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We study wide Bayesian neural networks focusing on the rare but statistically dominant fluctuations that govern posterior concentration, beyond Gaussian-process limits. Large-deviation theory provides explicit variational objectives-rate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Katerina Papagiannouli , Dario Trevisan , Giuseppe Pio Zitto

We show that classical density functional theory can be based on the constrained search method [M. Levy, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 76, 6062 (1979)]. From the Gibbs inequality one first derives a variational principle for the grand potential as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-21 Wipsar Sunu Brams Dwandaru , Matthias Schmidt

An integration by parts formula is derived for the first order differential operator corresponding to the action of translations on the space of locally finite simple configurations of infinitely many points on R^d. As reference measures,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-03-31 Florian Conrad , Tobias Kuna

We study a model of spatial random permutations over a discrete set of points. Formally, a permutation $\sigma$ is sampled proportionally to the weight $\exp\{-\alpha \sum_x V(\sigma(x)-x)\},$ where $\alpha>0$ is the temperature and $V$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Inés Armendáriz , Pablo A. Ferrari , Nicolás Frevenza

Thanks to technological advances leading to near-continuous time observations, emerging multivariate point process data offer new opportunities for causal discovery. However, a key obstacle in achieving this goal is that many relevant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-15 Xu Wang , Ali Shojaie

We investigate, in a fairly general setting, the limit of large volume equilibrium Gibbs measures for elasticity type Hamiltonians with clamped boundary conditions. The existence of a quasiconvex free energy, forming the large deviations…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-06-27 Roman Kotecký , Stephan Luckhaus

We establish large deviation estimates for Poisson driven models of infectious disease, and apply those estimates to the time of exit from the basin of attraction of an endemic equilibrium. We apply our results to the classical SIRS model.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-10 Peter Kratz , Etienne Pardoux

This paper focuses on systems of nonlinear second-order stochastic differential equations with multi-scales. The motivation for our study stems from mathematical physics and statistical mechanics, for examples, Langevin dynamics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

We consider a general system of n noninteracting identical particles which evolve under a given dynamical law and whose initial microstates are a priori independent. The time evolution of the n-particle average of a bounded function on the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2021-04-28 Brian R. La Cour , William C. Schieve

The theory of large deviations constitutes a mathematical cornerstone in the foundations of Boltzmann-Gibbs statistical mechanics, based on the additive entropy $S_{BG}=- k_B\sum_{i=1}^W p_i \ln p_i$. Its optimization under appropriate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-31 Guiomar Ruiz , Constantino Tsallis

We consider a jump-diffusion process on a bounded domain with reflection at the boundary, and establish long-term results for a general additive process of its path. This includes the long-term behaviour of its occupation time in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Lea Popovic , Giovanni Zoroddu

We study the large deviations for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes with small noise and state-dependent fast switching via associated Hamilton-Jacobi equations. As the separation of time scales, when the noise goes to $0$ and the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Yanyan Hu , Richard C. Kraaij , Fubao Xi

We discuss a method to solve models with long-range interactions in the microcanonical and canonical ensemble. The method closely follows the one introduced by Ellis, Physica D 133, 106 (1999), which uses large deviation techniques. We show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Julien Barre' , Freddy Bouchet , Thierry Dauxois , Stefano Ruffo

We first study a $d$-dimensional branching Brownian motion (BBM) among mild Poissonian obstacles, where a random trap field in $\mathbb{R}^d$ is created via a Poisson point process. The trap field consists of balls of fixed radius centered…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Mehmet Öz

This paper deals with rare events in a general {interacting gas} at high temperature, by means of Large Deviations Principles. The main result is an LDP for the tagged empirical field, which features the competition of an energy term and an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 David Padilla-Garza

Recently, a generalized Bernoulli process (GBP) was developed as a stationary binary sequence whose covariance function obeys a power law. In this paper, we further develop generalized Bernoulli processes, reveal their asymptotic behaviors,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Jeonghwa Lee

We study two problems. First, we consider the large deviation behavior of empirical measures of certain diffusion processes as, simultaneously, the time horizon becomes large and noise becomes vanishingly small. The law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pavlos Zoubouloglou

This work develops a methodology for analyzing large-deviation lower tails associated with geometric functionals computed on a homogeneous Poisson point process. The technique applies to characteristics expressed in terms of stabilizing…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Christian Hirsch , Benedikt Jahnel , András Tóbiás

Gibbs point processes (GPPs) constitute a large and flexible class of spatial point processes with explicit dependence between the points. They can model attractive as well as repulsive point patterns. Feature selection procedures are an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Ismaïla Ba , Jean-François Coeurjolly

We establish a Large Deviations Principle for stochastic processes with Lipschitz continuous oblique reflections on regular domains. The rate functional is given as the value function of a control problem and is proved to be good. The proof…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Magdalena Kobylanski