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The increasing frequency of heavy rainfall events, which are a major cause of urban flooding, underscores the urgent need for accurate precipitation forecasting - particularly in urban areas where localized events often go undetected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Rama Kassoumeh , David Rügamer , Henning Oppel

Accurate subseasonal weather forecasting remains a major challenge due to the inherently chaotic nature of the atmosphere, which limits the predictive skill of conventional models beyond the mid-range horizon (approximately 15 days). In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Arsen Kuzhamuratov , Mikhail Zhirnov , Andrey Kuznetsov , Ivan Oseledets , Konstantin Sobolev

Accurate precipitation nowcasting is crucial for applications such as flood prediction, disaster management, agriculture optimization, and transportation management. While many studies have approached this task using sequence-to-sequence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Lorand Vatamany , Siamak Mehrkanoon

During the era of global warming and highly urbanized development, extreme and high impact weather as well as air pollution incidents influence everyday life and might even cause the incalculable loss of life and property. Although with the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-05 Jun Gu , Jiawang Feng , Xiaoyu Hao , Tao Fang , Chun Zhao , Hong An , Junshi Chen , Mingyue Xu , Jian Li , Wenting Han , Chao Yang , Fang Li , Dexun Chen

Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Kevin Valencia , Ziyang Liu , Justin Cui

With the increasing availability of meteorological data from various sensors, numerical models and reanalysis products, the need for efficient data integration methods has become paramount for improving weather forecasts and…

Application of Dynamic Mode Decomposition to clear-sky index forecasting of shadowing effects of convective fair-weather cumulus clouds is presented. Cloud dynamics are captured by sequences of visible-light photographic video frames. This…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-07-31 Jeff Manning , Ross Baldick

In many real-world scenarios, we often deal with streaming data that is sequentially collected over time. Due to the non-stationary nature of the environment, the streaming data distribution may change in unpredictable ways, which is known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Wendi Li , Xiao Yang , Weiqing Liu , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian

Accurate short-term prediction of clouds and precipitation is critical for severe weather warnings, aviation safety, and renewable energy operations. Forecasts at this timescale are provided by numerical weather models and extrapolation…

Clouds play an important role in the Earth's energy budget and their behavior is one of the largest uncertainties in future climate projections. Satellite observations should help in understanding cloud responses, but decades and petabytes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-15 Takuya Kurihana , Elisabeth Moyer , Ian Foster

Data driven modeling based approaches have recently gained a lot of attention in many challenging meteorological applications including weather element forecasting. This paper introduces a novel data-driven predictive model based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Yimin Yang , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Data assimilation (DA) estimates the state of an evolving dynamical system from noisy, partial observations, and is widely used in scientific simulation as well as weather and climate science. In practice, filtering methods rely on…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-15 Yixuan Jia , Siyi Chen , Yida Pan , Xiao Li , Lianghe Shi , Chanyong Jung , Haijie Yuan , Ismail Alkhouri , Yue Cynthia Wu , Saiprasad Ravishankar , Jeffrey A Fessler , Qing Qu

Weather nowcasting is an essential task that involves predicting future radar echo sequences based on current observations, offering significant benefits for disaster management, transportation, and urban planning. Current prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Ziye Wang , Yiran Qin , Lin Zeng , Ruimao Zhang

Atmospheric predictability research has long held that the limit of skillful deterministic weather forecasts is about 14 days. We challenge this limit using GraphCast, a machine-learning weather model, by optimizing forecast initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 P. Trent Vonich , Gregory J. Hakim

Rainfall prediction at the kilometre-scale up to a few hours in the future is key for planning and safety. But it is challenging given the complex influence of climate change on cloud processes and the limited skill of weather models at…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-08 S. Moran , B. Demir , F. Serva , B. Le Saux

The rapid accumulation of Earth observation data presents a formidable challenge for the processing capabilities of traditional remote sensing desktop software, particularly when it comes to analyzing expansive geographical areas and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Hao Xu , Yuanbin Man , Mingyang Yang , Jichao Wu , Qi Zhang , Jing Wang

Precipitation nowcasting is a critical spatio-temporal prediction task for society to prevent severe damage owing to extreme weather events. Despite the advances in this field, the complex and stochastic nature of this task still poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Shi Quan Foo , Chi-Ho Wong , Zhihan Gao , Dit-Yan Yeung , Ka-Hing Wong , Wai-Kin Wong

Accurate, high-resolution ocean forecasting is crucial for maritime operations and environmental monitoring. While traditional numerical models are capable of producing sub-daily, eddy-resolving forecasts, they are computationally intensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Qiusheng Huang , Yuan Niu , Xiaohui Zhong , Anboyu Guo , Lei Chen , Dianjun Zhang , Xuefeng Zhang , Hao Li

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) has advanced significantly in recent decades but still faces challenges in accuracy, computational efficiency, and scalability. Data-driven weather models have shown great promise, sometimes surpassing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-18 Animesh Choudhury , Jagabandhu Panda

Urban areas are not only one of the biggest contributors to climate change, but also they are one of the most vulnerable areas with high populations who would together experience the negative impacts. In this paper, we address some of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Beril Sirmacek , Ricardo Vinuesa