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Accurate and reliable forecasting of epidemic incidences is critical for public health preparedness, yet it remains a challenging task due to complex nonlinear temporal dependencies and heterogeneous spatial interactions. Often, point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Rajdeep Pathak , Tanujit Chakraborty

Human mobility modeling from GPS-trajectories and synthetic trajectory generation are crucial for various applications, such as urban planning, disaster management and epidemiology. Both of these tasks often require filling gaps in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Shang-Ling Hsu , Emmanuel Tung , John Krumm , Cyrus Shahabi , Khurram Shafique

Traffic flow forecasting is essential for managing congestion, improving safety, and optimizing various transportation systems. However, it remains a prevailing challenge due to the stochastic nature of urban traffic and environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler

Traffic forecasting has emerged as a core component of intelligent transportation systems. However, timely accurate traffic forecasting, especially long-term forecasting, still remains an open challenge due to the highly nonlinear and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Mingxing Xu , Wenrui Dai , Chunmiao Liu , Xing Gao , Weiyao Lin , Guo-Jun Qi , Hongkai Xiong

Urban resource scheduling is an important part of the development of a smart city, and transportation resources are the main components of urban resources. Currently, a series of problems with transportation resources such as unbalanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Dongjie Wang , Yan Yang , Shangming Ning

Spatio-temporal forecasting is a critical component of various smart city applications, such as transportation optimization, energy management, and socio-economic analysis. Recently, several automated spatio-temporal forecasting methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Tengfei Lyu , Weijia Zhang , Jinliang Deng , Hao Liu

Predictive queries over spatiotemporal (ST) stream data pose significant data processing and analysis challenges. ST data streams involve a set of time series whose data distributions may vary in space and time, exhibiting multiple distinct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 Anderson Chaves , Eduardo Ogasawara , Patrick Valduriez , Fabio Porto

We study the problem of planning Pareto-optimal journeys in public transit networks. Most existing algorithms and speed-up techniques work by computing subjourneys to intermediary stops until the destination is reached. In contrast, the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-09-16 Sascha Witt

Traffic prediction plays an important role in the realization of traffic control and scheduling tasks in intelligent transportation systems. With the diversification of data sources, reasonably using rich traffic data to model the complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Shilin Pu , Liang Chu , Zhuoran Hou , Jincheng Hu , Yanjun Huang , Yuanjian Zhang

We propose a novel sparse spatiotemporal dynamic generalized linear model for efficient inference and prediction of bicycle count data. Assuming Poisson distributed counts with spacetime-varying rates, we model the log-rate using…

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Ambulance demand estimation at fine time and location scales is critical for fleet management and dynamic deployment. We are motivated by the problem of estimating the spatial distribution of ambulance demand in Toronto, Canada, as it…

In the task of predicting spatio-temporal fields in environmental science using statistical methods, introducing statistical models inspired by the physics of the underlying phenomena that are numerically efficient is of growing interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Lucia Clarotto , Denis Allard , Thomas Romary , Nicolas Desassis

Accurate traffic flow prediction heavily relies on the spatio-temporal correlation of traffic flow data. Most current studies separately capture correlations in spatial and temporal dimensions, making it difficult to capture complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Ben-Ao Dai , Nengchao Lyu , Yongchao Miao

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting plays a vital role in a wide range of applications. Recently, Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have become increasingly popular MTS forecasting methods. STGNNs jointly model the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Zezhi Shao , Zhao Zhang , Fei Wang , Yongjun Xu

Predicting human mobility across multiple cities presents significant challenges due to the complex and diverse spatial-temporal dynamics inherent in different urban environments. In this study, we propose a robust approach to predict human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Haoyu He , Haozheng Luo , Qi R. Wang

This paper leverages macroscopic models and multi-source spatiotemporal data collected from automatic traffic counters and probe vehicles to accurately estimate traffic flow and travel time in links where these measurements are unavailable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Pablo Guarda , Sean Qian

Spatial-temporal forecasting has attracted tremendous attention in a wide range of applications, and traffic flow prediction is a canonical and typical example. The complex and long-range spatial-temporal correlations of traffic flow bring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Zheng Fang , Qingqing Long , Guojie Song , Kunqing Xie

Travel time or speed estimation are part of many intelligent transportation applications. Existing estimation approaches rely on either function fitting or aggregation and represent different trade-offs between generalizability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Tobias Skovgaard Jepsen , Christian S. Jensen , Thomas Dyhre Nielsen

Transportation planning depends on predictions of the travel times between loading and unloading locations. While accurate techniques exist for making deterministic predictions of travel times based on real-world data, making stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-22 Rodrigo Goncalves , Rui J. de Almeida , Remco M. Dijkman
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