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Travel time estimation is a critical task, useful to many urban applications at the individual citizen and the stakeholder level. This paper presents a novel hybrid algorithm for travel time estimation that leverages historical and sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Nikolaos Zygouras , Nikolaos Panagiotou , Yang Li , Dimitrios Gunopulos , Leonidas Guibas

Travel time estimation is a key task in navigation apps and web mapping services. Existing deterministic and probabilistic methods, based on the assumption of trip independence, predominantly focus on modeling individual trips while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Chen Xu , Qiang Wang , Lijun Sun

Due to the rapid development of Internet of Things (IoT) technologies, many online web apps (e.g., Google Map and Uber) estimate the travel time of trajectory data collected by mobile devices. However, in reality, complex factors, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Zhiwen Zhang , Hongjun Wang , Zipei Fan , Jiyuan Chen , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Recent statistical methods fitted on large-scale GPS data can provide accurate estimations of the expected travel time between two points. However, little is known about the distribution of travel time, which is key to decision-making…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Mohamad Elmasri , Aurelie Labbe , Denis Larocque , Laurent Charlin

Travel time estimation is one of the core tasks for the development of intelligent transportation systems. Most previous works model the road segments or intersections separately by learning their spatio-temporal characteristics to estimate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Guangyin Jin , Huan Yan , Fuxian Li , Jincai Huang , Yong Li

In route selection problems, the driver's personal preferences will determine whether she prefers a route with a travel time that has a relatively low mean and high variance over one that has relatively high mean and low variance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Rens Kamphuis , Michel Mandjes , Paulo Serra

Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Łukasz Gorczyca , Kacper Drozd , Michał Bujak , Rafał Kucharski

Spatio-temporal point process (STPP) is a stochastic collection of events accompanied with time and space. Due to computational complexities, existing solutions for STPPs compromise with conditional independence between time and space,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Chenyang Shao , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

Accurate Travel Time Estimation (TTE) is critical for ride-hailing platforms, where errors directly impact user experience and operational efficiency. While existing production systems excel at holistic route-level dependency modeling, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Wenzhao Jiang , Jindong Han , Ruiqian Han , Hao Liu

In building intelligent transportation systems such as taxi or rideshare services, accurate prediction of travel time and distance is crucial for customer experience and resource management. Using the NYC taxi dataset, which contains taxi…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-13 Ishan Jindal , Tony , Qin , Xuewen Chen , Matthew Nokleby , Jieping Ye

Travel time prediction is central to transport geography and planning's accessibility analyses, sustainable transportation infrastructure provision, and active transportation interventions. However, calculating accurate travel times,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-18 Geoff Boeing , Yuquan Zhou

We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-14 Saif Eddin Jabari , Nikolaos M. Freris , Deepthi Mary Dilip

Travel time is one of the key indicators monitored by intelligent transportation systems, helping the systems to gain real-time insights into traffic situations, predict congestion, and identify network bottlenecks. Travel time exhibits…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-07 Ruiya Chen , Xiangdong Xu , Jianqiang Li

The problem of travel time estimation is widely considered as the fundamental challenge of modern logistics. The complex nature of interconnections between spatial aspects of roads and temporal dynamics of ground transport still preserves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Natalia Semenova , Vadim Porvatov , Vladislav Tishin , Artyom Sosedka , Vladislav Zamkovoy

Disruptions are an inherent feature of transportation systems, occurring unpredictably and with varying durations. Even after an incident is reported as resolved, disruptions can induce irregular train operations that generate substantial…

Travel Time Estimation (TTE) is indispensable in intelligent transportation system (ITS). It is significant to achieve the fine-grained Trajectory-based Travel Time Estimation (TTTE) for multi-city scenarios, namely to accurately estimate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Chenxing Wang , Fang Zhao , Haichao Zhang , Haiyong Luo , Yanjun Qin , Yuchen Fang

Accurate forecasting of spatiotemporal data remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. The inherent uncertainty and variability in such data often render deterministic models insufficient, prompting a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Mingze Gong , Lei Chen , Jia Li

Recent studies have significantly improved the prediction accuracy of travel demand using graph neural networks. However, these studies largely ignored uncertainty that inevitably exists in travel demand prediction. To fill this gap, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Qingyi Wang , Shenhao Wang , Dingyi Zhuang , Haris Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

Estimating the travel time of a path is an essential topic for intelligent transportation systems. It serves as the foundation for real-world applications, such as traffic monitoring, route planning, and taxi dispatching. However, building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Zhiwen Zhang , Hongjun Wang , Jiyuan Chen , Zipei Fan , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

The Spatio-Temporal Traffic Prediction (STTP) problem is a classical problem with plenty of prior research efforts that benefit from traditional statistical learning and recent deep learning approaches. While STTP can refer to many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Leye Wang , Di Chai , Xuanzhe Liu , Liyue Chen , Kai Chen
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