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Probabilistic smoothing is a standard tool for global optimization, but existing methods rely on Gaussian kernels and specific transforms, often resulting in strong hyperparameter sensitivity and limited robustness. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Kukyoung Jang , Taehyun Cho , Junrui Zhang , Ping Xu , Kyungjae Lee

We construct a Gaussian random field (GRF) that combines fractional smoothness with spatially varying anisotropy. The GRF is defined through a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE), where the range, marginal variance, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Elling Svee , Geir-Arne Fuglstad

Statistical postprocessing techniques are nowadays key components of the forecasting suites in many National Meteorological Services (NMS), with for most of them, the objective of correcting the impact of different types of errors on the…

We propose a new smoothing method for obtaining surface densities from discrete particle positions from numerical simulations. This is an essential step for many applications in gravitational lensing. This method is based on the ``scatter''…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-11 Guo-Liang Li , S. Mao , Y. P. Jing , X. Kang , M. Bartelmann

Recent work has highlighted the centrality of smooth calibration [Kakade and Foster, 2008] as a robust measure of calibration error. We generalize, unify, and extend previous results on smooth calibration, both as a robust calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Parikshit Gopalan , Konstantinos Stavropoulos , Kunal Talwar , Pranay Tankala

Modern deep learning models exhibit strong capabilities across diverse applications, yet remain vulnerable to malicious inputs that induce erroneous predictions via feature-space distortion. To address this vulnerability, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Song Xia , Meiwen Ding , Chenqi Kong , Wenhan Yang , Xudong Jiang

Some methods based on simple regularizing geometric element transformations have heuristically been shown to give runtime efficient and quality effective smoothing algorithms for meshes. We describe the mathematical framework and a…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2013-07-09 Dimitris Vartziotis , Benjamin Himpel

With the rise of electronic data, particularly Earth observation data, data-based geospatial modelling using machine learning (ML) has gained popularity in environmental research. Accurate geospatial predictions are vital for domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Diana Koldasbayeva , Polina Tregubova , Mikhail Gasanov , Alexey Zaytsev , Anna Petrovskaia , Evgeny Burnaev

Forecasting entails a complex estimation challenge, as it requires balancing multiple, often conflicting, priorities and objectives. Traditional forecast optimization criteria typically focus on a single metric -- such as minimizing the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Marc Wildi

The Fractions Skill Score (FSS) is a widely used metric for assessing forecast skill, with applications ranging from precipitation to volcanic ash forecasts. By evaluating the fraction of grid squares exceeding a threshold in a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-28 Bobby Antonio , Laurence Aitchison

Meaningful scores for forecast verification are essential for developing reliable forecasts, and there has been much effort to develop scores that align well with human perceptions of forecast quality. Whilst many of these scores have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-17 Bobby Antonio

Surface metrology is the area of engineering concerned with the study of geometric variation in surfaces. This paper explores the potential for modern techniques from spatial statistics to act as generative models for geometric variation in…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-04 Chris. J. Oates , Wilfrid S. Kendall , Liam Fleming

Diffusion models achieve remarkable generation quality, yet face a fundamental challenge known as memorization, where generated samples can replicate training samples exactly. We develop a theoretical framework to explain this phenomenon by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Xinyu Zhou , Jiawei Zhang , Stephen J. Wright

With the emergence of data-driven approaches in science, there is growing interest in their application to manufacturing, particularly in surface precision engineering. However, generating large datasets required for model training is often…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Hadi Bakhshan , Sima Farshbaf , Adrián Travieso-Disotuar , Luciano Mijaíl Villarreal , Fernando Rastellini Canela , Josep Maria Carbonell

In this paper, we are concerned with improving the forecast capabilities of the Global approach to Time Series. We assume that the normal techniques of Global mapping are applied, the noise reduction is performed, etc. Then, using the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. M. C. R. Barbosa , L. G. S. Duarte , C. A. Linhares , L. A. C. P. da Mota

In this paper, we propose a functional analysis of a set of individual space-speed profiles corresponding to speed as function of the distance traveled by the vehicle from an initial point. This functional analysis begins with a functional…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-21 Cindie Andrieu , Guillaume Saint Pierre , Xavier Bressaud

This paper adresses the statistical behaviour of spatial smoothing subspace DoA estimation schemes using a sensor array in the case where the number of observations $N$ is significantly smaller than the number of sensors $M$, and that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 Gia-Thuy Pham , Philippe Loubaton , Pascal Vallet

Both the current trends in technology such as smartphones, general mobile devices, stationary sensors, and satellites as well as a new user mentality of using this technology to voluntarily share enriched location information produces a…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Andreas Zuefle

Accurately reconstructing a global spatial field from sparse data has been a longstanding problem in several domains, such as Earth Sciences and Fluid Dynamics. Historically, scientists have approached this problem by employing complex…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Robert Sunderhaft , Logan Frank , Jim Davis

In some real world applications, such as spectrometry, functional models achieve better predictive performances if they work on the derivatives of order m of their inputs rather than on the original functions. As a consequence, the use of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-04 Fabrice Rossi , Nathalie Villa-Vialaneix