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Weather forecasting is a fundamental task in spatiotemporal data analysis, with broad applications across a wide range of domains. Existing data-driven forecasting methods typically model atmospheric dynamics over a fixed short time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Jindong Tian , Yifei Ding , Ronghui Xu , Hao Miao , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Methods to deal with systematic model errors are an increasingly important component of modern data assimilation systems and their effectiveness has increased in recent years thanks to advances in methodology and the quality and density of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-26 Massimo Bonavita , Patrick Laloyaux

Time series data analysis is a critical component in various domains such as finance, healthcare, and meteorology. Despite the progress in deep learning for time series analysis, there remains a challenge in addressing the non-stationary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Han Yu , Peikun Guo , Akane Sano

The rise of mobile devices equipped with numerous sensors, such as LiDAR and cameras, has spurred the adoption of multi-modal deep intelligence for distributed sensing tasks, such as smart cabins and driving assistance. However, the arrival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Fenmin Wu , Sicong Liu , Kehao Zhu , Xiaochen Li , Bin Guo , Zhiwen Yu , Hongkai Wen , Xiangrui Xu , Lehao Wang , Xiangyu Liu

Data-driven machine learning (ML) models are reshaping weather forecasting and have shown the potential to accelerate and surpass traditional physics-based approaches, leading to a second revolution in the field after data assimilation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Hang Fan , Yi Xiao , Yongquan Qu , Juan Nathaniel , Fenghua Ling , Ben Fei , Lei Bai , Pierre Gentine

Shallow water equations are extensively considered in the domains of oceans, atmospheric modelling, and engineering research (Franca et al., 2022), which play significant roles in floods and tsunami governance. Nonetheless, the accurate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-22 Ruijia Yu

Wind speed retrieval at sea surface is of primary importance for scientific and operational applications. Besides weather models, in-situ measurements and remote sensing technologies, especially satellite sensors, provide complementary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Matteo Zambra , Dorian Cazau , Nicolas Farrugia , Alexandre Gensse , Sara Pensieri , Roberto Bozzano , Ronan Fablet

The development of a Large Airfoil Model (LAM), a transformative approach for answering technical questions on airfoil aerodynamics, requires a vast dataset and a model to leverage it. To build this foundation, a novel probabilistic machine…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-18 Howon Lee , Aanchal Save , Pranay Seshadri , Juergen Rauleder

With the increasing reliance on AI models for weather forecasting, it is imperative to evaluate their vulnerability to adversarial perturbations. This work introduces Weather Adaptive Adversarial Perturbation Optimization (WAAPO), a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Huzaifa Arif , Pin-Yu Chen , Alex Gittens , James Diffenderfer , Bhavya Kailkhura

Deep neural networks offer an alternative paradigm for modeling weather conditions. The ability of neural models to make a prediction in less than a second once the data is available and to do so with very high temporal and spatial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-07 Marcin Andrychowicz , Lasse Espeholt , Di Li , Samier Merchant , Alexander Merose , Fred Zyda , Shreya Agrawal , Nal Kalchbrenner

Data assimilation is widely used in many disciplines such as meteorology, oceanography, and robotics to estimate the state of a dynamical system from noisy observations. In this work, we propose a lightweight and general method to perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Thomas Savary , François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

A real time assimilation and forecasting system for coastal currents is presented. The purpose of the system is to deliver current analyses and forecasts based on assimilation of high frequency radar surface current measurements. The local…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-10-01 Øyvind Breivik , Øyvind Saetra

Accurate weather and climate modeling is critical for both scientific advancement and safeguarding communities against environmental risks. Traditional approaches rely heavily on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models, which simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Muhammad Akhtar Munir , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Salman Khan

This work integrates ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) with the energy-aware hybrid modeling approach, applied to a three-layer quasi-geostrophic (QG) model of the Gulf Stream flow. Building on prior DA success in the QG channel regime,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-03 Igor Shevchenko , Dan Crisan

This paper proposes a data-adaptive factor model (DAFM), a novel framework for extracting common factors that explain the structures of high-dimensional data. DAFM adopts a composite quantile strategy to adaptively capture the full…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Seeun Park , Hee-Seok Oh

We commonly refer to state-estimation theory in geosciences as data assimilation. This term encompasses the entire sequence of operations that, starting from the observations of a system, and from additional statistical and dynamical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-06-11 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino , Geir Evensen

We show how the 3DVAR data assimilation methodology can be used in the astrophysical context of a two-dimensional convection flow. We study the way this variational approach finds best estimates of the current state of the flow from a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-08-09 Andreas Svedin , Milena C. Cuellar , Axel Brandenburg

Machine learning and deep learning methods have been widely explored in understanding the chaotic behavior of the atmosphere and furthering weather forecasting. There has been increasing interest from technology companies, government…

Numerical weather prediction has long been constrained by the computational bottlenecks inherent in data assimilation and numerical modeling. While machine learning has accelerated forecasting, existing models largely serve as "emulators of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xiaoze Xu , Xiuyu Sun , Songling Zhu , Xiaohui Zhong , Yuanqing Huang , Zijian Zhu , Jun Liu , Hao Li

Wind flow can be highly unpredictable and can suffer substantial fluctuations in speed and direction due to the shape and height of hills, mountains, and valleys, making accurate wind speed (WS) forecasting essential in complex terrain.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Sourav Malakar , Saptarsi Goswami , Amlan Chakrabarti , Bhaswati Ganguli