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This article proposes a new method of truncated estimation to estimate the tail index $\alpha$ of the extremely heavy-tailed distribution with infinite mean or variance. We not only present two truncated estimators $\hat{\alpha}$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-13 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

This paper investigates the problem of generalized linear bandits with heavy-tailed rewards, whose $(1+\epsilon)$-th moment is bounded for some $\epsilon\in (0,1]$. Although there exist methods for generalized linear bandits, most of them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Bo Xue , Yimu Wang , Yuanyu Wan , Jinfeng Yi , Lijun Zhang

We study efficient algorithms for linear regression and covariance estimation in the absence of Gaussian assumptions on the underlying distributions of samples, making assumptions instead about only finitely-many moments. We focus on how…

This paper introduces a simple principle for robust high-dimensional statistical inference via an appropriate shrinkage on the data. This widens the scope of high-dimensional techniques, reducing the moment conditions from sub-exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Jianqing Fan , Weichen Wang , Ziwei Zhu

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit

High-dimensional linear regression has been intensively studied in the community of statistics in the last two decades. For the convenience of theoretical analyses, classical methods usually assume independent observations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Jianqing Fan , Yongyi Guo , Bai Jiang

This paper investigates tradeoffs among optimization errors, statistical rates of convergence and the effect of heavy-tailed errors for high-dimensional robust regression with nonconvex regularization. When the additive errors in linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Xiaoou Pan , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

We propose a deep neural network (DNN) based least distance (LD) estimator (DNN-LD) for a multivariate regression problem, addressing the limitations of the conventional methods. Due to the flexibility of a DNN structure, both linear and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Jungmin Shin , Seung Jun Shin , Sungwan Bang

High-dimensional covariance estimation is notoriously sensitive to outliers. While statistically optimal estimators exist for general heavy-tailed distributions, they often rely on computationally expensive techniques like semidefinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Even He

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a fundamental iterative framework with broad applications in reinforcement learning and optimization. Classical analyses typically rely on martingale difference or Markov noise with bounded second moments,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Siddharth Chandak , Anuj Yadav , Ayfer Ozgur , Nicholas Bambos

We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Farzad Pourbabaee , Omid Shams Solari

A Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) model is commonly used to model multivariate time series, and there are many penalized methods to handle high dimensionality. However in terms of spatio-temporal data, most methods do not take the spatial and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Zhenzhong Wang , Abolfazl Safikhani , Zhengyuan Zhu , David S. Matteson

A current strand of research in high-dimensional statistics deals with robustifying the available methodology with respect to deviations from the pervasive light-tail assumptions. In this paper we consider a linear mean regression model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Philipp Hermann , Hajo Holzmann

In this paper, we develop a novel high-dimensional coefficient estimation procedure based on high-frequency data. Unlike usual high-dimensional regression procedures such as LASSO, we additionally handle the heavy-tailedness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim

In this paper, we study the problem of stochastic linear bandits with finite action sets. Most of existing work assume the payoffs are bounded or sub-Gaussian, which may be violated in some scenarios such as financial markets. To settle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Bo Xue , Guanghui Wang , Yimu Wang , Lijun Zhang

Recently, high-dimensional heterogeneous data have attracted a lot of attention and discussion. Under heterogeneity, semiparametric regression is a popular choice to model data in statistics. In this paper, we take advantages of expectile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang

This article introduces a general class of heavy-tailed autoregressions for modeling integer-valued time series with outliers. The proposed specification is based on a heavy-tailed mixture of negative binomial distributions that features an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Paolo Gorgi

Estimation of the extreme value index under right censoring is a fundamental problem in extreme value theory, with important applications in finance, insurance, and reliability. Classical integral estimators for Pareto-type tails typically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Abdelhakim Necir , Nour Elhouda Guesmia , Djamel Meraghni

Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson