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We study the problem of modelling high-dimensional, heavy-tailed time series data via a factor-adjusted vector autoregressive (VAR) model, which simultaneously accounts for pervasive co-movements of the variables by a handful of factors, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Dylan Dijk , Haeran Cho

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

High dimensional Vector Autoregressions (VAR) have received a lot of interest recently due to novel applications in health, engineering, finance and the social sciences. Three issues arise when analyzing VAR's: (a) The high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

In this paper, we consider the problem of linear regression with heavy-tailed distributions. Different from previous studies that use the squared loss to measure the performance, we choose the absolute loss, which is capable of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Data subject to heavy-tailed errors are commonly encountered in various scientific fields, especially in the modern era with explosion of massive data. To address this problem, procedures based on quantile regression and Least Absolute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-09 Jianqing Fan , Quefeng Li , Yuyan Wang

Time series regression models are commonly used in time series analysis. However, in modern real-world applications, serially correlated data with an ultra-high dimension and fat tails are prevalent. This presents a challenge in developing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Linbo Liu , Danna Zhang

Recently, high dimensional vector auto-regressive models (VAR), have attracted a lot of interest, due to novel applications in the health, engineering and social sciences. The presence of temporal dependence poses additional challenges to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

This paper introduces a robust and computationally efficient estimation framework for high-dimensional volatility models in the BEKK-ARCH class. The proposed approach employs data truncation to ensure robustness against heavy-tailed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Kejun Chen , Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu

We study the problem of factor modelling vector- and tensor-valued time series in the presence of heavy tails in the data, which produce extreme observations with non-negligible probability. We propose to combine a two-step procedure for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng

High-dimensional data subject to heavy-tailed phenomena and heterogeneity are commonly encountered in various scientific fields and bring new challenges to the classical statistical methods. In this paper, we combine the asymmetric square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang

Lasso-type estimators are routinely used to estimate high-dimensional time series models. The theoretical guarantees established for these estimators typically require the penalty level to be chosen in a suitable fashion often depending on…

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a powerful tool in modeling complex time series and has been exploited in many fields. However, fitting high dimensional VAR model poses some unique challenges: On one hand, the dimensionality,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-30 Fang Han , Huanran Lu , Han Liu

We study random design linear regression with no assumptions on the distribution of the covariates and with a heavy-tailed response variable. In this distribution-free regression setting, we show that boundedness of the conditional second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Jaouad Mourtada , Tomas Vaškevičius , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We propose a new and interpretable class of high-dimensional tail dependence models based on latent linear factor structures. Specifically, extremal dependence of an observable vector is assumed to be driven by a lower-dimensional latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Alexis Boulin , Axel Bücher

This work studies applications and generalizations of a simple estimation technique that provides exponential concentration under heavy-tailed distributions, assuming only bounded low-order moments. We show that the technique can be used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Daniel Hsu , Sivan Sabato

We investigate high-dimensional sparse regression when both the noise and the design matrix exhibit heavy-tailed behavior. Standard algorithms typically fail in this regime, as heavy-tailed covariates distort the empirical risk geometry. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Kaiyuan Zhou , Xiaoyu Zhang , Wenyang Zhang , Di Wang

This paper investigates the partial linear model by Least Absolute Deviation (LAD) regression. We parameterize the nonparametric term using Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) and formulate a penalized LAD problem for estimation. Specifically, our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-27 Lechen Feng , Haoran Li , Lucky Li , Xingqiu Zhao

Big data can easily be contaminated by outliers or contain variables with heavy-tailed distributions, which makes many conventional methods inadequate. To address this challenge, we propose the adaptive Huber regression for robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Qiang Sun , Wenxin Zhou , Jianqing Fan

This paper introduces the partial Gini covariance, a novel dependence measure that addresses the challenges of high-dimensional inference with heavy-tailed errors, often encountered in fields like finance, insurance, climate, and biology.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Yilin Zhang , Songshan Yang , Yunan Wu , Lan Wang

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa
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