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Evaluating time series attribution methods is difficult because real-world datasets rarely provide ground truth for which time points drive a prediction. A common workaround is to generate synthetic data where class-discriminating features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Gregor Baer

An approach is presented for making predictions about functional time series. The method is applied to data coming from periodically correlated processes and electricity demand, obtaining accurate point forecasts and narrow prediction bands…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez

Multivariate time series classification is an important computational task arising in applications where data is recorded over time and over multiple channels. For example, a smartwatch can record the acceleration and orientation of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Davide Italo Serramazza , Thu Trang Nguyen , Thach Le Nguyen , Georgiana Ifrim

Machine learning-based systems are rapidly gaining popularity and in-line with that there has been a huge research surge in the field of explainability to ensure that machine learning models are reliable, fair, and can be held liable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-12 Rohit Saluja , Avleen Malhi , Samanta Knapič , Kary Främling , Cicek Cavdar

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in decision-making across various domains, but it presents significant challenges. Recent studies have explored image-driven approaches using computer vision models to address these challenges,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Multivariate time-series forecasting holds immense value across diverse applications, requiring methods to effectively capture complex temporal and inter-variable dynamics. A key challenge lies in uncovering the intrinsic patterns that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Liang Yu , Lai Tu , Xiang Bai

Deep neural networks are among the most successful algorithms in terms of performance and scalability across different domains. However, since these networks are black boxes, their usability is severely restricted due to a lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Dominique Mercier , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Time-series classification is an important domain of machine learning and a plethora of methods have been developed for the task. In comparison to existing approaches, this study presents a novel method which decomposes a time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-12 Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Generation and analysis of time-series data is relevant to many quantitative fields ranging from economics to fluid mechanics. In the physical sciences, structures such as metastable and coherent sets, slow relaxation processes, collective…

In time series editing, we aim to modify some properties of a given time series without altering others. For example, when analyzing a hospital patient's blood pressure, we may add a sudden early drop and observe how it impacts their future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Jiaxing Qiu , Dongliang Guo , Brynne Sullivan , Teague R. Henry , Thomas Hartvigsen

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Yuqi Jiang , Yan Li , Yize Chen

Time-series forecasts are essential for planning and decision-making in many domains. Explainability is key to building user trust and meeting transparency requirements. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) is a popular explainable AI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Matthias Hertel , Sebastian Pütz , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer , Benjamin Schäfer

With the development of society, time series anomaly detection plays an important role in network and IoT services. However, most existing anomaly detection methods directly analyze time series in the time domain and cannot distinguish some…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Yi-Xiang Lu , Xiao-Bo Jin , Jian Chen , Dong-Jie Liu , Guang-Gang Geng

Recently, frequency transformation (FT) has been increasingly incorporated into deep learning models to significantly enhance state-of-the-art accuracy and efficiency in time series analysis. The advantages of FT, such as high efficiency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Wei Fan , Longbing Cao , Shoujin Wang , Guodong Long , Liang Hu , Hui He , Qingsong Wen , Hui Xiong

The Fourier spectrum at a fractional period is often examined when extracting features from biological sequences and time series. It reflects the inner information structure of the sequences. A fractional period is not uncommon in time…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-03 Jiasong Wang , Changchuan Yin

Unpacking and comprehending how black-box machine learning algorithms make decisions has been a persistent challenge for researchers and end-users. Explaining time-series predictive models is useful for clinical applications with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Amin Nayebi , Sindhu Tipirneni , Chandan K Reddy , Brandon Foreman , Vignesh Subbian

Time series analysis provides essential insights for real-world system dynamics and informs downstream decision-making, yet most existing methods often overlook the rich contextual signals present in auxiliary modalities. To bridge this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yushan Jiang , Wenchao Yu , Geon Lee , Dongjin Song , Kijung Shin , Wei Cheng , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen

The time series classification literature has expanded rapidly over the last decade, with many new classification approaches published each year. The research focus has mostly been on improving the accuracy and efficiency of classifiers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-14 Thach Le Nguyen , Severin Gsponer , Iulia Ilie , Georgiana Ifrim

Time series forecasts are widely used to inform decisions. Human decision-makers interpret these forecasts, incorporate prior experience and uncertainty about future outcomes, and then make a decision. In this paper, we propose a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Daniel Andrew Coulson , Martin T. Wells

Time series forecasting is crucial in several sectors, such as meteorology, retail, healthcare, and finance. Accurately forecasting future trends and patterns is crucial for strategic planning and making well-informed decisions. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Nitin Sagar Boyeena , Begari Susheel Kumar