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Precipitation nowcasting is an important spatio-temporal prediction task to predict the radar echoes sequences based on current observations, which can serve both meteorological science and smart city applications. Due to the chaotic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Demin Yu , Xutao Li , Yunming Ye , Baoquan Zhang , Chuyao Luo , Kuai Dai , Rui Wang , Xunlai Chen

Forecasting future weather and climate is inherently difficult. Machine learning offers new approaches to increase the accuracy and computational efficiency of forecasts, but current methods are unable to accurately model uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Yusuke Hatanaka , Yannik Glaser , Geoff Galgon , Giuseppe Torri , Peter Sadowski

Hail risk assessment is necessary to estimate and reduce damage to crops, orchards, and infrastructure. Also, it helps to estimate and reduce consequent losses for businesses and, particularly, insurance companies. But hail forecasting is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-05 Ivan Lukyanenko , Mikhail Mozikov , Yury Maximov , Ilya Makarov

Recent years have seen a surge in interest in building deep learning-based fully data-driven models for weather prediction. Such deep learning models if trained on observations can mitigate certain biases in current state-of-the-art weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Jaideep Pathak , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Wahid Bhimji , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Weather forecast plays an essential role in multiple aspects of the daily life of human beings. Currently, physics based numerical weather prediction is used to predict the weather and requires enormous amount of computational resources. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Akshay Punjabi , Pablo Izquierdo Ayala

This paper presents a deep learning architecture for nowcasting of precipitation almost globally every 30 min with a 4-hour lead time. The architecture fuses a U-Net and a convolutional long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network and is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Reyhaneh Rahimi , Praveen Ravirathinam , Ardeshir Ebtehaj , Ali Behrangi , Jackson Tan , Vipin Kumar

Solar forecasting accuracy is affected by weather conditions, and weather awareness forecasting models are expected to improve the performance. However, it may not be available and reliable to classify different forecasting tasks by using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-14 Cong Feng , Mingjian Cui , Bri-Mathias Hodge , Siyuan Lu , Hendrik F. Hamann , Jie Zhang

Atmospheric aerosols influence the Earth's climate, primarily by affecting cloud formation and scattering visible radiation. However, aerosol-related physical processes in climate simulations are highly uncertain. Constraining these…

High-resolution nowcasting is an essential tool needed for effective adaptation to climate change, particularly for extreme weather. As Deep Learning (DL) techniques have shown dramatic promise in many domains, including the geosciences, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Shreya Agrawal , Luke Barrington , Carla Bromberg , John Burge , Cenk Gazen , Jason Hickey

The accuracy and explainability of data-driven nowcasting models are of great importance in many socio-economic sectors reliant on weather-dependent decision making. This paper proposes a novel architecture called Small Attention Residual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Mathieu Renault , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Accurate forecasts of distributed solar generation are necessary to reduce negative impacts resulting from the increased uptake of distributed solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. However, the high variability of solar generation over short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Maneesha Perera , Julian De Hoog , Kasun Bandara , Saman Halgamuge

While AI weather models excel at short-to-medium range forecasts (up to 15 days), they frequently suffer from ill-defined "instabilities" when rolled out over longer horizons. This work addresses the lack of a formal taxonomy by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Fanny Lehmann , Firat Ozdemir , Yun Cheng , Torsten Hoefler , Sebastian Schemm , Benedikt Soja , Siddhartha Mishra

The Antarctic TianMu Staring Observation Program is a time-domain optical sky survey project carried out in Antarctica, capable of large sky coverage, high-cadence sampling, and long-period staring. It utilizes the exceptional observing…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-01 Hubiao Niu , Jing Zhong , Yu Zhang , Jianchun Shi , Rui Rong , Jinzhong Liu , Shiyin Shen , Zhenghong Tang , Dan Zhou

AI-based climate and weather models have rapidly gained popularity, providing faster forecasts with skill that can match or even surpass that of traditional dynamical models. Despite this success, these models face a key challenge:…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-20 Jacob B. Landsberg , Elizabeth A. Barnes

This paper presents the neural network model that was used by the author in the Weather4cast 2021 Challenge Stage 1, where the objective was to predict the time evolution of satellite-based weather data images. The network is based on an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Jussi Leinonen

Numerical weather forecasting using high-resolution physical models often requires extensive computational resources on supercomputers, which diminishes their wide usage in most real-life applications. As a remedy, applying deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Selim Furkan Tekin , Arda Fazla , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Data-driven hourly weather forecasting models often face the challenge of error accumulation in long-term predictions. The problem is exacerbated by non-physical temporal discontinuities present in widely-used training datasets such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Shuangshuang He , Yuanting Zhang , Hongli Liang , Qingye Meng , Xingyuan Yuan , Shuo Wang

Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), a possible climate engineering strategy where reflective particles are injected into the stratosphere, has been explored to mitigate global warming and its associated risks, such as the intensification…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Cameron Dong , James W. Hurrell , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Designing early warning system for precipitation requires accurate short-term forecasting system. Climate change has led to an increase in frequency of extreme weather events, and hence such systems can prevent disasters and loss of life.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-11 Ajitabh Kumar

In-situ ocean wave observations are critical to improve model skill and validate remote sensing wave measurements. Historically, such observations are extremely sparse due to the large costs and complexity of traditional wave buoys and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-11 Pieter B. Smit , Isabel A. Houghton , Kalina Jordanova , Thomas Portwood , Evan Shapiro , David Clark , Michael Sosa , Tim T. Janssen