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We propose a constructive approach to building temporal point processes that incorporate dependence on their history. The dependence is modeled through the conditional density of the duration, i.e., the interval between successive event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

This is the transcript of a talk given at the 1992 Complex Systems Summer School. The theory of large fluctuations of stochastically perturbed continuous-time dynamical systems is reviewed, and the large fluctuations of two stochastic…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Robert S. Maier

Firing rate models are dynamical systems widely used in applied and theoretical neuroscience to describe local cortical dynamics in neuronal populations. By providing a macroscopic perspective of neuronal activity, these models are…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Simone Betteti , Giacomo Baggio , Francesco Bullo , Sandro Zampieri

We consider the effects of long-range temporal correlations in many-particle systems, focusing particularly on fluctuations about the typical behaviour. For a specific class of memory dependence we discuss the modification of the large…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-24 Rosemary J. Harris

Continuous-time Markov chains are used to model stochastic systems where transitions can occur at irregular times, e.g., birth-death processes, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and gene regulatory networks. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Majerle Reeves , Harish S. Bhat

Markovian memory embedded in a binary system is shaping its evolution on the basis of its current state and introduces either clustering or dispersion of binary states. The consequence is directly observed in the lengthening or shortening…

Applications · Statistics 2008-02-18 Fotini Pallikari , Nikitas Papasimakis

We observe a length-$n$ sample generated by an unknown,stationary ergodic Markov process (\emph{model}) over a finite alphabet $\mathcal{A}$. Given any string $\bf{w}$ of symbols from $\mathcal{A}$ we want estimates of the conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-11 Meysam Asadi , Ramezan Paravi Torghabeh , Narayana P. Santhanam

In the mammalian brain, newly acquired memories depend on the hippocampus for maintenance and recall, but over time the neocortex takes over these functions, rendering memories hippocampus-independent. The process responsible for this…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-02 Peter Helfer , Thomas R. Shultz

In non-equilibrium statistical physics, active matters in both living and non-living systems have been extensively studied. In particular, self-propelled particle systems provide challenging research subjects in experimental and theoretical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-13 Saori Morimoto , Makoto Katori , Hiraku Nishimori

The discrete stochastic dynamics of a random walker in the presence of resetting and memory is analyzed. Resetting and memory effects may compete for certain parameter regime and lead to significant changes in the long time dynamics of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-15 Upendra Harbola

For a series of Markov processes we prove stochastic duality relations with duality functions given by orthogonal polynomials. This means that expectations with respect to the original process (which evolves the variable of the orthogonal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Chiara Franceschini , Cristian Giardinà

Recent advances at the intersection of control theory, neuroscience, and machine learning have revealed novel mechanisms by which dynamical systems perform computation. These advances encompass a wide range of conceptual, mathematical, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Arthur N. Montanari , Francesco Bullo , Dmitry Krotov , Adilson E. Motter

This paper presents a stochastic model motivated by the study of a virus-like evolving population with different mutation rates. This is a continuous time birth-death model: the birth processes are mutually-exciting Hawkes processes and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Rahul Roy , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Paola Tardelli

Featuring memory of past inputs is a fundamental requirement for machine learning models processing time-dependent data. In quantum reservoir computing, all architectures proposed so far rely on Markovian dynamics, which, as we prove,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-06 Antonio Sannia , Ricard Ravell Rodríguez , Gian Luca Giorgi , Roberta Zambrini

We examine a previouly introduced attractor neural network model that explains the persistent activities of neurons in the anterior ventral temporal cortex of the brain. In this model, the coexistence of several attractors including…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 T. Uezu , A. Hirano , M. Okada

Stochastic point processes with refractoriness appear frequently in the quantitative analysis of physical and biological systems, such as the generation of action potentials by nerve cells, the release and reuptake of vesicles at a synapse,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Moritz Deger , Moritz Helias , Stefano Cardanobile , Fatihcan M. Atay , Stefan Rotter

A mathematical model for behavioral changes by pair interactions (i.e. due to direct contact) of individuals is developed. Three kinds of pair interactions can be distinguished: Imitative processes, avoidance processes, and compromising…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

Consider observing a collection of discrete events within a network that reflect how network nodes influence one another. Such data are common in spike trains recorded from biological neural networks, interactions within a social network,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Benjamin Mark , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

This note provides several recent progresses in the study of long time behavior of Markov processes. The examples presented below are related to other scientific fields as PDE's, physics or biology. The involved mathematical tools as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Florian Bouguet , Florent Malrieu , Fabien Panloup , Christophe Poquet , Julien Reygner