to learn about causal effects in multiple treatment models with discrete instruments. We allow selection into treatment to be governed by a general class of threshold crossing models that…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Vishal Kamat , Samuel Norris , Matthew Pecenco

Multiple Sclerosis is a degenerative condition of the central nervous system that affects nearly 2.5 million of individuals in terms of their physical, cognitive, psychological and social capabilities. Researchers are currently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-05 Samuele Fiorini , Andrea Tacchino , Giampaolo Brichetto , Alessandro Verri , Annalisa Barla

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a chronic neuroinflammatory disease and multi-modality MRIs are routinely used to monitor MS lesions. Many automatic MS lesion segmentation models have been developed and have reached human-level performance.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Han Liu , Yubo Fan , Hao Li , Jiacheng Wang , Dewei Hu , Can Cui , Ho Hin Lee , Huahong Zhang , Ipek Oguz

Key challenges in the analysis of highly multivariate large-scale spatial stochastic processes, where both the number of components (p) and spatial locations (n) can be large, include achieving maximal sparsity in the joint precision…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Xiaoqing Chen , Peter Diggle , James V. Zidek , Gavin Shaddick

Cross-Correlation random matrices have emerged as a promising indicator of phase transitions in spin systems. The core concept is that the evolution of magnetization encapsulates thermodynamic information [R. da Silva, Int. J. Mod. Phys. C,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-19 Roberto da Silva , Sandra D. Prado

Background and Objectives: Multidrug Resistance (MDR) is a critical global health issue, causing increased hospital stays, healthcare costs, and mortality. This study proposes an interpretable Machine Learning (ML) framework for MDR…

Multistate models (MSM) are well developed for continuous and discrete times under a first order Markov assumption. Motivated by a cohort of COVID-19 patients, an MSM was designed based on 14 transitions among 7 states of a patient. Since a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Mireia Besalú , Guadalupe Gómez Melis

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

We consider a setting in which we have a treatment and a large number of covariates for a set of observations, and wish to model their relationship with an outcome of interest. We propose a simple method for modeling interactions between…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-14 Lu Tian , Ash Alizadeh , Andrew Gentles , Robert Tibshirani

Modern medicine requires generalised approaches to the synthesis and integration of multimodal data, often at different biological scales, that can be applied to a variety of evidence structures, such as complex disease analyses and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-11 Devin Taylor , Simeon Spasov , Pietro Liò

The emergence of digital technologies such as smartphones in healthcare applications have demonstrated the possibility of developing rich, continuous, and objective measures of multiple sclerosis (MS) disability that can be administered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Andrew P. Creagh , Florian Lipsmeier , Michael Lindemann , Maarten De Vos