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The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 D. O. Kalikaeva

In the infectious disease literature, significant effort has been devoted to studying dynamics at a single scale. For example, compartmental models describing population-level dynamics are often formulated using differential equations. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-16 Yuan Yin , Jennifer A. Flegg , Mark B. Flegg

This paper discusses tractable development and statistical estimation of a continuous time stochastic process with a finite state space having non-Markov property. The process is formed by a finite mixture of right-continuous Markov jump…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-04 H. Frydman , B. A. Surya

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

The developing of (non-Markovian) memory effects strongly depends on the underlying system-environment dynamics. Here we study this problem in multipartite arrangements where all subsystems are coupled to each other by non-diagonal…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-01-05 Adrián A. Budini

The origin of the long-range memory in the non-equilibrium systems is still an open problem as the phenomenon can be reproduced using models based on Markov processes. In these cases a notion of spurious memory is introduced. A good example…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-01 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

Living systems often function with regulatory interactions, but the question of how activity, stochasticity and regulations work together for achieving different goals still remains puzzling. We propose a stochastic model of an active…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-03-02 Tai Han , Fanlong Meng

Stochastic models that incorporate birth, death and immigration (also called birth-death and innovation models) are ubiquitous and applicable to many research topics such as quantifying species sizes in ecological populations, describing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Renaud Dessalles , Maria D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

Both resources in the natural environment and concepts in a semantic space are distributed "patchily", with large gaps in between the patches. To describe people's internal and external foraging behavior, various random walk models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Jian-Qiao Zhu , Adam N. Sanborn , Nick Chater

Collective motion in animal groups emerges from the interplay between individual variability and social coordination, yet connecting these scales quantitatively has remained a major challenge.Using high-resolution trajectories of schooling…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-01-15 Elena G. de Lamo , M. Carmen Miguel , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We consider a broad class of stochastic imitation dynamics over networks, encompassing several well known learning models such as the replicator dynamics. In the considered models, players have no global information about the game…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Lorenzo Zino , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

We propose a mean-field model of interacting point processes where each process has a memory of the time elapsed since its last event (age) and its recent past (leaky memory), generalizing Age-dependent Hawkes processes. The model is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Valentin Schmutz

Up to now, the nonparametric analysis of multidimensional continuous-time Markov processes has focussed strongly on specific model choices, mostly related to symmetry of the semigroup. While this approach allows to study the performance of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

This article provides an analytical framework for how to simulate human-like thought processes within a computer. It describes how attention and memory should be structured, updated, and utilized to search for associative additions to the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-15 Jared Edward Reser

Non-Markovian dynamics arise when a system is coupled to a bath with finite correlation time, giving rise to memory effects that allow the bath to temporarily store and return excitations. However, how memory modifies irreversibility and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-29 Ken Funo , Tan Van Vu , Keiji Saito

In environmental applications of extreme value statistics, the underlying stochastic process is often modeled either as a max-stable process in continuous time/space or as a process in the domain of attraction of such a max-stable process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Holger Drees , Laurens de Haan , Feridun Turkman

Stochastic models for performance analysis, optimization and control of queues hinge on a multitude of alternatives for input point processes. In case of bursty traffic, one very popular model is the \textit{Markov Modulated Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Azam Asanjarani , Sophie Hautphenne , Yoni Nazarathy

Fishing quotas are unpleasant but efficient to control the productivity of a fishing site. A popular model has a stochastic differential equation for the biomass on which a stochastic dynamic programming or a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Mathieu Laurière , Gilles Pagès , Olivier Pironneau

We propose a novel method for numerical modeling of spatially inhomogeneous moment dynamics of populations with nonlocal dispersal and competition in continuous space. It is based on analytically solvable decompositions of the time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Igor Omelyan , Yuri Kozitsky

We are interested in modeling some two-level population dynamics, resulting from the interplay of ecological interactions and phenotypic variation of individuals (or hosts) and the evolution of cells (or parasites) of two types living in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-21 Sylvie Méléard , Sylvie Roelly