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Processing and analyzing time series data\-sets have become a central issue in many domains requiring data management systems to support time series as a native data type. A crucial prerequisite of these systems is time series matching,…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Lars Kegel , Claudio Hartmann , Maik Thiele , Wolfgang Lehner

Time series analysis is crucial for understanding dynamics of complex systems. Recent advances in foundation models have led to task-agnostic Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) and Large Language Model-based Time Series Models (TSLLMs),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Xu Liu , Taha Aksu , Juncheng Liu , Qingsong Wen , Yuxuan Liang , Caiming Xiong , Silvio Savarese , Doyen Sahoo , Junnan Li , Chenghao Liu

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

Time series forecasting is essential in a wide range of real world applications. Recently, frequency-domain methods have attracted increasing interest for their ability to capture global dependencies. However, when applied to non-stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Zhongde An , Jinhong You , Jiyanglin Li , Yiming Tang , Wen Li , Heming Du , Shouguo Du

Forecasting time series with irregular temporal structures remains challenging for universal pre-trained models. Existing approaches often assume regular sampling or depend heavily on imputation, limiting their applicability in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Jingge Xiao , Yile Chen , Gao Cong , Wolfgang Nejdl , Simon Gottschalk

Time series analysis is used to understand and predict dynamic processes, including evolving demands in business, weather, markets, and biological rhythms. Exponential smoothing is used in all these domains to obtain simple interpretable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-02 Avner Abrami , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Younghun Kim

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated their effectiveness in multivariate time series classification (MTSC). Effective adaptation of LLMs for MTSC necessitates informative data representations. Existing LLM-based methods directly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Jiahao Wang , Mingyue Cheng , Qingyang Mao , Yitong Zhou , Daoyu Wang , Qi Liu , Feiyang Xu , Xin Li

A useful approach for analysing multiple time series is via characterising their spectral density matrix as the frequency domain analog of the covariance matrix. When the dimension of the time series is large compared to their length,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Mark Fiecas , Chenlei Leng , Weidong Liu , Yi Yu

This paper aims to study the prediction of the bank stability index based on the Time Series Transformer model. The bank stability index is an important indicator to measure the health status and risk resistance of financial institutions.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-06 Wenying Sun , Zhen Xu , Wenqing Zhang , Kunyuan Ma , You Wu , Mengfang Sun

In this work, we propose FlowTime, a generative model for probabilistic forecasting of multivariate timeseries data. Given historical measurements and optional future covariates, we formulate forecasting as sampling from a learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

Artificial Intelligence (AI) models have reached a very significant level of accuracy. While their superior performance offers considerable benefits, their inherent complexity often decreases human trust, which slows their application in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Pierre-Daniel Arsenault , Shengrui Wang , Jean-Marc Patenande

Transformer-based models are at the forefront in long time-series forecasting (LTSF). While in many cases, these models are able to achieve state of the art results, they suffer from a bias toward low-frequencies in the data and high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Elisha Dayag , Nhat Thanh Van Tran , Jack Xin

Predictive queries over spatiotemporal (ST) stream data pose significant data processing and analysis challenges. ST data streams involve a set of time series whose data distributions may vary in space and time, exhibiting multiple distinct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 Anderson Chaves , Eduardo Ogasawara , Patrick Valduriez , Fabio Porto

Machine learning and deep learning have become increasingly prevalent in financial prediction and forecasting tasks, offering advantages such as enhanced customer experience, democratising financial services, improving consumer protection,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Branka Hadji Misheva , Joerg Osterrieder

Current approaches for time series forecasting, whether in the time or frequency domain, predominantly use deep learning models based on linear layers or transformers. They often encode time series data in a black-box manner and rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Cheng He , Xijie Liang , Zengrong Zheng , Patrick P. C. Lee , Xu Huang , Zhaoyi Li , Hong Xie , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

Time series reasoning is emerging as the next frontier in temporal analysis, aiming to move beyond pattern recognition towards explicit, interpretable, and trustworthy inference. This paper presents a BlueSky vision built on two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Kanghui Ning , Zijie Pan , Yushan Jiang , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Dongjin Song

Irregular sampling occurs in many time series modeling applications where it presents a significant challenge to standard deep learning models. This work is motivated by the analysis of physiological time series data in electronic health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

Our research aims to propose a new performance-explainability analytical framework to assess and benchmark machine learning methods. The framework details a set of characteristics that systematize the performance-explainability assessment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-22 Kevin Fauvel , Véronique Masson , Élisa Fromont

To address the complexity of financial time series, this paper proposes a forecasting model combining sliding window and variational mode decomposition (VMD) methods. Historical stock prices and relevant market indicators are used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Luke Li

Multivariate time series is a very active topic in the research community and many machine learning tasks are being used in order to extract information from this type of data. However, in real-world problems data has missing values, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Samuel Arcadinho , Paulo Mateus
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