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Surface-based data is commonly observed in diverse practical applications spanning various fields. In this paper, we introduce a novel nonparametric method to discover the underlying signals from data distributed on complex surface-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Zhiling Gu , Shan Yu , Guannan Wang , Ming-Jun Lai , Li Wang

This paper investigates methods for estimating uncertainty in semantic segmentation predictions derived from satellite imagery. Estimating uncertainty for segmentation presents unique challenges compared to standard image classification,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Melanie Rey , Andriy Mnih , Maxim Neumann , Matt Overlan , Drew Purves

Online augmentation of an oblique aerial image sequence with structural information is an essential aspect in the process of 3D scene interpretation and analysis. One key aspect in this is the efficient dense image matching and depth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Boitumelo Ruf , Thomas Pollok , Martin Weinmann

Spatio-Temporal Multivariate time series Forecast (STMF) uses the time series of $n$ spatially distributed variables in a period of recent past to forecast their values in a period of near future. It has important applications in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Yupu Zhang , Zhengkun Xiao , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

World foundation models, which simulate the physical world by predicting future states from current observations and inputs, have become central to many applications in physical intelligence, including autonomous driving and robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Wenyan Cong , Hanqing Zhu , Peihao Wang , Bangya Liu , Dejia Xu , Kevin Wang , David Z. Pan , Yan Wang , Zhiwen Fan , Zhangyang Wang

Smoothing and filtering two-dimensional sequences are fundamental tasks in fields such as computer vision. Conventional filtering algorithms often rely on the selection of the filtering window, limiting their applicability in certain…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Xufeng Chen , Liang Yan , Xiaoshan Gao

Estimating associations between spatial covariates and responses - rather than merely predicting responses - is central to environmental science, epidemiology, and economics. For instance, public health officials might be interested in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 David R. Burt , Renato Berlinghieri , Stephen Bates , Tamara Broderick

Observational data are often accompanied by natural structural indices, such as time stamps or geographic locations, which are meaningful to prediction tasks but are often discarded. We leverage semantically meaningful indexing data while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Esther Rolf , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht

In state space models, smoothing refers to the task of estimating a latent stochastic process given noisy measurements related to the process. We propose an unbiased estimator of smoothing expectations. The lack-of-bias property has…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-07 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

We present a new certification method for image and point cloud segmentation based on randomized smoothing. The method leverages a novel scalable algorithm for prediction and certification that correctly accounts for multiple testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-28 Marc Fischer , Maximilian Baader , Martin Vechev

The current availability of soil moisture data over large areas comes from satellite remote sensing technologies (i.e., radar-based systems), but these data have coarse resolution and often exhibit large spatial information gaps. Where data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-22 Danny Rorabaugh , Mario Guevara , Ricardo Llamas , Joy Kitson , Rodrigo Vargas , Michela Taufer

Fitting statistical models to spatiotemporal data requires finding the right balance between imposing smoothness and following the data. In the context of p-splines, we propose a Bayesian framework for choosing the smoothing parameter which…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-30 A. W. Bowman , L. Evers , D. Molinari , W. R. Jones , M. J. Spence

Disease mapping attempts to explain observed health event counts across areal units, typically using Markov random field models. These models rely on spatial priors to account for variation in raw relative risk or rate estimates. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Garazi Retegui , Alan E. Gelfand , Jaione Etxeberria , María Dolores Ugarte

Adjusting for an unmeasured confounder is generally an intractable problem, but in the spatial setting it may be possible under certain conditions. In this paper, we derive necessary conditions on the coherence between the treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Yawen Guan , Garritt L. Page , Brian J Reich , Massimo Ventrucci , Shu Yang

As the use of solar power increases, having accurate and timely forecasts will be essential for smooth grid operators. There are many proposed methods for forecasting solar irradiance / solar power production. However, many of these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Timothy Cargan , Dario Landa-Silva , Isaac Triguero

The approaches taken to describe and develop spatial discretisations of the domains required for geophysical simulation models are commonly ad hoc, model or application specific and under-documented. This is particularly acute for…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-27 Adam S. Candy , Julie D. Pietrzak

Managing natural resources and mitigating risks from floods, droughts, wildfires, and landslides require models that can accurately predict climate-driven land-surface responses. Traditional models often struggle with spatial generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Nicholas Kraabel , Jiangtao Liu , Yuchen Bian , Daniel Kifer , Chaopeng Shen

Randomized smoothing has been shown to provide good certified-robustness guarantees for high-dimensional classification problems. It uses the probabilities of predicting the top two most-likely classes around an input point under a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Aounon Kumar , Alexander Levine , Soheil Feizi , Tom Goldstein

The growing prevalence of nonsmooth optimization problems in machine learning has spurred significant interest in generalized smoothness assumptions. Among these, the (L0, L1)-smoothness assumption has emerged as one of the most prominent.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Zhirayr Tovmasyan , Grigory Malinovsky , Laurent Condat , Peter Richtárik