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Estimating the probability of failure for expensive simulations is a central task in reliability analysis for structural design, power grid design, and safety certification, among other areas. This work derives credible intervals on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Vishwas Rao

Modern intrusion detection systems generate thousands of alerts daily, but alert fatigue severely limits security operations effectiveness due to too many false positives or low-impact events. We address this by proposing a principled…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Murat Moran

Fragility curves which express the failure probability of a structure, or critical components, as function of a loading intensity measure are nowadays widely used (i) in Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment studies, (ii) to evaluate impact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-03 Rémi Sainct , Cyril Feau , Jean-Marc Martinez , Josselin Garnier

Generalized variational inference (GVI) provides an optimization-theoretic framework for statistical estimation that encapsulates many traditional estimation procedures. The typical GVI problem is to compute a distribution of parameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Aurya S. Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Thomas M. Surowiec

Background: Modern large language models (LLMs) offer powerful reasoning that converts narratives into structured, taxonomy-aligned data, revealing patterns across planning, delivery, and verification. Embedded as agentic tools, LLMs can…

We propose and compare methods for the analysis of extreme events in complex systems governed by PDEs that involve random parameters, in situations where we are interested in quantifying the probability that a scalar function of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Shanyin Tong , Eric Vanden-Eijnden , Georg Stadler

The transportation of sensitive equipment often suffers from vibrations caused by terrain, weather, and motion speed, leading to inefficiencies and potential damage. To address this challenge, this paper explores an intelligent control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-10 Vuong Anh Trung , Thanh Son Pham , Truc Thanh Tran , Tran le Thang Dong , Tran Thuan Hoang

Full waveform inversion (FWI) enables us to obtain high-resolution velocity models of the subsurface. However, estimating the associated uncertainties in the process is not trivial. Commonly, uncertainty estimation is performed within the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-05-16 Muhammad Izzatullah , Matteo Ravasi , Tariq Alkhalifah

Testing and evaluation are expensive but critical steps in the development of connected and automated vehicles (CAVs). In this paper, we develop an adaptive sampling framework to efficiently evaluate the accident rate of CAVs, particularly…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Xianliang Gong , Shuo Feng , Yulin Pan

Early fault detection and timely maintenance scheduling can significantly mitigate operational risks in NPPs and enhance the reliability of operator decision-making. Therefore, it is necessary to develop an efficient Prognostics and Health…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Siwei Li , Jiayan Fang , Yichun Wua , Wei Wang , Chengxin Li , Jiangwen Chen

Identification of critical or weak buses for a given operating condition is an important task in the load dispatch centre. It has become more vital in view of the threat of voltage instability leading to voltage collapse. This paper…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-03-02 Shobha Shankar , Dr. T. Ananthapadmanabha

This paper models a decision support system to predict the occurance of suicide attack in a given collection of cities. The system comprises two parts. First part analyzes and identifies the factors which affect the prediction. Admitting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-07-29 Athar Kharal

Composite endpoints that combine recurrent non-fatal events with a terminal event are increasingly used in randomized clinical trials, yet conventional time-to-first event analyses may obscure clinically relevant information. We compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Adrien Orué , Derek Dinart , Laurent Billot , Carine Bellera , Virginie Rondeau

The importance of mission or safety critical software systems in many application domains of embedded systems is continuously growing, and so is the effort and complexity for reliability and safety analysis. Model driven development is…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Kai Hoefig , Andreas Joanni , Marc Zeller , Francesco Montrone , Martin Rothfelder , Rakshith Amarnath , Peter Munk , Arne Nordmann

Text mining is a process of extracting information of interest from text. Such a method includes techniques from various areas such as Information Retrieval (IR), Natural Language Processing (NLP), and Information Extraction (IE). In this…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2015-07-10 Santosh Tirunagari

Accurate assessment of systematic uncertainties is an increasingly vital task in physics studies, where large, high-dimensional datasets, like those collected at the Large Hadron Collider, hold the key to new discoveries. Common approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Alexis Romero , Kyle Cranmer , Daniel Whiteson

Classical measures of structural reliability, such as the probability of failure and the related reliability index, are still widely applied in practice. However, these measures are frequency-based only, and they do not give information…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Moussa Leblouba , Samer Barakat , Raghad Awad

In dealing with veracity of data analytics, fuzzy methods are more and more relying on probabilistic and statistical techniques to underpin their applicability. Conversely, standard statistical models usually disregard to take into account…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Elvira Di Nardo , Rosaria Simone

Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

In a recent paper [1] we introduced the Fuzzy Bayesian Learning (FBL) paradigm where expert opinions can be encoded in the form of fuzzy rule bases and the hyper-parameters of the fuzzy sets can be learned from data using a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-07 Indranil Pan , Dirk Bester
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