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This study examines portfolio selection using predictive models for portfolio returns. Portfolio selection is a fundamental task in finance, and a variety of methods have been developed to achieve this goal. For instance, the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Masahiro Kato

A fractal approach to the long-short portfolio optimization is proposed. The algorithmic system based on the composition of market-neutral spreads into a single entity was considered. The core of the optimization scheme is a fractal walk…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-20 Sergey Kamenshchikov , Ilia Drozdov

We present a study on portfolio investments in financial applications. We describe a general modeling and simulation framework and study the impact on the use of different metrics to measure the correlation among assets. In particular,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Stefano Ferretti

We analyze characteristics' joint predictive information through the lens of out-of-sample power utility functions. Linking weights to characteristics to form optimal portfolios suffers from estimation error which we mitigate by maximizing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Christopher G. Lamoureux , Huacheng Zhang

We show that results from the theory of random matrices are potentially of great interest to understand the statistical structure of the empirical correlation matrices appearing in the study of price fluctuations. The central result of the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Laurent Laloux , Pierre Cizeau , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

A new wave of work on covariance cleaning and nonlinear shrinkage has delivered asymptotically optimal analytical solutions for large covariance matrices. The same framework has been generalized to empirical cross-covariance matrices, whose…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-22 Efstratios Manolakis , Christian Bongiorno , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

This paper investigates a time-inconsistent portfolio selection problem in the incomplete mar ket model, integrating expected utility maximization with risk control. The objective functional balances the expected utility and variance on log…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Yue Cao , Zongxia Liang , Sheng Wang , Xiang Yu

This paper uses new and recently established methodologies to study the evolutionary dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, and compares the findings with that of the equity market. We begin by applying random matrix theory and principal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-20 Nick James

Using a large set of daily US and Japanese stock returns, we test in detail the relevance of Student models, and of more general elliptical models, for describing the joint distribution of returns. We find that while Student copulas provide…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-05 Rémy Chicheportiche , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The evolution with time of the correlation structure of equity returns is studied by means of a filtered network approach investigating persistences and recurrences and their implications for risk diversification strategies. We build…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-22 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

We discovered that past changes in the market correlation structure are significantly related with future changes in the market volatility. By using correlation-based information filtering networks we device a new tool for forecasting the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

This paper develops new mathematical techniques to identify temporal shifts among a collection of US equities partitioned into a new and more detailed set of market sectors. Although conceptually related, our three analyses reveal distinct…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-11 Nick James , Max Menzies

We propose a credit risk model for portfolios composed of green and brown loans, extending the ASRF framework via a two-factor copula structure. Systematic risk is modeled using potentially skewed distributions, allowing for asymmetric…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Alessandro Ramponi , Sergio Scarlatti

Optimal portfolio selection problems are determined by the (unknown) parameters of the data generating process. If an investor wants to realise the position suggested by the optimal portfolios, he/she needs to estimate the unknown…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Holger Dette , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsén

We employ a Bayesian modelling technique for high dimensional cointegration estimation to construct low volatility portfolios from a large number of stocks. The proposed Bayesian framework effectively identifies sparse and important…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-16 Parley R Yang , Alexander Y Shestopaloff

We investigate the variety of a portfolio of stocks in normal and extreme days of market activity. We show that the variety carries information about the market activity which is not present in the single-index model and we observe that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

In practice daily volatility of portfolio returns is transformed to longer holding periods by multiplying by the square-root of time which assumes that returns are not serially correlated. Under this assumption this procedure of scaling can…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-30 Nikolaus Rab , Richard Warnung

We consider the estimation of approximate factor models for time series data, where strong serial and cross-sectional correlations amongst the idiosyncratic component are present. This setting comes up naturally in many applications, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

In this paper, we generalize the parametric delta-VaR method from portfolios with normally distributed risk factors to portfolios with elliptically distributed ones. We treat both the expected shortfall and the Value-at-Risk of such…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Jules Sadefo Kamdem

We consider random vectors drawn from a multivariate normal distribution and compute the sample statistics in the presence of non-stationary correlations. For this purpose, we construct an ensemble of random correlation matrices and average…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-17 Desislava Chetalova , Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr
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