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The main results in this paper concern large deviations for families of non-Gaussian processes obtained as suitable perturbations of continuous centered multivariate Gaussian processes which satisfy a large deviation principle. We present…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 C. Macci , B. Pacchiarotti

We generalise the construction of multivariate Hawkes processes to a possibly infinite network of counting processes on a directed graph $\mathbb G$. The process is constructed as the solution to a system of Poisson driven stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Sylvain Delattre , Nicolas Fournier , Marc Hoffmann

Large deviation for Markov processes can be studied by Hamilton--Jacobi equation techniques. The method of proof involves three steps: First, we apply a nonlinear transform to generators of the Markov processes, and verify that limit of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jin Feng

We consider the Gibbs measure of a general interacting particle system for a certain class of ``weakly interacting" kernels. In particular, we show that the local point process converges to a Poisson point process as long as the inverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-18 David Padilla-Garza , Luke Peilen , Eric Thoma

This paper proposes a new estimation technique for fitting parametric Gibbs point process models to a spatial point pattern dataset. The technique is a counterpart, for spatial point processes, of the variational estimators for Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Adrian Baddeley , David Dereudre

We establish a large deviation principle for time dependent trajectories (paths) of the empirical density of $N$ particles with long range interactions, for homogeneous systems. This result extends the classical kinetic theory that leads to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-19 Ouassim Feliachi , Freddy Bouchet

We prove the Gibbs variational principle for the Asakura--Oosawa model in which particles of random size obey a hardcore constraint of non-overlap and are additionally subject to a temperature-dependent area interaction. The particle size…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Benedikt Jahnel , Jonas Köppl , Yannic Steenbeck , Alexander Zass

We obtain sharp large deviation estimates for exceedance probabilities in dependent triangular array threshold models with a diverging number of latent factors. The prefactors quantify how latent-factor dependence and tail geometry enter at…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Fengnan Deng , Anand N. Vidyashankar , Jeffrey F. Collamore

Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Mikola C. Schlottke

Consider the standard, one dimensional, nonlinear filtering problem for a diffusion processe $\Xi_t$ observed in small additive white noise. Denote by $q^\epsilon_1(\cdot)$ the density of the law of $\Xi_1$ conditioned on…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-20 E. Pardoux , O. Zeitouni

Large random matrices appear in different fields of mathematics and physics such as combinatorics, probability theory, statistics, operator theory, number theory, quantum field theory, string theory etc... In the last ten years, they…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alice Guionnet

We consider a multiscale system of stochastic differential equations in which the slow component is perturbed by a small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H>1/2$ and the fast component is driven by an independent Brownian motion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Siragan Gailus , Ioannis Gasteratos

We study the large deviations principle for locally periodic stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating coefficients. There are three possible regimes depending on how fast the intensity of the noise goes to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Paul Dupuis , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Variational Bayesian inference and (collapsed) Gibbs sampling are the two important classes of inference algorithms for Bayesian networks. Both have their advantages and disadvantages: collapsed Gibbs sampling is unbiased but is also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Max Welling , Yee Whye Teh , Hilbert Kappen

Many problems of interest in computer science and information theory can be phrased in terms of a probability distribution over discrete variables associated to the vertices of a large (but finite) sparse graph. In recent years,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-11 Amir Dembo , Andrea Montanari

We study $N$-particle systems in R^d whose interactions are governed by a hypersingular Riesz potential $|x-y|^{-s}$, $s>d$, and subject to an external field. We provide both macroscopic results as well as microscopic results in the limit…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-11-09 Douglas P. Hardin , Thomas Leblé , Edward B. Saff , Sylvia Serfaty

In recent years, the shortcomings of Bayesian posteriors as inferential devices have received increased attention. A popular strategy for fixing them has been to instead target a Gibbs measure based on losses that connect a parameter of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-24 David T. Frazier , Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Christopher Drovandi

We study the large deviation principle (LDP) for locally damped nonlinear wave equations perturbed by a bounded noise. When the noise is sufficiently non-degenerate, we establish the LDP for empirical distributions with lower bound of a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-09-19 Yuxuan Chen , Ziyu Liu , Shengquan Xiang , Zhifei Zhang

We study the projection on classical spins starting from quantum equilibria. We show Gibbsianness or quasi-locality of the resulting classical spin system for a class of gapped quantum systems at low temperatures including quantum ground…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-12 Wojciech De Roeck , Christian Maes , Karel Netočný , Marius Schütz

We extend the Gibbs conditioning principle to an abstract setting combining infinitely many linear equality constraints and non-linear inequality constraints, which need not be convex. A conditional large large deviation principle (LDP) is…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Louis-Pierre Chaintron , Giovanni Conforti , Julien Reygner