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A model of interacting agents, following plausible behavioral rules into a world where the Covid-19 epidemic is affecting the actions of everyone. The model works with (i) infected agents categorized as symptomatic or asymptomatic and (ii)…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Gianpiero Pescarmona , Pietro Terna , Alberto Acquadro , Paolo Pescarmona , Giuseppe Russo , Emilio Sulis , Stefano Terna

An epidemiological model for COVID-19 was developed and implemented in MATLAB/GNU Octave for use by public health practitioners, policy makers and the general public. The model distinguishes four stages in the disease: infected, sick,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-24 Alex De Visscher

We introduce DeepGLEAM, a hybrid model for COVID-19 forecasting. DeepGLEAM combines a mechanistic stochastic simulation model GLEAM with deep learning. It uses deep learning to learn the correction terms from GLEAM, which leads to improved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Dongxia Wu , Liyao Gao , Xinyue Xiong , Matteo Chinazzi , Alessandro Vespignani , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

We introduce an epidemic spreading model on a network using concepts from percolation theory. The model is motivated by discussing the standard SIR model, with extensions to describe effects of lockdowns within a population. The underlying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-26 Fabrizio Croccolo , H. Eduardo Roman

The spread of COVID-19 makes it essential to investigate its prevalence. In such investigation research, as far as we know, the widely-used sampling methods didn't use the information sufficiently about the numbers of the previously…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-04 Ze Liu , Siyu Yi , Jianghu , Dong , Min-Qian Liu , Yongdao Zhou

Motivated by the ongoing pandemic COVID-19, we propose a closed-loop framework that combines inference from testing data, learning the parameters of the dynamics and optimal resource allocation for controlling the spread of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-27 Ashish R. Hota , Jaydeep Godbole , Philip E Paré

We report on an ongoing collaboration between epidemiological modellers and visualization researchers by documenting and reflecting upon knowledge constructs -- a series of ideas, approaches and methods taken from existing visualization…

In this paper we conduct a simulation study of the spread of an epidemic like COVID-19 with temporary immunity on finite spatial and non-spatial network models. In particular, we assume that an epidemic spreads stochastically on a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-16 Tim Hulshof , Joost Jorritsma , Júlia Komjáthy

LLM-based social network simulation introduces a new computational approach for modeling event evolution in complex online environments. However, existing methods typically simulate social processes under a fixed event trajectory, treating…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Yunyao Zhang , Zuocheng Ying , Xinglang Zhang , Junqing Yu , Peng Fang , Xu Chen , Wei Yang , Zikai Song

We present the R package SimInf which provides an efficient and very flexible framework to conduct data-driven epidemiological modeling in realistic large scale disease spread simulations. The framework integrates infection dynamics in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-10 Stefan Widgren , Pavol Bauer , Robin Eriksson , Stefan Engblom

The devastation caused by the coronavirus pandemic makes it imperative to design automated techniques for a fast and accurate detection. We propose a novel non-invasive tool, using deep learning and imaging, for delineating COVID-19…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-26 Surochita Pal Das , Sushmita Mitra , B. Uma Shankar

During the COVID-19 pandemic, regulatory decision-making was hampered by a lack of timely and high-quality data on rare outcomes. Studying rare outcomes following infection and vaccination requires conducting multi-center observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Malcolm Risk , Xu Shi , Lili Zhao

Since the first coronavirus case was identified in the U.S. on Jan. 21, more than 1 million people in the U.S. have confirmed cases of COVID-19. This infectious respiratory disease has spread rapidly across more than 3000 counties and 50…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Shuang Li , Lu Wang , Xinyun Chen , Yixiang Fang , Yan Song

Due to the irregular shapes,various sizes and indistinguishable boundaries between the normal and infected tissues, it is still a challenging task to accurately segment the infected lesions of COVID-19 on CT images. In this paper, a novel…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-21 Haigen Hu , Leizhao Shen , Qiu Guan , Xiaoxin Li , Qianwei Zhou , Su Ruan

A novel coronavirus disease has emerged (later named COVID-19) and caused the world to enter a new reality, with many direct and indirect factors influencing it. Some are human-controllable (e.g. interventional policies, mobility and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Haonan Wu , Rajarshi Banerjee , Indhumathi Venkatachalam , Daniel Percy-Hughes , Praveen Chougale

Epidemic models describe the evolution of a communicable disease over time. These models are often modified to include the effects of interventions (control measures) such as vaccination, social distancing, school closings etc. Many such…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Heejong Bong , Valérie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

The COVID-19 pandemic has created unprecedented challenges worldwide. Strained healthcare providers make difficult decisions on patient triage, treatment and care management on a daily basis. Policy makers have imposed social distancing…

Network models represent a useful tool to describe the complex set of financial relationships among heterogeneous firms in the system. In this paper, we propose a new semiparametric model for temporal multilayer causal networks with both…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-05 Billio Monica , Casarin Roberto , Costola Michele , Iacopini Matteo

Emerging in December 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic caused widespread health, economic, and social disruptions. Rapid global transmission overwhelmed healthcare systems, resulting in high infection rates, hospitalisations, and fatalities. To…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-08 Zacharias Komodromos , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

The last three years have been an extraordinary time with the Covid-19 pandemic killing millions, affecting and distressing billions of people worldwide. Authorities took various measures such as turning school and work to remote and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Meliksah Turker , Haluk O. Bingol